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     Mon. Jun. 1, 2009

Trading Signals: ADM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Archer-Daniels-Midland Company)

ADM latest price $28.3900 (3.16%) ($27.8100 - $28.4500) on Mon. Jun. 1, 2009.


Trend Analysis and Forecast
 
Average Daily Percentage Swing  3.27% (three month average)
RSI   66
Latest Price   $28.3900(3.16%)
Stocks Behave Similarly  Similar Stock List
Daily Trend  ADM advances 0.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  ADM advances 4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support ADM advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
  SPY(60%)    IWM(56%)    XLP(56%)    EWG(52%)    EEM(50%)  
Factors Impacting ADM price  ADM will decline at least -1.635% in a week (0% probabilities).
  TLT(-30%)    TIP(-10%)    SHY(-9%)    LQD(3%)    IGOV(4%)  
Explanation   The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
 
 
Relative Volatility   (options are extremely cheap)
 
Market Trend Strength  -1.635% (StdDev 3.27%)
Hourly BBV   0 ()
Intraday Trend   1.9%
  
 

  


5 Day Moving Average  $27.36(3.76%)
10 Day Moving Average  $26.76(6.09%)
20 Day Moving Average  $26.06(8.94%)
To recent high  -2.6%
To recent low  19.6%
Market Cap  $15.785b
 
 
 
Archer-Daniels-Midland Co. processes oilseeds, corn, wheat, cocoa and other agricultural commodities. The company operates through the following segments: Oilseeds Processing, Corn Processing, Wild Flavors & Specialty Ingredients and Agricultural Services. The Oilseeds Processing segment includes activities related to the origination, merchandising, crushing, and further processing of oilseeds such as soybeans and soft seeds, such as cottonseed, sunflower seed, canola, rapeseed, and flaxseed into vegetable oils and protein meals. The Corn Processing segment engages in corn wet milling and dry milling activities; and also converts corn into sweeteners, starches, and bioproducts. The Wild Flavors and Specialty Ingredients segment manufactures, sells, and distributes specialty products including natural flavor ingredients, flavor systems, natural colors, proteins, emulsifiers, soluble fiber, polyols, hydrocolloids, natural health and nutrition products, other specialty food, and feed ingredients. The Agricultural Services segment utilizes its extensive United States grain elevator and global transportation network to buy, store, clean, and transport agricultural commodities, such as oilseeds, corn, wheat, milo, oats, rice and barley. It resells these commodities primarily as food and feed ingredients and as raw materials for the agricultural processing industry. Archer-Daniels-Midland was founded in 1902 and is headquartered in Chicago, IL.

$. ADM price fluctuates within 4.41% (three month std-dev: 3.27%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 8   Average positive next day return: 0.83%(38%)   Average negative next day return: -2.02%(63%)
Sample size 8   Average positive next three day return: 1.09%(38%)   Average negative next three day return: -3.39%(63%)
Sample size 8   Average positive next weekly return: 2.61%(50%)   Average negative next weekly return: -4.33%(50%)

Analysis   News   Options   Weekly Chart   Daily Chart   2 Month Daily Chart   

  >  20090701

iDateema100ema20ema10 ema5 Slow Hourly
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1Jun_1_200926.7226.0626.7627.36 27.31 27.7628.39(3.16%)UTOpenLong750.9   34   110   18   81   5.54    43%0.0463.53.27%0266NAN
2May_29_200926.7125.926.4327.12 27.02 27.1327.52(1.21%)UTOpenLong750.4   25   20   13   59   4.53    43%-0.0474.13.27%01.652NAN
3May_28_200926.7225.7526.226.79 26.89 26.8627.19(1.84%)UTOpenLong750.4   15   0   5   45   4.42    43%-0.0472.13.29%01.562NAN
4May_27_200926.7325.6125.9626.65 26.67 26.926.7(-1.18%)UDOpenLong750.1   15   60   5   45   5.27    43%-0.0768.73.31%01.264NAN
5May_26_200926.7525.4925.8726.46 26.55 26.9327.02(-0.55%)UDOpenLong750.6   30   110   21   58   5.72    43%-0.1560.63.31%01.667NAN
 
6May_22_200926.7925.3525.7326.04 26.14 26.4527.17(5.11%)UTOpenLong751.2   23   90   18   38   8.36    43%046.43.26%01.954NAN
7May_21_200926.7925.1725.6825.64 25.7 26.1825.85(-2.53%)UDOpenLong750.2   15   140   10   29   5.17    40%-0.1124.33.22%00.852NAN
8May_20_200926.8225.0725.5925.52 25.51 25.8426.52(2.99%)UTOpenLong751.1   24   90   21   31   8.4    40%-0.0793.23%01.659NAN
9May_19_200926.8424.9925.3725.18 25.18 25.2325.75(3.29%)UTOpenLong750.7   2   10   -0   8   5.82    40%-0.11-6.43.21%00.957NAN
10May_18_200926.8724.9325.1925.21 25.2 25.1924.93(-0.95%)N/AN/A0-0.3   -3   -0   -5   5   6.88    37%-0.15-10.53.19%0056NAN
 
11May_15_200926.9124.9125.325.36 25.41 25.1325.17(-0.16%)N/AN/A0-0.2   -4   -70   -12   22   4.03    35%-0.04-17.33.23%00.357NAN
12May_14_200926.9224.9625.3425.72 25.63 25.2125.21(1.45%)UDOpenLong65-0.6   7   -130   -8   51   4.26    35%-0.11-43.26%00.359NAN
13May_13_200926.9524.9925.2925.67 25.88 25.6924.85(-4.02%)UDOpenLong65-0.9   14   -30   -1   59   5.45    35%-0.07-3.93.28%0-0.258NAN
14May_12_200926.9725.0425.2625.55 25.71 26.0525.89(0.82%)UTOpenLong750.4   25   110   14   58   5.84    37%-0.07-6.63.24%00.955NAN
15May_11_200926.9925.0125.125.14 25.22 26.0825.68(-4.78%)UDOpenLong750.6   19   250   12   38   6.91    37%-0.07-32.13.25%00.756NAN
 
16May_8_200927.0125.0624.9525.24 24.81 25.3726.97(8.01%)UTOpenLong751.7   29   110   24   45   9.85    43%-0.07-38.23.22%01.962NAN
17May_7_200927.0324.9924.6224.95 24.74 24.3524.97(3.01%)UTOpenLong750   4   -140   2   8   8.08    37%-0.11-643.09%0-043NAN
18May_6_200927.0625.0324.524.88 24.84 24.2524.24(1.68%)DPOpenShort-75-0.7   -18   -170   -17   -19   8.55    37%-0.18-76.93.08%0-0.839NAN
19May_5_200927.1125.124.5724.92 25.01 25.1323.84(-8.9%)DTOpenShort-75-1.2   -9   40   -6   -19   11.49    37%-0.07-86.93.11%0-1.438NAN
20May_4_200927.1325.3324.6625 24.97 25.4226.17(2.59%)N/AN/A01   15   120   24   -12   6.71    37%-0.04-63.52.95%00.753NAN
 
21May_1_200927.1425.4524.4824.6 24.57 24.8825.51(3.61%)N/AN/A00.7   2   80   18   -47   5.08    37%-0.07-60.33.04%0038NAN
22Apr_30_200927.1625.5924.5224.25 24.26 24.5224.62(0.57%)DPOpenShort-650.2   -7   80   12   -64   5.47    34%-0.11-61.33.03%0-0.642NAN
23Apr_29_200927.1925.7724.6524.08 23.98 24.2524.48(1.16%)DPOpenShort-650.2   -17   70   2   -74   4.99    34%-0.11-62.43.03%0-0.842NAN
24Apr_28_200927.2225.9324.7824.18 23.95 23.9924.2(0%)DPOpenShort-650   -18   -20   0   -70   6.3    34%-0.11-63.83.04%0-141NAN
25Apr_27_200927.2526.0924.9224.27 24.12 23.7224.2(1.81%)DPOpenShort-75-0   -28   -130   -7   -91   6.92    34%-68.83.04%0-1.228NAN
iDateema100ema20ema10 ema5 Slow Hourly
Trend
Fast Hourly
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ClosePatternTradePSMA5
BBV
 WTF lsma10
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ema5
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ema10
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Volume
millions
Quarterly
Strength
100
Daily
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Daily
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Force
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StdDev
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BBV
BBVRSIVIXCD
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