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     Mon. Sep. 29, 2008

Trading Signals: ADM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Archer-Daniels-Midland Company)

ADM latest price $20.4900 (-10.45%) ($20.3400 - $22.8700) on Mon. Sep. 29, 2008.


Trend Analysis and Forecast
 
Average Daily Percentage Swing  3.22% (three month average)
RSI   46
Latest Price   $20.4900(-10.45%)
Stocks Behave Similarly  Similar Stock List
Daily Trend  ADM declines -2.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  ADM advances 0.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support ADM advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
  SPY(64%)    EEM(58%)    EWG(58%)    IWM(58%)    XLP(58%)  
Factors Impacting ADM price  ADM will decline at least -1.61% in a week (0% probabilities).
  TLT(-28%)    SHY(-14%)    TIP(-10%)    GLD(7%)    LQD(11%)  
 
 
Relative Volatility   (options are extremely cheap)
 
Market Trend Strength  -1.61% (StdDev 3.22%)
Hourly BBV   0 ()
Intraday Trend   -9.4%
  
 

  


Resistance Level  $22.99
5 Day Moving Average  $22.91(-10.56%)
10 Day Moving Average  $22.74(-9.89%)
20 Day Moving Average  $22.99(-10.87%)
To recent high  -39.3%
To recent low  0%
Market Cap  $11.392b
 
 
 
Archer-Daniels-Midland Co. processes oilseeds, corn, wheat, cocoa and other agricultural commodities. The company operates through the following segments: Oilseeds Processing, Corn Processing, Wild Flavors & Specialty Ingredients and Agricultural Services. The Oilseeds Processing segment includes activities related to the origination, merchandising, crushing, and further processing of oilseeds such as soybeans and soft seeds, such as cottonseed, sunflower seed, canola, rapeseed, and flaxseed into vegetable oils and protein meals. The Corn Processing segment engages in corn wet milling and dry milling activities; and also converts corn into sweeteners, starches, and bioproducts. The Wild Flavors and Specialty Ingredients segment manufactures, sells, and distributes specialty products including natural flavor ingredients, flavor systems, natural colors, proteins, emulsifiers, soluble fiber, polyols, hydrocolloids, natural health and nutrition products, other specialty food, and feed ingredients. The Agricultural Services segment utilizes its extensive United States grain elevator and global transportation network to buy, store, clean, and transport agricultural commodities, such as oilseeds, corn, wheat, milo, oats, rice and barley. It resells these commodities primarily as food and feed ingredients and as raw materials for the agricultural processing industry. Archer-Daniels-Midland was founded in 1902 and is headquartered in Chicago, IL.

$. ADM price fluctuates within 4.61% (three month std-dev: 3.22%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 4   Average positive next day return: 3.91%(25%)   Average negative next day return: -2.13%(75%)
Sample size 4   Average positive next three day return: 7.74%(25%)   Average negative next three day return: -6.59%(75%)
Sample size 4   Average positive next weekly return: 11.3%(50%)   Average negative next weekly return: -11.4%(50%)

Analysis   News   Options   Weekly Chart   Daily Chart   2 Month Daily Chart   

  >  20081029

iDateema100ema20ema10 ema5 Slow Hourly
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1Sep_29_200830.6522.9922.7422.91 23.02 22.320.49(-10.45%)DTOpenShort-75-2.3   -29   -200   -36   -7   8.63    31%-0.74-56.63.22%0-2.4460
2Sep_26_200830.8823.2422.9923.47 23.56 23.3222.88(-3.09%)N/AN/A0-0.6   -3   -60   -12   26   6.45    34%-0.71-48.12.99%0-0.4490
3Sep_25_200831.123.3823.0923.63 23.64 23.7423.61(-0.21%)UDOpenLong75-0   23   30   14   49   9.45    35%-0.67-412.98%00.2510
4Sep_24_200831.3123.4722.9923.21 23.37 23.823.66(-1%)UDOpenLong750.4   27   150   25   31   10.93    35%-0.67-48.12.98%00.1540
5Sep_23_200831.5223.5422.8322.74 22.7 23.5423.9(2.62%)RBSmallLong200.9   12   250   20   -13   10.84    37%-0.66-56.12.98%00.3470
 
6Sep_22_200831.7323.622.8322.56 22.24 22.9423.29(-1.65%)N/AN/A00.5   7   180   23   -43   8.81    37%-0.66-57.72.98%0-0.2430
7Sep_19_200831.9423.7422.6522.46 22.04 21.8523.68(9.94%)DPOpenShort-650.8   -17   -120   2   -73   16.76    37%-0.62-56.42.98%0-0420
8Sep_18_200832.1423.8722.622.52 22.18 21.5421.54(1.08%)DPOpenShort-75-0.6   -47   -250   -25   -111   13.54    30%-0.71-52.22.68%0-1.5280
9Sep_17_200832.3724.122.7522.73 22.68 22.2321.31(-7.35%)DTOpenShort-75-0.9   -43   -150   -17   -121   8.29    30%-0.74-52.92.67%0-1.8290
10Sep_16_200832.6124.3123.0822.89 22.75 22.8123(1.05%)DPOpenShort-650.1   -29   0   1   -118   9.68    32%-0.76-59.92.55%0-0.9380
 
11Sep_15_200832.8624.4323.2522.72 22.63 23.1322.76(-5.09%)DPOpenShort-650   -29   140   5   -132   5.77    32%-0.76-66.82.54%0-1.2350
12Sep_12_200833.1124.6123.522.85 22.55 22.6923.98(6.06%)DPOpenShort-650.8   -23   0   14   -132   8.58    29%-0.69-66.82.49%0-0.4360
13Sep_11_200833.3424.7323.6722.73 22.66 22.1322.61(2.31%)DPOpenShort-75-0.1   -44   -170   -10   -146   7.34    24%-0.74-65.52.63%0-1.5230
14Sep_10_200833.5924.9523.9722.81 22.85 22.4222.1(-0.14%)DTHoldShort-65-0.5   -66   -130   -35   -158   9.83    24%-0.77-67.22.61%0-2240
15Sep_9_200833.8525.224.323.29 23.29 23.1822.13(-5.51%)DTOpenShort-75-0.9   -53   -30   -26   -133   8.11    24%-0.76-61.22.61%0-2.3320
 
16Sep_8_200834.1125.4224.6523.85 23.78 23.2923.42(0.04%)DPOpenShort-75-0.4   -42   -150   -20   -108   8.48    26%-0.7-63.32.55%0-1.8370
17Sep_5_200834.3525.5824.9224.26 24.19 23.423.41(1.92%)DPOpenShort-75-0.8   -55   -240   -41   -97   12.71    25%-0.67-65.82.56%0-2.1330
18Sep_4_200834.5825.7225.2424.76 24.88 24.2722.97(-6.4%)DTOpenShort-75-2   -46   -160   -37   -72   12.99    25%-0.63-73.72.55%0-3.1270
19Sep_3_200834.825.9525.5725.31 25.38 24.9824.54(-1.49%)DTOpenShort-75-1.1   -24   -100   -17   -45   6.02    26%-0.57-84.82.45%0-2320
20Sep_2_20083526.0225.6725.45 25.56 25.524.91(-2.16%)DTOpenShort-75-0.9   -19   -0   -9   -48   7.15    26%-0.77-111.82.46%0-1.8330
 
21Aug_29_200835.2726.1525.7325.55 25.56 25.7825.46(-1.81%)DTOpenShort-75-0.1   -14   60   -2   -49   6.12    26%-0.48-97.62.44%0-0.9430
22Aug_28_200835.4426.2825.8125.7 25.6 25.6325.93(0.89%)DPOpenShort-750.3   -12   -0   -1   -44   3.94    25%-0.51-86.92.44%0-0.4450
23Aug_27_200835.6226.425.8725.82 25.76 25.4225.7(1.82%)DPOpenShort-75-0.1   -15   -100   -8   -35   3.92    24%-0.5-76.92.49%0-0.7480
24Aug_26_200835.826.5625.9825.89 25.95 25.5825.24(-0.67%)DTOpenShort-75-0.6   -19   -90   -12   -38   6.07    24%-0.5-73.92.48%0-1.2350
25Aug_25_200835.9826.7326.1425.91 26.02 26.125.41(-3.05%)DTOpenShort-75-0.4   -9   30   -3   -25   4.44    24%-76.52.5%0-1.1490
iDateema100ema20ema10 ema5 Slow Hourly
Trend
Fast Hourly
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ClosePatternTradePSMA5
BBV
 WTF lsma10
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ema5
Trend
ema10
Trend
Volume
millions
Quarterly
Strength
100
Daily
Trend
Daily
Trend
Force
Daily
StdDev
Hourly
BBV
BBVRSIVIXCD
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