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     Fri. Aug. 25, 2006

Trading Signals: ADM Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Archer-Daniels-Midland Company)

ADM latest price $41.7400 (0%) ($41.2000 - $41.9700) on Fri. Aug. 25, 2006.


Trend Analysis and Forecast
 
Average Daily Percentage Swing  2.2% (three month average)
RSI   52
Latest Price   $41.7400(0%)
Stocks Behave Similarly  Similar Stock List
Daily Trend  ADM advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  ADM advances 0.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support ADM advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
  SPY(62%)    EEM(57%)    EWG(56%)    IWM(56%)    VWO(56%)  
Factors Impacting ADM price  ADM will decline at least -1.1% in a week (0% probabilities).
  TLT(-28%)    SHY(-16%)    TIP(-10%)    GLD(8%)    LQD(10%)  
Explanation   The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
 
 
Relative Volatility   (options are extremely cheap)
 
Market Trend Strength  -1.1% (StdDev 2.2%)
Hourly BBV   0 ()
Intraday Trend   0%
  
 

  


5 Day Moving Average  $41.61(0.31%)
10 Day Moving Average  $41.09(1.58%)
20 Day Moving Average  $41.48(0.63%)
To recent high  -5.1%
To recent low  9.2%
Market Cap  $23.207b
 
 
 
Archer-Daniels-Midland Co. processes oilseeds, corn, wheat, cocoa and other agricultural commodities. The company operates through the following segments: Oilseeds Processing, Corn Processing, Wild Flavors & Specialty Ingredients and Agricultural Services. The Oilseeds Processing segment includes activities related to the origination, merchandising, crushing, and further processing of oilseeds such as soybeans and soft seeds, such as cottonseed, sunflower seed, canola, rapeseed, and flaxseed into vegetable oils and protein meals. The Corn Processing segment engages in corn wet milling and dry milling activities; and also converts corn into sweeteners, starches, and bioproducts. The Wild Flavors and Specialty Ingredients segment manufactures, sells, and distributes specialty products including natural flavor ingredients, flavor systems, natural colors, proteins, emulsifiers, soluble fiber, polyols, hydrocolloids, natural health and nutrition products, other specialty food, and feed ingredients. The Agricultural Services segment utilizes its extensive United States grain elevator and global transportation network to buy, store, clean, and transport agricultural commodities, such as oilseeds, corn, wheat, milo, oats, rice and barley. It resells these commodities primarily as food and feed ingredients and as raw materials for the agricultural processing industry. Archer-Daniels-Midland was founded in 1902 and is headquartered in Chicago, IL.

$. ADM price fluctuates within 2.7% (three month std-dev: 2.2%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0   Average positive next day return: 0%(0%)   Average negative next day return: 0%(0%)
Sample size 0   Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%)   Average negative next three day return: %(0%)
Sample size 0   Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%)   Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis   News   Options   Weekly Chart   Daily Chart   2 Month Daily Chart   

  >  20060925

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1Aug_25_200640.6941.4841.0941.61 41.64 41.741.74(0%)UTHoldLong500.1   8   10   4   19   2.8    51%0.12-72.2%00.252NAN
2Aug_24_200640.6441.564141.51 41.58 41.6641.74(0.24%)UTOpenLong750.2   16   20   15   19   1.56    51%0.16.32.22%00.255NAN
3Aug_23_200640.641.594141.1 41.26 41.5741.64(0.34%)RBSmallLong200.5   7   60   11   -6   2.01    51%0.155.52.22%0047NAN
4Aug_22_200640.5441.6140.8740.87 40.91 41.5141.5(0.12%)N/AN/A00.6   9   110   18   -18   2.24    51%0.151.12.22%0-0.141NAN
5Aug_21_200640.4841.6340.8540.77 40.69 40.9541.45(0.61%)N/AN/A00.6   9   40   23   -35   3.24    51%0.21.72.23%0-0.236NAN
 
6Aug_18_200640.441.5640.8340.5 40.53 40.3141.2(3.7%)DPOpenShort-750.5   -18   -40   -1   -69   4.6    45%0.2-8.12.23%0-0.335NAN
7Aug_17_200640.3241.4940.840.43 40.56 40.4239.73(-1.78%)DTOpenShort-75-0.5   -33   -10   -13   -91   3.49    37%0.12-182.29%0-1.329NAN
8Aug_16_200640.2741.5341.0340.6 40.72 40.7640.45(-1.39%)DTOpenShort-75-0.1   -26   20   -6   -84   3.53    37%0.15-20.52.34%0-0.940NAN
9Aug_15_200640.2141.641.2640.87 40.81 40.741.02(2.27%)DPOpenShort-750.1   -21   -20   -4   -72   3.38    37%0.17-18.12.36%0-0.545NAN
10Aug_14_200640.1441.6141.5340.95 41.04 40.6940.11(-1.76%)DTOpenShort-75-0.7   -26   -50   -13   -63   3.52    37%0.12-25.82.35%0-1.242NAN
 
11Aug_11_200640.0941.6741.9141.21 41.28 40.9140.83(0.64%)DPOpenShort-75-0.3   -16   -60   -10   -32   2.59    37%0.15-28.52.36%0-0.759NAN
12Aug_10_200640.0341.7342.1841.23 41.25 41.3840.57(-2.97%)DTOpenShort-75-0.6   -13   20   -14   -11   4.24    37%0.13-33.22.36%0-160NAN
13Aug_9_200639.9841.7942.3841.51 41.42 41.6541.81(0.94%)UTOpenLong750.3   9   30   6   19   2.76    45%0.18-30.42.34%0061NAN
14Aug_8_200639.9141.8342.4341.72 41.49 41.1241.42(-0.02%)N/AN/A0-0.2   -8   -80   -17   19   2.68    50%0.18-22.42.41%0-0.349NAN
15Aug_7_200639.8441.9342.4942.22 41.92 41.241.43(1.27%)N/AN/A0-0.6   -17   -140   -33   32   5.5    50%0.15-9.32.53%0-0.453NAN
 
16Aug_4_200639.7842.0142.3742.73 42.82 41.8640.91(-2.6%)N/AN/A0-1.4   -12   -150   -31   44   5.43    45%0.188.62.53%0-0.951NAN
17Aug_3_200639.7142.1242.2743.26 43.31 42.6442(-2.01%)N/AN/A0-1   -7   -100   -25   48   5.14    49%0.227.92.69%0-0.151NAN
18Aug_2_200639.6342.1442.1143.34 43.57 43.7842.86(-2.37%)UDOpenLong75-0.4   14   50   0   55   6.47    56%0.238.42.71%00.656NAN
19Aug_1_200639.5542.114243.2 43.41 43.9843.9(-0.23%)UDOpenLong750.6   30   110   23   52   7.8    58%0.2845.42.97%01.454NAN
20Jul_31_200639.4442.0541.742.79 42.81 43.3644(1.1%)UTOpenLong751   30   90   29   32   5.05    58%0.3149.72.99%01.649NAN
 
21Jul_28_200639.3241.9141.3841.97 42.11 42.8443.52(2.57%)UTOpenLong751.4   24   130   31   2   3.92    58%0.2842.63.04%01.450NAN
22Jul_27_200639.2141.7841.1941.15 41.25 42.2542.43(0.66%)N/AN/A01.2   16   180   29   -25   4.98    58%0.3133.13.03%00.646NAN
23Jul_26_200639.0941.6741.0940.7 40.54 41.3842.15(0.72%)N/AN/A01.3   6   130   22   -44   4.09    58%0.2626.33.04%00.448NAN
24Jul_25_200638.9941.5441.1240.63 40.34 40.2541.85(4.94%)DPOpenShort-651   -5   -40   10   -49   4.11    56%0.2622.73.04%00.348NAN
25Jul_24_200638.8941.4541.2740.48 40.52 39.739.88(1.06%)DPOpenShort-75-0.5   -31   -140   -20   -64   4.78    53%24.13.03%0-1.233NAN
iDateema100ema20ema10 ema5 Slow Hourly
Trend
Fast Hourly
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ClosePatternTradePSMA5
BBV
 WTF lsma10
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millions
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Strength
100
Daily
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Force
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