Trading Signals: ADBE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Oct. 25, 2017

Trading Signals: ADBE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Adobe)
ADBE latest price $171.8300 (0.15%) ($170.0350 - $173.4100) on Wed. Oct. 25, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.91% (three month average)
RSI   80
Latest Price   $171.8300(0.15%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ADBE advances 2.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ADBE advances 7.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ADBE advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLK(75%)    IWF(74%)    VUG(74%)    IVW(73%)    QQQ(73%)
Factors Impacting ADBE price   ADBE will decline at least -0.955% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-17%)    VIXM(-14%)    TLT(-8%)    XHB(-1%)    SHY(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.955% (StdDev 1.91%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $172.59(-0.44%)
10 Day Moving Average   $162.97(5.44%)
20 Day Moving Average   $156.69(9.66%)
To recent high   -2.2%
To recent low   18.9%
Market Cap   $82.478b

Adobe, Inc. engages in the provision of digital marketing and media solutions. It operates through the following segments: Digital Media, Digital Experience, and Publishing. The Digital Media segment offers creative cloud services, which allow members to download and install the latest versions of products, such as Adobe Photoshop, Adobe Illustrator, Adobe Premiere Pro, Adobe Photoshop Light room and Adobe InDesign, as well as utilize other tools, such as Adobe Acrobat. The Digital Experience segment provides solutions, including analytics, social marketing, targeting, media optimization, digital experience management, and cross-channel campaign management, as well as premium video delivery and monetization. The Publishing segment includes legacy products and services for eLearning solutions, technical document publishing, web application development, and high-end printing. The company was founded by Charles M. Geschke and John E. Warnock in December 1982 and is headquartered in San Jose, CA.

$. ADBE price fluctuates within 6.18% (three month std-dev: 1.91%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 11 Average positive next day return: 0.98%(45%) Average negative next day return: -2.41%(55%) Sample size 11 Average positive next three day return: 1.7%(55%) Average negative next three day return: -4.88%(45%) Sample size 11 Average positive next weekly return: 2.94%(55%) Average negative next weekly return: -5.56%(45%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_25_2017	149.23	156.69	162.97	172.59	172.6	171.46	171.83(0.15%)	UT	HoldLong	65	-0.1	59	-50	3	227	2.79	59%	0.19	73.6	1.91%	0	1.6	80	0
2	Oct_24_2017	148.94	155.38	161.13	168.82	171.86	172.69	171.58(-0.34%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	116	90	78	230	2.66	59%	0.2	63.9	1.91%	0	1.8	82	0
3	Oct_23_2017	148.65	154.02	159.13	164.58	166.84	173.74	172.16(-1.98%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	204	330	193	237	3.22	59%	0.2	48.4	1.91%	0	2.1	81	0
4	Oct_20_2017	148.36	152.58	156.98	160.24	160.87	171.02	175.64(2.28%)	UT	HoldLong	65	2	381	450	412	286	6.02	61%	0.23	32	1.89%	0	3.1	88	0
5	Oct_19_2017	148.02	151.11	154.35	155.9	155.22	159.95	171.73(12.24%)	UT	HoldLong	65	2.9	299	200	329	209	13.52	59%	0.2	17.2	1.88%	0	3.8	82	0

6	Oct_18_2017	147.72	149.87	152.03	152.28	151.58	150.72	153(1.74%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	11	-50	-8	67	4.29	41%	0.07	-12.6	1.13%	0	1.2	69	0
7	Oct_17_2017	147.61	149.7	151.55	152.41	152.19	150.49	150.38(-0.05%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.7	-74	-80	-110	36	3.55	37%	0.02	-19.9	1.12%	0	0.2	66	0
8	Oct_16_2017	147.58	149.97	151.41	152.76	152.89	152.44	150.46(-2.25%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.7	-38	-20	-74	71	3.83	37%	0.06	-15	1.12%	0	0.2	69	0
9	Oct_13_2017	147.49	150.2	151.21	152.97	153.16	153.89	153.93(0.21%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	76	40	53	144	2.52	40%	0.07	-14.5	1.08%	0	1.1	85	0
10	Oct_12_2017	147.38	150.19	150.71	152.41	152.44	153.33	153.61(-0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	91	40	73	144	2.43	45%	0.09	-20	1.09%	0	1	63	0

11	Oct_11_2017	147.25	150.21	150.04	151.73	151.59	152.43	153.65(0.99%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	89	40	77	124	2.79	45%	0.1	-25.4	1.11%	0	1	60	0
12	Oct_10_2017	147.11	150.29	149.31	150.59	150.71	151.55	152.15(0.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	77	40	73	89	2.82	45%	0.1	-30.1	1.11%	0	0.5	54	0
13	Oct_9_2017	146.97	150.45	148.63	149.88	149.64	150.76	151.5(0.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	59	50	66	36	1.46	45%	0.1	-31.5	1.11%	0	0.3	36	0
14	Oct_6_2017	146.82	150.68	147.94	149.17	149	149.86	151.12(0.58%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	54	40	75	-11	2.28	47%	0.12	-34.1	1.12%	0	0.1	38	0
15	Oct_5_2017	146.65	150.87	147.63	148.78	148.61	148.52	150.25(1.55%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	12	-10	34	-56	2.41	51%	0.11	-35.8	1.12%	0	-0.2	40	0

16	Oct_4_2017	146.49	151.11	147.49	148.1	148.29	148.14	147.95(-0.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-36	-0	-12	-106	2.89	48%	0.07	-38.5	1.13%	0	-0.8	33	0
17	Oct_3_2017	146.39	151.41	147.66	147.8	147.94	148.7	148.6(0.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-4	40	33	-116	1.81	45%	0.08	-39.7	1.13%	0	-0.7	32	0
18	Oct_2_2017	146.27	151.7	148.36	147.16	147.42	148.44	147.94(-0.83%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	38	50	85	-103	2.34	45%	0.08	-41.2	1.17%	0	-0.9	30	0
19	Sep_29_2017	146.16	152.06	149.08	146.48	146.51	147.18	149.18(1.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-1	30	45	-139	2.18	42%	0.09	-43	1.16%	0	-0.7	31	0
20	Sep_28_2017	146.03	152.36	149.56	146.35	146.13	146.41	146.83(0.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-37	10	4	-161	1.67	39%	0.08	-39.6	1.17%	0	-1.4	30	0

21	Sep_27_2017	145.92	152.73	150.35	146.84	146.68	146.41	146.43(0.71%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-65	-40	-30	-170	2.95	37%	0.08	-35.8	1.17%	0	-1.6	28	0
22	Sep_26_2017	145.81	153.06	151.33	147.55	147.54	145.85	145.4(0.57%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-145	-80	-130	-190	3.28	37%	0.08	-33.6	1.19%	0	-2.1	32	0
23	Sep_25_2017	145.7	153.43	152.45	149.79	148.92	147.52	144.57(-2.65%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-159	-80	-159	-158	4.87	37%	0.06	-15.6	1.19%	0	-2.8	29	0
24	Sep_22_2017	145.61	153.84	153.73	152.03	151.43	149.22	148.5(-0.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-102	-110	-105	-94	2.93	43%	0.1	11.3	1.15%	0	-2.2	33	0
25	Sep_21_2017	145.46	154	154.47	153.22	153.11	150.32	149.3(-0.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-167	-130	-188	-105	4.99	47%		33.1	1.15%	0	-2.1	34	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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