Trading Signals: ADBE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Mar. 1, 2017

Trading Signals: ADBE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Adobe)
ADBE latest price $120.3500 (1.7%) ($118.3800 - $120.5700) on Wed. Mar. 1, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.86% (three month average)
RSI   78
Latest Price   $120.3500(1.7%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ADBE advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ADBE advances 0.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ADBE advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLK(75%)    IWF(74%)    VUG(74%)    IVW(73%)    QQQ(73%)
Factors Impacting ADBE price   ADBE will decline at least -0.43% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-17%)    VIXM(-15%)    TLT(-8%)    IPO(-3%)    XHB(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.43% (StdDev 0.86%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $119.12(1.03%)
10 Day Moving Average   $119.21(0.96%)
20 Day Moving Average   $117.51(2.42%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   20.9%
Market Cap   $57.768b

Adobe, Inc. engages in the provision of digital marketing and media solutions. It operates through the following segments: Digital Media, Digital Experience, and Publishing. The Digital Media segment offers creative cloud services, which allow members to download and install the latest versions of products, such as Adobe Photoshop, Adobe Illustrator, Adobe Premiere Pro, Adobe Photoshop Light room and Adobe InDesign, as well as utilize other tools, such as Adobe Acrobat. The Digital Experience segment provides solutions, including analytics, social marketing, targeting, media optimization, digital experience management, and cross-channel campaign management, as well as premium video delivery and monetization. The Publishing segment includes legacy products and services for eLearning solutions, technical document publishing, web application development, and high-end printing. The company was founded by Charles M. Geschke and John E. Warnock in December 1982 and is headquartered in San Jose, CA.

$. ADBE price fluctuates within 1.83% (three month std-dev: 0.86%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 39 Average positive next day return: 0.42%(49%) Average negative next day return: -0.6%(51%) Sample size 39 Average positive next three day return: 0.9%(51%) Average negative next three day return: -0.87%(49%) Sample size 39 Average positive next weekly return: 1.33%(49%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.74%(51%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170401

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_1_2017	108.88	117.51	119.21	119.12	118.9	119.07	120.35(1.7%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	41	0	31	72	2.36	69%	0.12	63.4	0.86%	0	1.3	78	0
2	Feb_28_2017	108.75	117.17	118.93	118.95	118.81	118.64	118.34(-0.37%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	2	-10	-16	55	2.01	61%	0.09	59.3	0.98%	0	0.5	77	0
3	Feb_27_2017	108.65	116.95	118.88	119.2	119.05	118.73	118.78(-0.44%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	2	-20	-23	77	1.55	61%	0.09	66.8	0.98%	0	0.8	83	0
4	Feb_24_2017	108.55	116.72	118.71	119.38	119.29	118.98	119.31(0.4%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	7	-20	-22	92	1.94	61%	0.11	75.4	0.98%	0	1.1	78	0
5	Feb_23_2017	108.43	116.4	118.44	119.31	119.39	119.37	118.83(-0.54%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	22	0	-8	113	2.38	61%	0.09	79.9	0.99%	0	1	83	0

6	Feb_22_2017	108.33	116.17	118.19	119.29	119.3	119.59	119.47(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	55	20	26	143	1.98	61%	0.11	92.5	0.99%	0	1.4	86	0
7	Feb_21_2017	108.21	115.87	117.75	118.91	118.95	119.41	119.63(-0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	70	30	44	149	2.03	61%	0.1	104.7	0.99%	0	1.7	87	0
8	Feb_17_2017	108.1	115.44	117.24	118.51	118.38	119.02	119.67(0.62%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	75	30	51	146	2.14	63%	0.11	97.6	0.99%	0	1.7	82	0
9	Feb_16_2017	107.98	114.99	116.78	117.95	117.9	118.49	118.93(0.17%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	84	30	65	142	1.65	63%	0.09	94.9	1.01%	0	1.6	78	0
10	Feb_15_2017	107.88	114.54	116.21	117.45	117.25	117.74	118.73(0.98%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	62	20	42	123	1.7	63%	0.08	87.9	1.01%	0	1.6	81	0

11	Feb_14_2017	107.79	114.04	115.67	116.93	116.84	117.31	117.58(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	65	30	50	109	1.56	63%	0.1	80.7	1.01%	0	1.3	66	0
12	Feb_13_2017	107.68	113.58	115.25	116.41	116.36	116.77	117.65(0.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	58	20	47	91	1.91	63%	0.09	77.9	1.03%	0	1.6	68	0
13	Feb_10_2017	107.58	113.12	114.85	115.77	115.78	116.37	116.85(0.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	52	40	41	85	2.61	55%	0.08	71.5	1.03%	0	1.4	75	0
14	Feb_9_2017	107.49	112.71	114.54	115.43	115.27	115.95	116.44(0.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	66	40	57	92	1.69	55%	0.08	73	1.13%	0	1.4	75	0
15	Feb_8_2017	107.4	112.33	114.18	114.78	114.77	115.19	116.13(1.02%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	61	30	52	88	2.59	55%	0.15	76.5	1.13%	0	1.5	77	0

16	Feb_7_2017	107.24	111.94	113.97	114.22	114.14	114.6	114.96(0.44%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	42	30	26	88	1.64	59%	0.15	81.3	1.13%	0	1.2	77	0
17	Feb_6_2017	107.08	111.61	113.83	113.91	113.73	114.36	114.46(-0.62%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	56	30	38	108	3.07	59%	0.15	89.2	1.16%	0	1.1	78	0
18	Feb_3_2017	106.92	111.31	113.5	113.78	113.47	113.68	115.17(1.78%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	56	0	36	117	2.51	59%	0.15	97.8	1.16%	0	1.6	78	0
19	Feb_2_2017	106.76	110.85	113.06	113.54	113.19	113.1	113.16(-0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	20	-10	-9	105	1.7	56%	0.14	97.8	1.15%	0	0.9	74	0
20	Feb_1_2017	106.61	110.42	112.76	113.49	113.31	113.25	113.36(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	24	-10	-5	111	1.86	56%	0.14	86.1	1.16%	0	1	72	0

21	Jan_31_2017	106.46	109.94	112.33	113.66	113.37	113.28	113.38(-0.39%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	23	-10	-9	120	1.72	56%	0.12	79.2	1.16%	0	1.1	74	0
22	Jan_30_2017	106.33	109.43	111.82	113.73	113.54	113.37	113.82(-0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	39	-20	9	129	2.18	56%	0.14	79.4	1.16%	0	1.4	74	0
23	Jan_27_2017	106.18	108.93	111.3	113.16	113.39	113.46	113.99(0.98%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	42	10	15	121	1.7	56%	0.12	68.1	1.16%	0	1.6	76	0
24	Jan_26_2017	106.05	108.41	110.75	112.51	112.77	113.72	112.88(-1.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	68	70	47	131	2.75	56%	0.09	60.4	1.16%	0	1.4	79	0
25	Jan_25_2017	105.95	108.01	110.35	111.89	111.97	113.32	114.25(0.47%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	126	90	113	164	4.12	55%		55.6	1.16%	0	1.9	90	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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