Trading Signals: ADBE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Mar. 21, 2016

Trading Signals: ADBE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Adobe)
ADBE latest price $92.5000 (-0.98%) ($91.3300 - $93.2700) on Mon. Mar. 21, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.24% (three month average)
RSI   61
Latest Price   $92.5000(-0.98%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ADBE advances 1.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ADBE advances 2.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ADBE advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWF(74%)    VUG(74%)    XLK(74%)    IVW(73%)    QQQ(73%)
Factors Impacting ADBE price   ADBE will decline at least -1.12% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-17%)    UUP(-16%)    TLT(-8%)    IPO(-6%)    SHY(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.12% (StdDev 2.24%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $90.18(2.57%)
10 Day Moving Average   $88.01(5.1%)
20 Day Moving Average   $87.04(6.27%)
To recent high   -3%
To recent low   25.3%
Market Cap   $44.4b

Adobe, Inc. engages in the provision of digital marketing and media solutions. It operates through the following segments: Digital Media, Digital Experience, and Publishing. The Digital Media segment offers creative cloud services, which allow members to download and install the latest versions of products, such as Adobe Photoshop, Adobe Illustrator, Adobe Premiere Pro, Adobe Photoshop Light room and Adobe InDesign, as well as utilize other tools, such as Adobe Acrobat. The Digital Experience segment provides solutions, including analytics, social marketing, targeting, media optimization, digital experience management, and cross-channel campaign management, as well as premium video delivery and monetization. The Publishing segment includes legacy products and services for eLearning solutions, technical document publishing, web application development, and high-end printing. The company was founded by Charles M. Geschke and John E. Warnock in December 1982 and is headquartered in San Jose, CA.

$. ADBE price fluctuates within 3.03% (three month std-dev: 2.24%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 17 Average positive next day return: 1.16%(41%) Average negative next day return: -0.94%(59%) Sample size 17 Average positive next three day return: 2.22%(59%) Average negative next three day return: -2.93%(41%) Sample size 17 Average positive next weekly return: 3.31%(53%) Average negative next weekly return: -4.29%(47%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160421

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_21_2016	88.49	87.04	88.01	90.18	91.13	94.04	92.5(-0.98%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	72	260	68	83	4.66	58%	0.05	87.5	2.24%	0	2.1	61	0
2	Mar_18_2016	88.45	86.58	87.25	89.08	89.69	92.33	93.42(3.85%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	126	230	137	92	12.53	55%	0.07	90.3	2.24%	0	2.6	72	0
3	Mar_17_2016	88.39	85.95	86.45	87.59	87.45	88.23	89.96(2.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	45	60	49	31	6.91	53%	0.01	94.9	2.22%	0	1.7	59	0
4	Mar_16_2016	88.38	85.48	86.13	86.57	86.57	87.05	88.17(1.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	18	40	23	4	3.38	54%	0	96.6	2.21%	0	1.2	54	0
5	Mar_15_2016	88.38	85.17	86.1	85.99	85.96	86.67	86.83(-0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	21	60	25	9	2.91	54%	-0.02	95.3	2.21%	0	0.7	62	0

6	Mar_14_2016	88.4	84.79	86.23	85.5	85.47	86.1	87.01(1.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	28	50	31	17	3.75	55%	-0.01	97.3	2.21%	0	0.9	64	0
7	Mar_11_2016	88.41	84.3	86.04	85.12	84.91	85.26	86(1.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	9	20	10	6	3.33	57%	-0.02	75.2	2.22%	0	0.6	58	0
8	Mar_10_2016	88.43	83.79	86.1	85.15	84.82	84.84	84.85(-0.49%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	1	-10	-5	17	2.97	57%	-0.02	49.5	2.24%	0	0.3	64	0
9	Mar_9_2016	88.45	83.36	86.29	85.62	85.3	84.55	85.27(1.09%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-7	-70	-22	37	2.49	55%	-0.01	34	2.24%	0	0.5	67	0
10	Mar_8_2016	88.46	82.82	86.15	86.25	86.01	84.8	84.35(-0.89%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.4	-25	-110	-48	43	3.25	57%	-0.05	20.3	2.26%	0	0.3	59	0

11	Mar_7_2016	88.5	82.38	86.07	87.05	86.92	86.04	85.11(-1.24%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-4	-80	-31	78	3.12	54%	-0.05	10.1	2.28%	0	0.6	68	0
12	Mar_4_2016	88.54	82.08	85.97	87.06	87.33	87.21	86.18(-1.18%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	21	-0	-9	109	3	56%	-0.01	0.7	2.31%	0	0.9	75	0
13	Mar_3_2016	88.55	82.04	85.49	87.14	87.01	87.8	87.21(-1.33%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	44	60	12	138	3.08	54%	0.05	2.8	2.33%	0	1.1	80	0
14	Mar_2_2016	88.51	82.02	84.85	87.04	86.71	87.45	88.39(0.02%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	75	50	44	167	2.86	54%	0.06	5.2	2.35%	0	1.3	81	0
15	Mar_1_2016	88.46	81.93	84.18	86.04	86.08	86.21	88.37(3.78%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	65	10	29	172	3.6	54%	0.05	0.3	2.35%	0	1.4	83	0

16	Feb_29_2016	88.42	81.91	83.22	84.98	85.01	85.97	85.15(-1.67%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	49	80	10	167	3.16	52%	0.02	-3.2	2.28%	0	0.7	75	0
17	Feb_26_2016	88.4	82.05	82.42	84.71	84.47	85.95	86.6(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	93	110	64	180	3.72	52%	0.05	-5.2	2.28%	0	0.9	63	0
18	Feb_25_2016	88.36	81.91	81.27	83.57	83.65	84.05	86.68(3.91%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	70	40	53	122	3.28	52%	0.08	-14.9	2.29%	0	1	48	0
19	Feb_24_2016	88.29	81.77	80.14	82.34	82.35	82.99	83.42(0.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	12	50	2	43	2.67	50%	-0.02	-24.8	2.24%	0	0.3	41	0
20	Feb_23_2016	88.31	81.91	79.2	82.02	82.08	83.24	83.07(-0.87%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	44	100	53	15	2.96	50%	-0.03	-28.2	2.24%	0	0.2	40	0

21	Feb_22_2016	88.34	82.07	78.38	81.19	81.34	81.72	83.8(3.62%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.5	26	40	50	-46	3.62	50%	0	-34.5	2.23%	0	0.3	39	0
22	Feb_19_2016	88.34	82.31	77.84	79.76	80.1	80.93	80.87(0.42%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-9	90	27	-115	3.93	48%	-0.03	-40.5	2.18%	0	-0.3	34	0
23	Feb_18_2016	88.37	82.65	78.27	78.57	79.09	80.96	80.53(-1.61%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	27	190	74	-114	3.56	48%	-0.02	-46.1	2.18%	0	-0.4	44	0
24	Feb_17_2016	88.39	83.01	78.89	77.57	77.36	79.28	81.85(3.77%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	33	170	84	-121	4.47	48%	0.02	-52.1	2.18%	0	-0.2	45	0
25	Feb_16_2016	88.37	83.35	79.38	75.97	76.12	77.22	78.88(2.88%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	8	110	64	-161	4.74	45%		-58.9	2.12%	0	-0.8	37	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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