Trading Signals: ADBE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Dec. 17, 2015

Trading Signals: ADBE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Adobe)
ADBE latest price $94.2000 (-1.42%) ($94.1900 - $96.4200) on Thu. Dec. 17, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.65% (three month average)
RSI   54
Latest Price   $94.2000(-1.42%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ADBE advances 1.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ADBE advances 1.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ADBE advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWF(74%)    VUG(74%)    XLK(74%)    IVW(73%)    QQQ(73%)
Factors Impacting ADBE price   ADBE will decline at least -0.825% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-18%)    UUP(-15%)    TLT(-9%)    SHY(-2%)    IGOV(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.825% (StdDev 1.65%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $93.69(0.54%)
10 Day Moving Average   $92.18(2.19%)
20 Day Moving Average   $91.94(2.46%)
To recent high   -1.4%
To recent low   18%
Market Cap   $45.216b

Adobe, Inc. engages in the provision of digital marketing and media solutions. It operates through the following segments: Digital Media, Digital Experience, and Publishing. The Digital Media segment offers creative cloud services, which allow members to download and install the latest versions of products, such as Adobe Photoshop, Adobe Illustrator, Adobe Premiere Pro, Adobe Photoshop Light room and Adobe InDesign, as well as utilize other tools, such as Adobe Acrobat. The Digital Experience segment provides solutions, including analytics, social marketing, targeting, media optimization, digital experience management, and cross-channel campaign management, as well as premium video delivery and monetization. The Publishing segment includes legacy products and services for eLearning solutions, technical document publishing, web application development, and high-end printing. The company was founded by Charles M. Geschke and John E. Warnock in December 1982 and is headquartered in San Jose, CA.

$. ADBE price fluctuates within 1.72% (three month std-dev: 1.65%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 28 Average positive next day return: 0.82%(43%) Average negative next day return: -1.01%(57%) Sample size 28 Average positive next three day return: 1.49%(39%) Average negative next three day return: -1.72%(61%) Sample size 28 Average positive next weekly return: 1.49%(46%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.28%(54%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_17_2015	85.59	91.94	92.18	93.69	94.16	94.97	94.2(-1.42%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	46	80	40	63	3.07	63%	0.16	57	1.65%	0	1.4	54	INF
2	Dec_16_2015	85.45	91.79	91.74	92.64	93.36	94.59	95.56(1.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2	71	120	78	49	2.61	63%	0.18	41.4	1.64%	0	2.5	58	INF
3	Dec_15_2015	85.3	91.51	91.34	91.44	92.05	93.35	94.02(0.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.1	51	120	62	16	4.1	61%	0.18	22.6	1.64%	0	2	54	INF
4	Dec_14_2015	85.15	91.29	91.15	90.98	91.04	92.13	93.26(2.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2	47	90	60	7	3.79	61%	0.14	13.4	1.64%	0	1.7	53	INF
5	Dec_11_2015	85.03	91.08	90.94	90.25	90.58	90.75	91.42(2.77%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	13	20	25	-25	8.32	60%	0.13	-10.2	1.63%	0	0.3	49	INF

6	Dec_10_2015	84.92	91.05	91	90.48	90.37	89.96	88.96(-0.67%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-30	-40	-26	-40	4.75	58%	0.09	-3.1	1.6%	0	-1.8	42	INF
7	Dec_9_2015	84.84	91.17	91.3	90.67	90.83	90.42	89.56(-2.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-25	-30	-22	-33	3.33	58%	0.11	1.7	1.6%	0	-1.5	46	INF
8	Dec_8_2015	84.75	91.22	91.56	91.17	91.02	90.78	91.72(2.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-23	-20	-25	-17	3.37	64%	0.11	15.2	1.58%	0	0.5	57	INF
9	Dec_7_2015	84.66	91.13	91.57	91.33	91.46	91.24	89.6(-3.22%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.6	-8	-10	-10	0	3.96	62%	0.09	19.1	1.62%	0	-1.5	52	INF
10	Dec_4_2015	84.58	91.2	91.82	91.7	91.71	91.25	92.58(2.97%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	-7	-30	-15	18	2.98	64%	0.12	40	1.57%	0	1.4	69	INF

11	Dec_3_2015	84.48	91.09	91.73	91.62	91.83	91.68	89.91(-2.29%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.8	-15	-0	-25	17	2.43	61%	0.09	51.4	1.56%	0	-1.2	47	INF
12	Dec_2_2015	84.4	91.15	91.89	91.62	92.08	92.16	92.02(-0.57%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	15	10	7	40	1.9	66%	0.12	77.2	1.53%	0	0.9	54	INF
13	Dec_1_2015	84.3	91.07	91.73	91.99	92.03	91.99	92.55(1.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	14	-0	5	39	1.55	61%	0.13	91	1.54%	0	1.6	63	INF
14	Nov_30_2015	84.19	90.93	91.46	91.87	91.86	92	91.46(-0.77%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	6	10	-3	33	2.38	61%	0.13	96.9	1.59%	0	0.6	61	INF
15	Nov_27_2015	84.08	90.8	91.24	91.94	91.84	92.08	92.17(0.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	19	20	13	36	0.63	63%	0.19	93.5	1.59%	0	1.4	58	INF

16	Nov_25_2015	83.92	90.6	91.1	91.86	91.81	91.71	91.77(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	12	-10	6	31	1.12	66%	0.13	77.8	1.65%	0	1	57	INF
17	Nov_24_2015	83.81	90.44	91.03	91.76	91.71	91.61	92(0.04%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	6	-10	-1	28	2.05	59%	0.14	80.6	1.65%	0	1.3	55	INF
18	Nov_23_2015	83.69	90.25	90.85	91.42	91.53	91.91	91.96(0.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	17	30	14	25	1.57	59%	0.1	79.5	1.81%	0	1.4	58	INF
19	Nov_20_2015	83.61	90.09	90.64	90.98	91.15	91.82	91.81(0.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	32	60	35	23	2.13	52%	0.13	70.9	1.91%	0	1.4	60	INF
20	Nov_19_2015	83.5	89.89	90.51	90.42	90.49	91.14	91.76(0.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	24	50	26	16	2.41	51%	0.13	56.9	1.96%	0	1.6	66	INF

21	Nov_18_2015	83.39	89.73	90.37	90.24	90.05	90.48	91.27(1.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	15	30	15	15	1.45	51%	0.13	53.1	1.96%	0	1.2	67	INF
22	Nov_17_2015	83.28	89.48	90.33	90.23	90.18	89.83	90.29(0.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	7	-30	3	18	1.74	51%	0.11	58.8	1.96%	0	0.6	61	INF
23	Nov_16_2015	83.19	89.31	90.34	90.22	90.32	89.62	89.77(0.84%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-15	-50	-25	14	2.2	51%	0.08	70.6	1.96%	0	0.3	61	INF
24	Nov_13_2015	83.12	89.25	90.34	90.23	90.44	90.53	89.02(-2%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-7	10	-16	22	1.83	52%	0.06	86.8	1.97%	0	-0.2	53	INF
25	Nov_12_2015	83.07	89.23	90.36	90.56	90.43	91.02	90.84(-0.41%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	28	40	22	47	2.46	54%		103.7	1.96%	0	1.1	68	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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