Trading Signals: ADBE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ ADBE: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Jun. 15, 2015

Trading Signals: ADBE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Adobe)
ADBE latest price $78.9000 (-1.2%) ($78.3500 - $79.2500) on Mon. Jun. 15, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.15% (three month average)
RSI   48
Latest Price   $78.9000(-1.2%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ADBE advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ADBE declines -0.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ADBE advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLK(74%)    QQQ(73%)    SPY(67%)    VT(64%)    XLY(63%)
Factors Impacting ADBE price   ADBE will decline at least -0.575% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-20%)    UUP(-12%)    TLT(-9%)    SHY(-3%)    IGOV(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.575% (StdDev 1.15%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.3%

Resistance Level   $79.45
5 Day Moving Average   $79.17(-0.34%)
10 Day Moving Average   $79.15(-0.32%)
20 Day Moving Average   $79.45(-0.69%)
To recent high   -2.1%
To recent low   8.1%
Market Cap   $37.872b

Adobe, Inc. engages in the provision of digital marketing and media solutions. It operates through the following segments: Digital Media, Digital Experience, and Publishing. The Digital Media segment offers creative cloud services, which allow members to download and install the latest versions of products, such as Adobe Photoshop, Adobe Illustrator, Adobe Premiere Pro, Adobe Photoshop Light room and Adobe InDesign, as well as utilize other tools, such as Adobe Acrobat. The Digital Experience segment provides solutions, including analytics, social marketing, targeting, media optimization, digital experience management, and cross-channel campaign management, as well as premium video delivery and monetization. The Publishing segment includes legacy products and services for eLearning solutions, technical document publishing, web application development, and high-end printing. The company was founded by Charles M. Geschke and John E. Warnock in December 1982 and is headquartered in San Jose, CA.

$. ADBE price fluctuates within 0.83% (three month std-dev: 1.15%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 1.15%(50%) Average negative next day return: -0.6%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 1.45%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -1.9%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 0.48%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -6.73%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150715

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_15_2015	76.49	79.45	79.15	79.17	79.3	79.27	78.9(-1.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-11	0	-8	-19	2.46	49%	0.07	47	1.15%	0	-0.8	48	INF
2	Jun_12_2015	76.44	79.46	79.25	79.03	78.99	79.71	79.86(0.26%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1.3	18	60	28	-11	1.79	56%	0.09	59	1.14%	0	0.6	48	INF
3	Jun_11_2015	76.37	79.43	79.17	78.83	78.72	79.33	79.65(0.11%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	37	50	55	-17	1.92	56%	0.1	83.1	1.16%	0	0.3	44	INF
4	Jun_10_2015	76.29	79.31	79.19	78.65	78.48	78.28	79.56(2.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.1	-10	-20	1	-44	1.78	51%	0.1	75.2	1.16%	0	0.3	50	INF
5	Jun_9_2015	76.21	79.18	79.23	78.76	78.61	78.12	77.9(-0.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-48	-50	-46	-55	2.1	46%	0.03	72.1	1.18%	0	-1.3	41	INF

6	Jun_8_2015	76.19	79.14	79.4	79.14	79.18	78.68	78.16(-0.89%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-35	-40	-34	-37	1.62	46%	0.09	79.6	1.18%	0	-0.9	44	INF
7	Jun_5_2015	76.12	79.07	79.59	79.49	79.49	79.11	78.86(0.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-26	-30	-29	-18	1.33	46%	0.12	79.2	1.18%	0	-0.2	52	INF
8	Jun_4_2015	76.03	78.89	79.76	79.53	79.66	79.68	78.75(-1.72%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-12	10	-14	-4	1.66	46%	0.12	61.3	1.19%	0	-0.1	47	INF
9	Jun_3_2015	75.94	78.7	79.86	79.53	79.68	79.87	80.13(0.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	14	10	9	29	1.97	50%	0.12	51.5	1.19%	0	0.8	69	INF
10	Jun_2_2015	75.85	78.45	79.81	79.79	79.71	79.63	79.82(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	18	-10	8	47	1.53	50%	0.12	46.6	1.2%	0	0.7	71	INF

11	Jun_1_2015	75.76	78.26	79.77	79.7	79.72	79.48	79.87(0.99%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	2	-20	-14	51	2.29	50%	0.12	43.7	1.2%	0	0.8	69	INF
12	May_29_2015	75.67	78.08	79.69	79.73	79.74	79.78	79.09(-1.16%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	3	0	-18	67	3.29	50%	0.08	44.3	1.21%	0	0.5	69	INF
13	May_28_2015	75.61	77.94	79.73	80.03	79.93	79.96	80.02(-0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	40	-0	13	119	1.25	50%	0.12	47.3	1.21%	0	1	80	INF
14	May_27_2015	75.52	77.76	79.46	79.95	79.91	79.69	80.16(1%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	28	-20	-5	126	1.67	50%	0.13	50.8	1.22%	0	1.2	82	INF
15	May_26_2015	75.42	77.55	79.12	79.84	79.83	79.91	79.37(-0.84%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	26	10	-10	134	2.08	50%	0.15	54.7	1.21%	0	1	75	INF

16	May_22_2015	75.31	77.4	78.88	79.85	79.86	80.14	80.04(-0.65%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	62	20	29	162	1.83	50%	0.07	64.3	1.19%	0	1.5	71	INF
17	May_21_2015	75.26	77.21	78.52	79.62	79.54	79.75	80.56(1.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	50	20	16	150	2.76	50%	0.11	74	1.2%	0	1.9	69	INF
18	May_20_2015	75.18	76.99	77.95	79.4	79.39	79.58	79.61(-0.01%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	56	20	27	142	2.64	50%	0.09	82.3	1.2%	0	1.7	68	INF
19	May_19_2015	75.11	76.78	77.44	78.89	79.14	79.34	79.62(0.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	56	30	36	116	2.07	50%	0.07	74.6	1.21%	0	1.9	63	INF
20	May_18_2015	75.06	76.53	76.98	78.28	78.45	79.2	79.41(0.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	52	70	39	92	1.44	50%	0.07	63	1.2%	0	2	65	INF

21	May_15_2015	75.01	76.25	76.6	77.76	77.77	78.94	78.92(-0.64%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	82	110	80	86	2.68	50%	0.05	46.6	1.2%	0	1.9	60	INF
22	May_14_2015	74.97	75.96	76.32	77.24	77.08	77.71	79.43(3.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	79	50	83	68	3.07	50%	0.07	29.2	1.21%	0	2.7	63	INF
23	May_13_2015	74.92	75.73	75.95	76.3	76.4	76.59	77.08(0.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	29	20	34	12	1.83	49%	0.04	6.6	1.15%	0	1.3	52	INF
24	May_12_2015	74.89	75.67	75.89	75.78	75.8	76.44	76.57(-0.28%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	19	60	26	-4	2.08	53%	0.03	-5.4	1.2%	0	0.9	57	INF
25	May_11_2015	74.87	75.63	75.82	75.46	75.43	76.21	76.79(0.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	43	70	56	5	2.14	53%		-13.3	1.22%	0	1.2	64	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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