Trading Signals: ADBE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. May. 5, 2015

Trading Signals: ADBE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Adobe)
ADBE latest price $75.0000 (-1.12%) ($74.7500 - $75.6300) on Tue. May. 5, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.2% (three month average)
RSI   45
Latest Price   $75.0000(-1.12%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ADBE declines -0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ADBE advances 0.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ADBE advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLK(74%)    QQQ(73%)    SPY(67%)    VT(64%)    XLY(63%)
Factors Impacting ADBE price   ADBE will decline at least -0.6% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-21%)    UUP(-11%)    TLT(-9%)    SHY(-3%)    IGOV(-3%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.6% (StdDev 1.2%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.5%

Resistance Level   $75.72
5 Day Moving Average   $76(-1.32%)
10 Day Moving Average   $76.1(-1.45%)
20 Day Moving Average   $75.72(-0.95%)
To recent high   -6%
To recent low   3.7%
Market Cap   $36b

Adobe, Inc. engages in the provision of digital marketing and media solutions. It operates through the following segments: Digital Media, Digital Experience, and Publishing. The Digital Media segment offers creative cloud services, which allow members to download and install the latest versions of products, such as Adobe Photoshop, Adobe Illustrator, Adobe Premiere Pro, Adobe Photoshop Light room and Adobe InDesign, as well as utilize other tools, such as Adobe Acrobat. The Digital Experience segment provides solutions, including analytics, social marketing, targeting, media optimization, digital experience management, and cross-channel campaign management, as well as premium video delivery and monetization. The Publishing segment includes legacy products and services for eLearning solutions, technical document publishing, web application development, and high-end printing. The company was founded by Charles M. Geschke and John E. Warnock in December 1982 and is headquartered in San Jose, CA.

$. ADBE price fluctuates within 1.19% (three month std-dev: 1.2%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0.7%(50%) Average negative next day return: -0.13%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -1.59%(100%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 2.05%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -0.32%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150605

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_5_2015	74.8	75.72	76.1	76	75.99	75.73	75(-1.12%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-18	-20	-34	30	2.05	49%	0.03	18.5	1.2%	0	-0.8	45	INF
2	May_4_2015	74.78	75.76	76.09	76.2	76.26	76.27	75.85(-0.76%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	9	0	-3	43	1.66	49%	0	35.9	1.2%	0	0.1	49	INF
3	May_1_2015	74.78	75.77	75.92	76.34	76.27	76.26	76.43(0.49%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	7	-0	-3	37	1.75	49%	0.09	54.2	1.19%	0	0.7	52	INF
4	Apr_30_2015	74.71	75.73	75.61	76.36	76.4	76.25	76.06(-0.77%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	1	-10	-5	18	2.11	45%	0.08	69.7	1.2%	0	0.4	46	INF
5	Apr_29_2015	74.65	75.68	75.52	76.46	76.46	76.29	76.65(0.83%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	2	-20	-3	15	2.42	49%	0.08	82.5	1.23%	0	1.1	51	INF

6	Apr_28_2015	74.59	75.55	75.44	76.23	76.36	76.55	76.02(-0.69%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	11	20	10	15	1.7	46%	0.05	65.9	1.25%	0	0.5	53	INF
7	Apr_27_2015	74.55	75.44	75.42	75.95	76.05	76.63	76.55(0.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	37	60	43	20	1.65	43%	0.05	41.6	1.26%	0	1.1	55	INF
8	Apr_24_2015	74.51	75.28	75.35	75.42	75.48	76.18	76.54(0.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	44	70	57	6	1.83	41%	0.05	9.6	1.3%	0	1.1	50	INF
9	Apr_23_2015	74.47	75.11	75.32	74.74	74.8	75.47	76.52(1.35%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.5	29	70	44	-17	1.71	41%	0.04	-23.4	1.31%	0	1.2	54	INF
10	Apr_22_2015	74.44	74.94	75.28	74.47	74.27	74.79	75.5(1.18%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	9	40	22	-30	1.52	43%	0.03	-43.4	1.3%	0	0.5	53	INF

11	Apr_21_2015	74.42	74.93	75.27	74.57	74.33	74.14	74.62(0.95%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-7	-30	0	-26	1.89	43%	0.01	-57.3	1.34%	0	-0.3	56	INF
12	Apr_20_2015	74.41	75.01	75.37	74.84	74.74	73.74	73.92(1.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-45	-100	-51	-28	1.69	43%	0	-57.1	1.33%	0	-0.9	55	INF
13	Apr_17_2015	74.41	75.18	75.62	75.26	75.31	74.53	73.15(-2.66%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-57	-70	-73	-7	3.86	43%	-0.01	-46.2	1.33%	0	-1.6	54	INF
14	Apr_16_2015	74.42	75.38	75.9	75.94	75.96	75.73	75.15(-1.16%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-6	-20	-25	52	2.07	50%	0.03	-34.1	1.29%	0	-0.2	70	INF
15	Apr_15_2015	74.4	75.46	75.91	76.17	76.22	76.09	76.03(0.11%)	UT	HoldLong	65	-0.1	21	-10	0	83	1.36	50%	0.07	-25.7	1.3%	0	0.4	76	INF

16	Apr_14_2015	74.35	75.61	75.72	76.05	76.16	76.19	75.95(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	16	10	-3	71	1.92	50%	0.07	-13.1	1.3%	0	0.2	52	INF
17	Apr_13_2015	74.3	75.72	75.5	75.99	76.06	76.35	76.02(-0.67%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	23	30	10	60	1.23	50%	0.07	-12.4	1.31%	0	0.2	46	INF
18	Apr_10_2015	74.25	75.79	75.24	76.04	75.97	76.12	76.53(0.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	27	10	21	45	1.8	50%	0.08	-11.6	1.31%	0	0.4	43	INF
19	Apr_9_2015	74.19	75.82	74.89	75.87	75.81	75.76	76.33(1.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	6	-10	5	10	1.56	50%	0.08	-17	1.32%	0	0.3	43	INF
20	Apr_8_2015	74.13	75.8	74.57	75.61	75.69	75.83	75.44(-0.28%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	6	20	13	-16	1.94	54%	0.07	-25.5	1.33%	0	-0.2	41	INF

21	Apr_7_2015	74.08	75.83	74.55	75.31	75.33	75.85	75.65(-0.76%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	14	50	32	-41	2.6	54%	0.08	-37.4	1.36%	0	-0.1	31	INF
22	Apr_6_2015	74.02	75.93	74.59	74.9	74.74	75.55	76.23(0.73%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	24	70	51	-58	2.56	51%	0.09	-47.7	1.36%	0	0.2	40	INF
23	Apr_2_2015	73.95	75.99	74.65	74.32	74.19	74.81	75.68(0.81%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	22	50	55	-76	2.16	51%	0.05	-58.4	1.38%	0	-0.2	42	INF
24	Apr_1_2015	73.91	76.12	74.76	73.78	73.6	73.93	75.07(1.53%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-5	20	29	-108	3.98	51%	0.05	-66.7	1.37%	0	-0.5	40	INF
25	Mar_31_2015	73.87	76.25	74.92	73.39	73.22	73.58	73.94(0.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-32	30	1	-129	2.56	49%		-71.5	1.37%	0	-1.2	43	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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