Trading Signals: ADBE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Mar. 16, 2015

Trading Signals: ADBE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Adobe)
ADBE latest price $78.3300 (0.91%) ($77.8000 - $78.5899) on Mon. Mar. 16, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.26% (three month average)
RSI   53
Latest Price   $78.3300(0.91%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ADBE advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ADBE declines -1.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ADBE advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLK(74%)    QQQ(73%)    SPY(66%)    VT(64%)    XLY(63%)
Factors Impacting ADBE price   ADBE will decline at least -0.63% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-21%)    UUP(-11%)    TLT(-10%)    IGOV(-4%)    SHY(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.63% (StdDev 1.26%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $77.07(1.63%)
10 Day Moving Average   $77.59(0.95%)
20 Day Moving Average   $77.93(0.51%)
To recent high   -1.8%
To recent low   11.9%
Market Cap   $37.598b

Adobe, Inc. engages in the provision of digital marketing and media solutions. It operates through the following segments: Digital Media, Digital Experience, and Publishing. The Digital Media segment offers creative cloud services, which allow members to download and install the latest versions of products, such as Adobe Photoshop, Adobe Illustrator, Adobe Premiere Pro, Adobe Photoshop Light room and Adobe InDesign, as well as utilize other tools, such as Adobe Acrobat. The Digital Experience segment provides solutions, including analytics, social marketing, targeting, media optimization, digital experience management, and cross-channel campaign management, as well as premium video delivery and monetization. The Publishing segment includes legacy products and services for eLearning solutions, technical document publishing, web application development, and high-end printing. The company was founded by Charles M. Geschke and John E. Warnock in December 1982 and is headquartered in San Jose, CA.

$. ADBE price fluctuates within 1.18% (three month std-dev: 1.26%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -1.5%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -1.46%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.97%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150416

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_16_2015	73.25	77.93	77.59	77.07	77.11	77.8	78.33(0.91%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.4	22	60	41	-34	1.85	61%	0.16	75.4	1.26%	0	0.4	53	0
2	Mar_13_2015	73.13	77.85	77.7	76.99	76.71	77.05	77.62(0.28%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	7	20	21	-34	2.2	54%	0.16	90.2	1.36%	0	-0.2	48	0
3	Mar_12_2015	73.01	77.71	77.84	76.98	76.83	76.42	77.4(1.83%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-17	-40	-8	-43	1.68	63%	0.18	78.6	1.37%	0	-0.3	45	0
4	Mar_11_2015	72.88	77.52	77.99	77.22	77.1	76.36	76.01(0.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-38	-70	-38	-36	1.69	62%	0.14	66.7	1.77%	0	-1	44	0
5	Mar_10_2015	72.78	77.39	78.22	77.55	77.59	77.24	76.01(-2.47%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-30	-30	-31	-25	2.62	58%	0.17	64.6	1.77%	0	-0.7	44	0

6	Mar_9_2015	72.66	77.24	78.42	78.14	77.94	77.83	77.93(0.49%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-12	-20	-15	-2	2.01	62%	0.19	67.5	1.77%	0	0.3	56	0
7	Mar_6_2015	72.52	76.99	78.45	78.52	78.33	77.94	77.55(-1.36%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-7	-40	-14	14	2.54	62%	0.21	71	1.76%	0	0.2	58	0
8	Mar_5_2015	72.37	76.79	78.56	78.83	78.72	78.06	78.62(1.28%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-10	-60	-25	34	1.85	62%	0.24	74.7	1.76%	0	0.7	73	0
9	Mar_4_2015	72.2	76.48	78.48	78.89	79.05	78.72	77.63(-1.72%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-2	-20	-22	57	2.39	62%	0.25	76.1	1.76%	0	0.4	76	0
10	Mar_3_2015	72.02	76.21	78.5	78.98	79.18	78.72	78.99(-1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	31	30	10	94	1.62	62%	0.25	74.7	1.75%	0	1	85	0

11	Mar_2_2015	71.84	75.82	78.33	78.72	78.82	79.38	79.79(0.87%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	46	50	23	115	1.5	62%	0.24	67.4	1.74%	0	1.4	91	0
12	Feb_27_2015	71.67	75.35	78	78.38	78.41	78.99	79.1(0.18%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	54	50	28	130	3.12	62%	0.2	56.6	1.72%	0	1.3	88	0
13	Feb_26_2015	71.53	74.97	77.57	78.27	78.14	78.26	78.96(1.14%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	47	10	19	132	1.55	62%	0.17	54.3	1.73%	0	1.4	82	0
14	Feb_25_2015	71.41	74.53	77	78.03	77.99	77.82	78.07(0.5%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	29	-20	-3	124	1.26	62%	0.17	50.4	1.73%	0	1.2	82	0
15	Feb_24_2015	71.29	74.2	76.49	77.96	77.9	78.01	77.68(-0.54%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	32	10	-1	130	1.95	62%	0.15	51.4	1.74%	0	1.2	83	0

16	Feb_23_2015	71.18	73.94	75.98	77.85	77.82	78.16	78.1(-0.57%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	53	30	22	146	1.46	62%	0.14	54.8	1.73%	0	1.5	87	0
17	Feb_20_2015	71.08	73.71	75.43	77.53	77.45	77.8	78.55(1.05%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	62	30	31	155	1.63	62%	0.17	62.7	1.74%	0	1.9	92	0
18	Feb_19_2015	70.96	73.43	74.87	76.74	76.88	77.48	77.73(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	67	60	40	147	1.56	62%	0.14	67.9	1.74%	0	1.9	76	0
19	Feb_18_2015	70.86	73.1	74.31	75.79	76	77.11	77.73(0.78%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	80	110	59	142	1.68	62%	0.13	64.6	1.74%	0	2.3	79	0
20	Feb_17_2015	70.77	72.77	73.71	74.8	74.86	76.28	77.13(0.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	85	140	72	125	1.99	59%	0.16	60.7	1.74%	0	2.5	70	0

21	Feb_13_2015	70.66	72.48	73.09	73.84	73.84	74.89	76.51(2.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	74	100	68	92	3.82	59%	0.13	55	1.75%	0	2.8	61	0
22	Feb_12_2015	70.57	72.15	72.44	73.05	73	73.44	74.59(2.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	32	40	29	40	2.24	56%	0.09	39	1.72%	0	2.1	50	0
23	Feb_11_2015	70.51	71.92	72.13	72.75	72.71	72.79	73.01(0.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	12	10	10	17	1.6	54%	0.07	29.3	1.7%	0	1	47	0
24	Feb_10_2015	70.46	71.8	71.86	72.6	72.69	72.56	72.76(0.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	3	-10	3	4	1.7	54%	0.09	26.8	1.7%	0	0.8	55	0
25	Feb_9_2015	70.4	71.72	71.72	72.43	72.54	72.63	72.33(-0.29%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	1	10	1	-1	1.63	54%		19.4	1.7%	0	0.5	54	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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