Trading Signals: ADBE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Feb. 13, 2015

Trading Signals: ADBE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Adobe)
ADBE latest price $76.5100 (2.57%) ($74.7700 - $76.6200) on Fri. Feb. 13, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.75% (three month average)
RSI   61
Latest Price   $76.5100(2.57%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ADBE advances 1.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ADBE advances 1.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ADBE advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLK(74%)    QQQ(73%)    SPY(66%)    VT(64%)    XLY(63%)
Factors Impacting ADBE price   ADBE will decline at least -0.875% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-21%)    UUP(-11%)    TLT(-10%)    SHY(-3%)    IGOV(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.875% (StdDev 1.75%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2%

5 Day Moving Average   $73.84(3.62%)
10 Day Moving Average   $73.09(4.68%)
20 Day Moving Average   $72.48(5.56%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   9.7%
Market Cap   $36.725b

Adobe, Inc. engages in the provision of digital marketing and media solutions. It operates through the following segments: Digital Media, Digital Experience, and Publishing. The Digital Media segment offers creative cloud services, which allow members to download and install the latest versions of products, such as Adobe Photoshop, Adobe Illustrator, Adobe Premiere Pro, Adobe Photoshop Light room and Adobe InDesign, as well as utilize other tools, such as Adobe Acrobat. The Digital Experience segment provides solutions, including analytics, social marketing, targeting, media optimization, digital experience management, and cross-channel campaign management, as well as premium video delivery and monetization. The Publishing segment includes legacy products and services for eLearning solutions, technical document publishing, web application development, and high-end printing. The company was founded by Charles M. Geschke and John E. Warnock in December 1982 and is headquartered in San Jose, CA.

$. ADBE price fluctuates within 2% (three month std-dev: 1.75%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 6 Average positive next day return: 0.7%(17%) Average negative next day return: -0.82%(83%) Sample size 6 Average positive next three day return: 0.33%(33%) Average negative next three day return: -1.09%(67%) Sample size 6 Average positive next weekly return: 1.67%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.27%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150313

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_13_2015	70.66	72.48	73.09	73.84	73.84	74.89	76.51(2.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	74	100	68	92	3.82	59%	0.13	55	1.75%	0	2.8	61	INF
2	Feb_12_2015	70.57	72.15	72.44	73.05	73	73.44	74.59(2.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	32	40	29	40	2.24	56%	0.09	39	1.72%	0	2.1	50	INF
3	Feb_11_2015	70.51	71.92	72.13	72.75	72.71	72.79	73.01(0.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	12	10	10	17	1.6	54%	0.07	29.3	1.7%	0	1	47	INF
4	Feb_10_2015	70.46	71.8	71.86	72.6	72.69	72.56	72.76(0.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	3	-10	3	4	1.7	54%	0.09	26.8	1.7%	0	0.8	55	INF
5	Feb_9_2015	70.4	71.72	71.72	72.43	72.54	72.63	72.33(-0.29%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	1	10	1	-1	1.63	54%	0.07	19.4	1.7%	0	0.5	54	INF

6	Feb_6_2015	70.35	71.72	71.74	72.19	72.35	72.83	72.54(-0.77%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	25	50	30	8	1.37	54%	0.07	11.8	1.7%	0	0.8	53	INF
7	Feb_5_2015	70.3	71.69	71.86	71.71	71.74	72.44	73.1(1.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	26	70	31	12	1.44	54%	0.09	0	1.7%	0	1.3	61	INF
8	Feb_4_2015	70.24	71.59	71.87	71.42	71.24	71.86	72.28(0.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	33	50	37	22	2.17	56%	0.03	-15.2	1.7%	0	0.6	60	INF
9	Feb_3_2015	70.22	71.59	71.79	71.01	70.92	71.03	71.92(1.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	14	10	16	6	1.56	56%	0.01	-40.8	1.71%	0	0.4	56	INF
10	Feb_2_2015	70.21	71.5	71.75	70.92	70.75	70.62	71.11(1.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-14	-20	-16	-7	2.38	56%	0.01	-54.6	1.7%	0	-0.4	51	INF

11	Jan_30_2015	70.2	71.56	71.82	71.24	71.05	70.81	70.13(-2.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-17	-30	-22	-1	2.33	58%	-0.04	-55.8	1.72%	0	-1.3	44	INF
12	Jan_29_2015	70.23	71.69	71.87	72.03	71.48	70.87	71.64(1.98%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-22	-80	-31	6	2.54	61%	-0.01	-44.4	1.7%	0	-0	44	INF
13	Jan_28_2015	70.24	71.76	71.73	72.4	72.21	71.29	70.25(-1.69%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.9	-24	-100	-35	10	2.28	61%	-0.03	-40	1.68%	0	-1.4	48	INF
14	Jan_27_2015	70.26	71.95	71.79	72.4	72.6	72.1	71.46(-1.76%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-17	-50	-29	20	1.8	64%	-0.03	-36.4	1.69%	0	-0.4	55	INF
15	Jan_26_2015	70.28	72.1	71.77	72.66	72.5	73.14	72.74(-1.78%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	15	60	9	33	3.59	67%	0	-33.7	1.67%	0	0.5	52	INF

16	Jan_23_2015	70.28	72.18	71.66	72.46	72.23	73.11	74.06(0.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	59	80	63	47	1.85	72%	0.01	-32.6	1.66%	0	1.4	55	INF
17	Jan_22_2015	70.27	72.17	71.51	71.71	71.52	71.86	73.48(2.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	29	30	34	15	2.18	68%	0.03	-43.5	1.66%	0	1	51	INF
18	Jan_21_2015	70.25	72.2	71.25	71.01	71.15	71.35	71.54(0.07%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	6	30	15	-21	1.79	68%	-0.01	-49.7	1.66%	0	-0.5	41	INF
19	Jan_20_2015	70.26	72.34	71.15	70.82	70.79	71.19	71.49(-0.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-5	40	9	-45	1.61	68%	0	-54.9	1.69%	0	-0.6	37	INF
20	Jan_16_2015	70.26	72.51	71.19	70.74	70.77	70.94	71.73(2.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-5	20	13	-57	2.38	70%	0	-39.3	1.7%	0	-0.5	35	INF

21	Jan_15_2015	70.26	72.62	71.23	70.77	70.93	70.4	70.29(0.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-36	-50	-20	-82	2.84	70%	-0.01	-26.1	1.69%	0	-1.4	27	INF
22	Jan_14_2015	70.27	72.73	71.47	71.29	71.28	70.59	69.99(-0.85%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-51	-70	-40	-84	1.93	70%	-0.03	-16.4	1.71%	0	-1.7	28	INF
23	Jan_13_2015	70.29	72.9	71.79	71.52	71.87	71.46	70.59(-0.75%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-28	-30	-12	-74	2.1	66%	-0.01	-11	1.71%	0	-1.6	29	INF
24	Jan_12_2015	70.3	73.17	72.13	71.5	71.75	71.97	71.12(-1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-26	30	-10	-75	1.34	66%	-0.01	0	1.74%	0	-1.5	31	INF
25	Jan_9_2015	70.31	73.13	72.47	71.68	71.64	72.27	71.84(-1.47%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	1	60	20	-58	1.73	57%		-7.3	1.8%	0	-0.9	32	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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