Trading Signals: ADBE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Oct. 28, 2014

Trading Signals: ADBE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Adobe)
ADBE latest price $68.3700 (2%) ($67.2000 - $68.5100) on Tue. Oct. 28, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.6% (three month average)
RSI   48
Latest Price   $68.3700(2%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ADBE advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ADBE advances 2.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ADBE advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLK(73%)    QQQ(72%)    SPY(66%)    VT(64%)    XLY(63%)
Factors Impacting ADBE price   ADBE will decline at least -0.8% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-21%)    UUP(-11%)    TLT(-10%)    IGOV(-4%)    SHY(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.8% (StdDev 1.6%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $66.67(2.55%)
10 Day Moving Average   $65.51(4.37%)
20 Day Moving Average   $65.5(4.38%)
To recent high   -6.8%
To recent low   12.3%
Market Cap   $32.818b

Adobe, Inc. engages in the provision of digital marketing and media solutions. It operates through the following segments: Digital Media, Digital Experience, and Publishing. The Digital Media segment offers creative cloud services, which allow members to download and install the latest versions of products, such as Adobe Photoshop, Adobe Illustrator, Adobe Premiere Pro, Adobe Photoshop Light room and Adobe InDesign, as well as utilize other tools, such as Adobe Acrobat. The Digital Experience segment provides solutions, including analytics, social marketing, targeting, media optimization, digital experience management, and cross-channel campaign management, as well as premium video delivery and monetization. The Publishing segment includes legacy products and services for eLearning solutions, technical document publishing, web application development, and high-end printing. The company was founded by Charles M. Geschke and John E. Warnock in December 1982 and is headquartered in San Jose, CA.

$. ADBE price fluctuates within 3.56% (three month std-dev: 1.6%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20141128

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_28_2014	69.73		65.51	66.67	66.75	67.38	68.37(2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	55	70	39	104	1.95	41%	0.03	-16.9	1.6%	0	1.2	48	0
2	Oct_27_2014	69.71	65.5	64.77	66.29	66.21	66.67	67.03(0.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	41	50	33	64	1.49	38%	0	-18.7	1.58%	0	0.6	52	0
3	Oct_24_2014	69.71	65.58	64.24	65.82	65.88	66.12	67.01(1.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	28	30	32	17	1.39	38%	0.03	-20.2	1.58%	0	0.6	47	0
4	Oct_23_2014	69.69	65.63	63.84	65.32	65.35	65.74	65.92(1.35%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	10	40	23	-31	1.78	36%	0.01	-23.3	1.57%	0	0.1	42	0
5	Oct_22_2014	69.68	65.71	63.77	64.71	64.94	65.65	65.04(-2.09%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	26	90	51	-48	2.36	36%	0.01	-29.7	1.56%	0	-0.3	45	0

6	Oct_21_2014	69.67	65.89	64.01	64.14	64.02	64.96	66.43(2.7%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.9	38	100	70	-59	3.23	38%	0.03	-32.9	1.54%	0	0.2	46	0
7	Oct_20_2014	69.65	65.95	63.91	63.03	62.81	64.24	64.68(0.25%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	20	150	66	-119	4.27	34%	0	-49.7	1.5%	0	-0.5	37	0
8	Oct_17_2014	69.65	66.08	64.17	62.43	62.1	63.07	64.52(2.64%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	16	90	70	-145	6.54	36%	-0.01	-62	1.52%	0	-0.6	37	0
9	Oct_16_2014	69.66	66.2	64.51	62.18	61.66	61.37	62.86(1.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-61	-60	-16	-195	6.64	32%	-0.03	-71.9	1.48%	0	-1.3	35	0
10	Oct_15_2014	69.68	66.47	64.93	62.74	62.26	61.13	62.19(2.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-115	-150	-83	-211	8.33	32%	-0.04	-78.1	1.47%	0	-1.8	36	0

11	Oct_14_2014	69.71	66.75	65.47	63.9	63.75	61.95	60.88(-1.3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-122	-200	-99	-192	4.19	28%	-0.13	-76.9	1.45%	0	-2.5	28	0
12	Oct_13_2014	69.8	67.25	66.33	64.92	65.1	63.39	61.68(-2.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-132	-180	-122	-162	4.82	28%	-0.03	-81.1	1.45%	0	-2.7	35	0
13	Oct_10_2014	69.82	67.7	67.11	66.11	66.18	65.56	63.29(-3.61%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-89	-60	-85	-99	4.65	30%	0	-87.3	1.42%	0	-2.6	41	0
14	Oct_9_2014	69.82	68.09	67.65	67.14	67.11	65.56	65.66(-3.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-18	-30	-14	-29	3.38	34%	0.04	-80.8	1.36%	0	-1.5	48	0
15	Oct_8_2014	69.79	68.42	67.88	67.42	67.45	66.8	67.99(3.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-24	-70	-24	-25	3.56	35%	0.09	-73.3	1.29%	0	-0.3	51	0

16	Oct_7_2014	69.73	68.62	67.97	67.33	67.54	67.43	65.96(-2.53%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-46	-0	-51	-29	3.31	28%	0.06	-68.7	1.26%	0	-1.4	47	0
17	Oct_6_2014	69.69	68.94	68.18	67.97	67.94	68.09	67.67(-1.07%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	3	10	4	-1	1.59	31%	0.09	-56.2	1.23%	0	-0.6	39	0
18	Oct_3_2014	69.63	69.21	68.15	68.28	68.2	67.66	68.4(2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-9	-60	-8	-13	2.87	31%	0.13	-46.4	1.23%	0	-0.4	43	0
19	Oct_2_2014	69.54	69.43	68.02	68.27	68.31	67.79	67.06(-0.71%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-49	-50	-47	-55	3.94	25%	0.09	-42.1	1.21%	0	-1.1	35	0
20	Oct_1_2014	69.48	69.7	68.11	68.4	68.48	68.75	67.54(-2.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-24	30	-10	-65	4.66	25%	0.1	-39.2	1.21%	0	-1	32	0

21	Sep_30_2014	69.41	69.95	68.1	68.7	68.47	68.83	69.19(-0.04%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	12	30	39	-70	2.89	28%	0.13	-34.6	1.18%	0	-0.3	36	0
22	Sep_29_2014	69.32	70.09	68.22	68.42	68.27	68.2	69.22(1.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-10	-10	20	-100	3.38	28%	0.13	-37.2	1.19%	0	-0.4	36	0
23	Sep_26_2014	69.23	70.22	68.29	68.02	68.02	68.1	68.36(0.95%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-34	10	4	-146	2.29	24%	0.14	-42.3	1.18%	0	-0.8	29	0
24	Sep_25_2014	69.13	70.38	68.53	67.73	67.72	68.35	67.71(-1.91%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-25	60	22	-167	3.62	24%	0.13	-47.6	1.18%	0	-1.2	28	0
25	Sep_24_2014	69.04	70.58	68.97	67.77	67.5	67.93	69.03(1.83%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-2	30	50	-159	3.89	26%		-48.7	1.16%	0	-0.7	35	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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