Trading Signals: ADBE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Jul. 18, 2014

Trading Signals: ADBE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Adobe)
ADBE latest price $72.5500 (1.62%) ($71.3500 - $72.5799) on Fri. Jul. 18, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.57% (three month average)
RSI   53
Latest Price   $72.5500(1.62%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ADBE advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ADBE declines -0.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ADBE advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLK(73%)    QQQ(72%)    SPY(66%)    VT(64%)    XLY(63%)
Factors Impacting ADBE price   ADBE will decline at least -0.785% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-22%)    UUP(-11%)    TLT(-10%)    SHY(-3%)    IGOV(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.785% (StdDev 1.57%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $72.3(0.35%)
10 Day Moving Average   $72.09(0.64%)
20 Day Moving Average   $72.37(0.25%)
To recent high   -1.4%
To recent low   23.7%
Market Cap   $34.824b

Adobe, Inc. engages in the provision of digital marketing and media solutions. It operates through the following segments: Digital Media, Digital Experience, and Publishing. The Digital Media segment offers creative cloud services, which allow members to download and install the latest versions of products, such as Adobe Photoshop, Adobe Illustrator, Adobe Premiere Pro, Adobe Photoshop Light room and Adobe InDesign, as well as utilize other tools, such as Adobe Acrobat. The Digital Experience segment provides solutions, including analytics, social marketing, targeting, media optimization, digital experience management, and cross-channel campaign management, as well as premium video delivery and monetization. The Publishing segment includes legacy products and services for eLearning solutions, technical document publishing, web application development, and high-end printing. The company was founded by Charles M. Geschke and John E. Warnock in December 1982 and is headquartered in San Jose, CA.

$. ADBE price fluctuates within 0.8% (three month std-dev: 1.57%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140818

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_18_2014	65.92	72.37	72.09	72.3	72.23	71.96	72.55(1.62%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-10	-30	-9	-14	2.86	63%	0.11	105	1.57%	0	0.3	53	0
2	Jul_17_2014	65.85	72.39	72.17	72.24	72.41	72.16	71.39(-1.37%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-13	-20	-12	-14	2.03	61%	0.11	150	1.57%	0	-1.7	42	0
3	Jul_16_2014	65.78	72.48	72.31	72.3	72.42	72.51	72.38(0.12%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	3	10	5	-4	1.51	61%	0.12	211.7	1.56%	0	-0.2	50	0
4	Jul_15_2014	65.7	72.26	72.37	72.14	72.08	72.65	72.29(-0.81%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	14	50	19	-0	2.75	61%	0.11	95.9	1.57%	0	0	50	0
5	Jul_14_2014	65.63	72.05	72.38	71.91	71.81	72.33	72.88(0.86%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.6	23	50	32	-4	1.86	61%	0.14	73.1	1.57%	0	0.5	49	0

6	Jul_11_2014	65.54	71.77	72.29	71.87	71.58	71.5	72.26(0.78%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-8	-20	-3	-22	1.93	61%	0.12	59.5	1.58%	0	0.3	48	0
7	Jul_10_2014	65.46	71.51	72.34	72.13	71.85	71.29	71.7(0.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-25	-70	-25	-25	1.85	56%	0.12	58.4	1.59%	0	0.1	42	0
8	Jul_9_2014	65.38	71.32	72.42	72.34	72.37	71.65	71.57(0.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-32	-70	-34	-25	1.75	59%	0.12	63.8	1.65%	0	0.1	40	0
9	Jul_8_2014	65.3	71.11	72.52	72.63	72.71	72.4	71.14(-2.12%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.6	-19	-30	-28	7	2.79	61%	0.11	68.8	1.68%	0	0	69	0
10	Jul_7_2014	65.23	70.92	72.52	72.88	72.92	73.08	72.68(-1.21%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	18	20	7	52	1.77	65%	0.15	72.4	1.67%	0	0.7	76	0

11	Jul_3_2014	65.13	70.64	72.7	72.74	72.78	73.02	73.57(1.11%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	30	20	14	79	1.4	57%	0.17	70.5	1.68%	0	1	82	0
12	Jul_2_2014	65.02	70.24	72.62	72.6	72.55	72.77	72.76(-0.34%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	31	20	8	98	2.68	57%	0.15	65.8	1.78%	0	0.8	82	0
13	Jul_1_2014	64.92	69.83	72.65	72.53	72.49	72.55	73.01(0.9%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	38	0	9	124	4.72	57%	0.17	61.9	1.78%	0	1	76	0
14	Jun_30_2014	64.81	69.39	72.15	72.41	72.41	72.33	72.36(0.5%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	26	-10	-6	122	2.77	57%	0.15	59.1	1.77%	0	0.9	76	0
15	Jun_27_2014	64.71	69.01	71.72	72.51	72.49	72.44	72(-1.17%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	29	-10	-5	132	7.32	57%	0.15	60.2	1.77%	0	0.9	75	0

16	Jun_26_2014	64.61	68.64	71.24	72.63	72.61	72.49	72.85(0.57%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	33	-10	-3	140	2.08	54%	0.17	64.5	1.77%	0	1.3	81	0
17	Jun_25_2014	64.5	68.26	70.64	72.65	72.67	72.55	72.44(0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	29	-10	-9	144	2.22	54%	0.19	71.6	1.81%	0	1.3	83	0
18	Jun_24_2014	64.38	67.87	70.14	72.78	72.82	72.73	72.38(-0.7%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	51	-10	10	175	2.95	50%	0.17	81.4	1.81%	0	1.5	85	0
19	Jun_23_2014	64.27	67.5	69.6	71.81	73	72.8	72.89(0.39%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	69	30	35	172	2.35	50%	0.19	81	1.85%	0	1.8	88	0
20	Jun_20_2014	64.15	67.06	68.99	70.76	71.67	72.91	72.61(-0.47%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	64	160	33	156	3.9	50%	0.2	81.3	1.86%	0	2	83	0

21	Jun_19_2014	64.02	66.57	68.39	69.6	70.26	73.2	72.95(-0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.3	132	320	119	172	4.41	48%	0.2	81.2	1.87%	0	2.5	85	0
22	Jun_18_2014	63.89	66.03	67.62	68.32	68.68	70.43	73.08(8.2%)	UT	HoldLong	65	2.2	131	190	127	143	11.38	49%	0.22	80.9	1.88%	0	3.2	78	0
23	Jun_17_2014	63.75	65.44	66.69	67.2	67.05	67.31	67.54(-0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	32	20	16	79	6.65	41%	0.09	89.6	1.58%	0	1.2	67	0
24	Jun_16_2014	63.69	65.18	66.36	67.08	66.97	66.93	67.62(1.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	24	-10	9	67	4.37	41%	0.09	90.3	1.59%	0	1.4	64	0
25	Jun_13_2014	63.63	64.88	66.06	66.95	66.88	66.78	66.82(0.39%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	9	-10	-8	59	2.98	41%		92.1	1.59%	0	1.1	66	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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