Trading Signals: ADBE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. May. 22, 2014

Trading Signals: ADBE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Adobe)
ADBE latest price $63.1500 (1.09%) ($61.9110 - $63.4600) on Thu. May. 22, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.7% (three month average)
RSI   56
Latest Price   $63.1500(1.09%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ADBE advances 1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ADBE advances 1.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ADBE advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLK(73%)    QQQ(72%)    SPY(66%)    VT(64%)    XLY(63%)
Factors Impacting ADBE price   ADBE will decline at least -0.85% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-22%)    UUP(-11%)    TLT(-10%)    SHY(-3%)    IGOV(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.85% (StdDev 1.7%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $62.23(1.48%)
10 Day Moving Average   $61.39(2.87%)
20 Day Moving Average   $61.05(3.44%)
To recent high   -7.8%
To recent low   7.7%
Market Cap   $30.312b

Adobe, Inc. engages in the provision of digital marketing and media solutions. It operates through the following segments: Digital Media, Digital Experience, and Publishing. The Digital Media segment offers creative cloud services, which allow members to download and install the latest versions of products, such as Adobe Photoshop, Adobe Illustrator, Adobe Premiere Pro, Adobe Photoshop Light room and Adobe InDesign, as well as utilize other tools, such as Adobe Acrobat. The Digital Experience segment provides solutions, including analytics, social marketing, targeting, media optimization, digital experience management, and cross-channel campaign management, as well as premium video delivery and monetization. The Publishing segment includes legacy products and services for eLearning solutions, technical document publishing, web application development, and high-end printing. The company was founded by Charles M. Geschke and John E. Warnock in December 1982 and is headquartered in San Jose, CA.

$. ADBE price fluctuates within 2.03% (three month std-dev: 1.7%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -0.65%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.27%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140622

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_22_2014	63.02	61.05	61.39	62.23	62.15	62.4	63.15(1.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	43	20	30	80	1.81	32%	0.02	-28.6	1.7%	0	1.7	56	0
2	May_21_2014	63.01	61.03	60.99	61.64	61.72	62.01	62.47(1.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	22	40	16	38	1.41	32%	-0.03	-37.7	1.71%	0	1.1	47	0
3	May_20_2014	63.03	61.1	60.61	61.33	61.29	61.91	61.71(-0.79%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	21	70	23	15	1.87	32%	-0.03	-33.6	1.71%	0	0.4	49	0
4	May_19_2014	63.05	61.22	60.38	61.15	60.94	61.44	62.2(0.91%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	26	50	33	6	2.82	32%	-0.03	-26.1	1.73%	0	0.6	55	0
5	May_16_2014	63.07	61.31	60.27	60.85	60.64	60.67	61.64(2.39%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	11	-10	17	-6	3.65	32%	-0.06	-20.6	1.74%	0	0.2	56	0

6	May_15_2014	63.11	61.41	60.23	60.44	60.47	60.44	60.2(-1.12%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-2	-0	5	-24	5.7	27%	-0.09	-19.8	1.72%	0	-0.7	43	0
7	May_14_2014	63.17	61.55	60.45	60.21	60.16	60.61	60.88(0.12%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	6	50	18	-30	2.5	27%	-0.09	-24.3	1.73%	0	-0.4	39	0
8	May_13_2014	63.23	61.61	60.45	59.76	59.78	60.5	60.81(0.18%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	15	90	36	-50	2.94	27%	-0.09	-31	1.75%	0	-0.5	34	0
9	May_12_2014	63.29	61.61	60.51	59.49	59.29	59.72	60.7(1.86%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-9	40	16	-84	2.86	27%	-0.09	-33.5	1.77%	0	-0.5	33	0
10	May_9_2014	63.35	61.65	60.48	59.64	59.3	59.05	59.59(0.86%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-37	-50	-12	-112	3.61	24%	-0.16	-33.7	1.76%	0	-1.2	29	0

11	May_8_2014	63.45	61.76	60.69	60.03	59.86	58.87	59.08(0.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-65	-120	-45	-126	3.82	24%	-0.17	-31.4	1.78%	0	-1.6	28	0
12	May_7_2014	63.56	61.99	61.1	60.73	60.67	59.54	58.63(-1.36%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-75	-130	-62	-113	7.06	24%	-0.22	-26.5	1.79%	0	-2.1	33	0
13	May_6_2014	63.7	62.17	61.67	61.34	61.52	60.85	59.44(-3.26%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-46	-70	-36	-74	3.91	24%	-0.17	-31.7	1.81%	0	-1.9	41	0
14	May_5_2014	63.81	62.24	62.17	61.64	61.76	61.8	61.44(-0.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-13	10	-4	-40	2.07	26%	-0.11	-45.8	1.76%	0	-0.6	52	0
15	May_2_2014	63.88	62.25	62.45	61.43	61.56	62.2	61.56(-1.65%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	10	80	19	-19	2.37	26%	-0.11	-61.7	1.79%	0	-0.5	57	0

16	May_1_2014	63.95	62.3	62.69	61.44	61.25	61.71	62.59(1.46%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	13	40	19	-7	2.84	26%	-0.06	-69.8	1.8%	0	0.2	56	0
17	Apr_30_2014	63.99	62.42	62.74	61.57	61.28	60.91	61.69(1.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-19	-60	-18	-20	3.72	26%	-0.11	-55.6	1.8%	0	-0.5	43	0
18	Apr_29_2014	64.06	62.62	62.8	62.11	61.97	60.79	60.91(0.84%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-42	-140	-51	-16	3.53	26%	-0.17	-41.1	1.81%	0	-1	49	0
19	Apr_28_2014	64.17	62.85	62.89	62.82	62.89	61.64	60.4(-1.96%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.4	-50	-140	-68	3	4.38	26%	-0.19	-27.4	1.83%	0	-1.4	53	0
20	Apr_25_2014	64.29	63.08	62.95	63.6	63.7	63.15	61.61(-2.55%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.2	-23	-60	-42	33	4.29	28%	-0.14	-21.6	1.83%	0	-0.9	53	0

21	Apr_24_2014	64.38	63.23	62.97	64.09	64.15	64.13	63.22(-1.82%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	16	0	-0	62	3.96	30%	-0.08	-24.3	1.81%	0	-0	53	0
22	Apr_23_2014	64.43	63.26	62.98	64.05	64.01	64.25	64.39(-0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	28	20	17	59	2.86	33%	0	-34.8	1.82%	0	0.7	45	0
23	Apr_22_2014	64.43	63.31	62.72	63.59	63.61	64.17	64.48(0.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	32	60	32	32	3.85	33%	0.02	-47.8	1.85%	0	0.7	44	0
24	Apr_21_2014	64.42	63.33	62.32	62.98	62.95	63.76	64.3(0.41%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	31	90	43	-5	2.08	33%	-0.02	-63.7	1.89%	0	0.5	44	0
25	Apr_17_2014	64.43	63.45	62	62.22	62.23	63.06	64.04(1.59%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	22	90	43	-42	3.75	33%		-62.3	1.92%	0	0.3	46	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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