Trading Signals: ABUS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Sep. 22, 2014

Trading Signals: ABUS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Nov. 15, 2010 - Thu. Jul. 23, 2020)

(Arbutus Biopharma Corp. )
ABUS latest price $23.6100 (17.11%) ($20.7900 - $24.5700) on Mon. Sep. 22, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   8.46% (three month average)
RSI   64
Latest Price   $23.6100(17.11%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ABUS advances 4.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ABUS advances 5.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ABUS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XBI(9%)    TIP(6%)    XLV(6%)    GDX(5%)    GDXJ(5%)
Factors Impacting ABUS price   ABUS will decline at least -4.23% in a week (0% probabilities).
BNDX(-10%)    XRT(-6%)    USO(-4%)    UNG(-4%)    REMX(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -4.23% (StdDev 8.46%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 9.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $21.2(11.37%)
10 Day Moving Average   $20.34(16.08%)
20 Day Moving Average   $19.9(18.64%)
To recent high   -0.8%
To recent low   162.9%
Market Cap   $1.682b

Arbutus Biopharma Corp. engages in discovering, developing and commercializing a cure for patients suffering from chronic Hepatitis B virus infection. The company was founded in 2007 and is headquartered in Warminster, PA.

$. ABUS price fluctuates within 6.33% (three month std-dev: 8.46%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 3.5%(67%) Average negative next day return: -2.64%(33%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 4%(67%) Average negative next three day return: -11.78%(33%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 6.61%(67%) Average negative next weekly return: -7.17%(33%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20141022

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_22_2014	14.52	19.9	20.34	21.2	21.3	21.55	23.61(17.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	25	100	17	48	13.67	67%	0.69	58.9	8.46%	0	2.9	64	0
2	Sep_19_2014	14.42	19.59	19.82	21.2	20.61	20.9	20.16(-4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	4	140	-0	15	1.63	63%	0.42	46.5	8.22%	0	0.6	42	0
3	Sep_18_2014	14.36	19.51	19.67	20.3	20.43	21.04	21(-0.57%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	9	230	8	11	2.75	63%	0.56	54	8.2%	0	1.4	50	0
4	Sep_17_2014	14.28	19.34	19.44	20.07	20.14	20.31	21.12(5.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	8	70	9	3	3.68	63%	0.56	44.2	8.2%	0	1.7	57	0
5	Sep_16_2014	14.2	19.22	19.24	19.67	19.85	19.81	20.09(4.91%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	1	10	4	-7	1.97	63%	0.5	37.3	8.19%	0	0.9	56	0

6	Sep_15_2014	14.13	19.18	19.22	19.35	19.59	19.97	19.15(-4.82%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	1	170	3	-7	1.58	63%	0.36	7.6	8.18%	0	-0	59	0
7	Sep_12_2014	14.08	19.13	19.42	19.24	19.37	19.9	20.12(1.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	9	210	10	6	2.04	60%	0.36	-7.7	8.28%	0	1	66	0
8	Sep_11_2014	14.03	18.96	19.47	18.93	18.95	19.21	19.85(3.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	5	100	5	5	3.1	60%	0.36	-5.7	8.28%	0	0.8	60	0
9	Sep_10_2014	13.98	18.89	19.45	18.73	18.75	18.85	19.13(3.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	2	40	0	6	1.04	60%	0.29	10.8	8.28%	0	0.2	61	0
10	Sep_9_2014	13.94	18.87	19.46	18.75	18.81	18.69	18.48(-0.81%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-2	-40	-5	6	1.77	60%	0.29	31.9	8.27%	0	-0.4	50	0

11	Sep_8_2014	13.9	19.11	19.44	19.08	18.99	18.64	18.63(0.38%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-7	-140	-11	6	2.52	60%	0.36	62.4	8.29%	0	-0.3	47	0
12	Sep_5_2014	13.85	19.21	19.44	19.64	19.51	18.94	18.56(-1.64%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-2	-220	-9	18	0.98	61%	0.44	94.2	8.33%	0	-0.4	55	0
13	Sep_4_2014	13.79	19.02	19.38	20.08	20.02	19.33	18.87(-1.87%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	3	-250	-8	35	1.66	61%	0.36	89.9	8.33%	0	-0.1	63	0
14	Sep_3_2014	13.74	18.78	19.29	20.25	20.54	20.07	19.23(-4.42%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	8	-120	-3	39	2.45	61%	0.51	80.8	8.34%	0	0.2	54	0
15	Sep_2_2014	13.67	18.53	19.25	20.23	20.51	20.71	20.12(-5.98%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	15	110	5	44	2.23	61%	0	80.1	8.33%	0	0.6	57	0

16	Aug_29_2014	13.67	18.21	19.17	19.81	20.03	21.02	21.4(3.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	18	380	16	24	3.35	61%	0.15	74.3	8.28%	0	1.2	44	0
17	Aug_28_2014	13.65	17.85	18.82	19.08	19.29	20.31	20.76(5.11%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	13	400	17	-0	9.43	61%	-0.07	71.6	8.27%	0	1	52	0
18	Aug_27_2014	13.66	17.46	18.39	18.6	18.48	19.04	19.75(3.24%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	7	190	11	-6	3.46	64%	-0.07	70.6	8.26%	0	0.8	67	0
19	Aug_26_2014	13.67	17.12	18.26	18.2	18.27	18.28	19.13(6.16%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	2	20	3	0	2.78	64%	0	66.9	8.43%	0	0.6	69	0
20	Aug_25_2014	13.67	16.74	18.19	18.14	18.15	17.91	18.02(1.52%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	-2	-90	-7	12	1.6	64%	-0.15	64.1	8.47%	0	0.4	66	0

21	Aug_22_2014	13.69	16.37	18.71	18.42	18.5	18.26	17.75(-3.38%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	13	-80	-3	60	2.32	64%	-0.22	65.2	8.49%	0	0.4	67	0
22	Aug_21_2014	13.72	16.02	19	18.49	18.94	18.38	18.37(3.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	26	-130	4	92	4.4	64%	-0.36	65.1	8.48%	0	0.6	64	0
23	Aug_20_2014	13.77	15.62	18.65	18.12	18.69	18.74	17.74(-5.69%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	18	110	-6	88	2.86	64%	-0.36	62.4	8.49%	0	0.5	67	0
24	Aug_19_2014	13.82	15.26	18.28	18.29	18.44	19.49	18.81(-3.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	31	420	6	105	3.47	64%	-0.22	64.6	8.5%	0	0.9	69	0
25	Aug_18_2014	13.85	14.82	17.81	18.25	18.25	18.64	19.45(7.58%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	27	150	-4	120	12.27	64%		65.1	8.49%	0	1.2	73	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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