Trading Signals: ABUS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Aug. 28, 2014

Trading Signals: ABUS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Nov. 15, 2010 - Thu. Jul. 23, 2020)

(Arbutus Biopharma Corp. )
ABUS latest price $20.7600 (5.11%) ($20.3100 - $22.2600) on Thu. Aug. 28, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   8.27% (three month average)
RSI   52
Latest Price   $20.7600(5.11%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ABUS advances 2.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ABUS declines -1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ABUS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XBI(10%)    TIP(6%)    XLV(6%)    GDX(5%)    GDXJ(5%)
Factors Impacting ABUS price   ABUS will decline at least -4.135% in a week (0% probabilities).
BNDX(-9%)    XRT(-6%)    XLY(-4%)    USO(-4%)    UNG(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -4.135% (StdDev 8.27%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -3.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $19.08(8.81%)
10 Day Moving Average   $18.82(10.31%)
20 Day Moving Average   $17.85(16.3%)
To recent high   -12.8%
To recent low   131.2%
Market Cap   $1.479b

Arbutus Biopharma Corp. engages in discovering, developing and commercializing a cure for patients suffering from chronic Hepatitis B virus infection. The company was founded in 2007 and is headquartered in Warminster, PA.

$. ABUS price fluctuates within 15.97% (three month std-dev: 8.27%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 2.37%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 7.89%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140928

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_28_2014	13.65	17.85	18.82	19.08	19.29	20.31	20.76(5.11%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	13	400	17	-0	9.43	61%	-0.07	71.6	8.27%	0	1	52	INF
2	Aug_27_2014	13.66	17.46	18.39	18.6	18.48	19.04	19.75(3.24%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	7	190	11	-6	3.46	64%	-0.07	70.6	8.26%	0	0.8	67	INF
3	Aug_26_2014	13.67	17.12	18.26	18.2	18.27	18.28	19.13(6.16%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	2	20	3	0	2.78	64%	0	66.9	8.43%	0	0.6	69	INF
4	Aug_25_2014	13.67	16.74	18.19	18.14	18.15	17.91	18.02(1.52%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	-2	-90	-7	12	1.6	64%	-0.15	64.1	8.47%	0	0.4	66	INF
5	Aug_22_2014	13.69	16.37	18.71	18.42	18.5	18.26	17.75(-3.38%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	13	-80	-3	60	2.32	64%	-0.22	65.2	8.49%	0	0.4	67	INF

6	Aug_21_2014	13.72	16.02	19	18.49	18.94	18.38	18.37(3.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	26	-130	4	92	4.4	64%	-0.36	65.1	8.48%	0	0.6	64	INF
7	Aug_20_2014	13.77	15.62	18.65	18.12	18.69	18.74	17.74(-5.69%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	18	110	-6	88	2.86	64%	-0.36	62.4	8.49%	0	0.5	67	INF
8	Aug_19_2014	13.82	15.26	18.28	18.29	18.44	19.49	18.81(-3.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	31	420	6	105	3.47	64%	-0.22	64.6	8.5%	0	0.9	69	INF
9	Aug_18_2014	13.85	14.82	17.81	18.25	18.25	18.64	19.45(7.58%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	27	150	-4	120	12.27	64%	0	65.1	8.49%	0	1.2	73	INF
10	Aug_15_2014	13.85	14.33	17.22	19.12	18.37	17.38	18.08(9.58%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	31	-490	-15	170	7.53	64%	-0.36	74.7	8.48%	0	0.9	74	INF

11	Aug_14_2014	13.9	13.89	16.85	19.64	19.95	17.85	16.5(-11.29%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	54	-690	-5	232	4.72	62%	-0.5	79.5	8.42%	0	0.7	72	INF
12	Aug_13_2014	13.97	13.52	16.53	19.2	20.36	19.35	18.6(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	65	-170	2	252	7.53	66%	-0.36	73.1	8.29%	0	1.3	78	INF
13	Aug_12_2014	14.02	13.06	15.95	18.15	19.23	22.05	18.61(-21.81%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	80	1210	23	250	12.88	66%	-0.28	64.5	8.3%	0	1.4	76	INF
14	Aug_11_2014	14.06	12.6	15.21	17.2	17.61	21.36	23.8(14.98%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.8	126	1560	77	273	28.46	74%	-0.14	57.6	7.79%	0	3	88	INF
15	Aug_8_2014	14.08	11.86	13.78	15.09	15.07	16.42	20.7(45.06%)	UT	HoldLong	65	2.1	84	620	45	200	28.74	72%	-0.35	49.6	7.6%	0	3.3	87	INF

16	Aug_7_2014	14.13	11.3	12.69	13.8	14.05	13.87	14.27(6.65%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	62	-40	10	217	2.83	61%	-0.84	48.6	5.27%	0	1.7	82	INF
17	Aug_6_2014	14.25	11.1	12.27	13.51	13.97	13.73	13.38(-3.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	55	-20	-0	219	0.75	58%	-0.9	37.8	5.26%	0	1.4	81	INF
18	Aug_5_2014	14.38	10.95	11.96	13.38	13.84	14.23	13.84(4.37%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	74	300	19	238	1.99	58%	-0.76	27.6	5.27%	0	1.9	78	INF
19	Aug_4_2014	14.49	10.78	11.57	12.83	13.45	14.22	13.26(-7.01%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	80	550	33	220	9.88	58%	-0.96	10.8	5.24%	0	1.8	72	INF
20	Aug_1_2014	14.63	10.67	11.2	12.2	12.48	13.45	14.26(11.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	75	610	39	182	1.64	62%	-0.95	-9.8	5.17%	0	2.8	74	INF

21	Jul_31_2014	14.77	10.51	10.69	11.41	11.65	12.67	12.81(0.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	59	680	37	124	1.3	57%	-1.14	-41.5	5.01%	0	2.3	66	INF
22	Jul_30_2014	14.94	10.53	10.3	10.85	10.89	11.5	12.73(14.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	40	400	31	67	1.23	57%	-1.26	-49.9	5.05%	0	2	63	INF
23	Jul_29_2014	15.13	10.55	9.95	10.35	10.4	10.63	11.09(9.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	14	170	13	15	0.5	49%	-1.24	-54.3	4.69%	0	0.4	53	INF
24	Jul_28_2014	15.32	10.63	9.95	10.14	10.24	10.29	10.13(-1.55%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	2	60	7	-14	0.34	41%	-1.23	-55.7	4.53%	0	-0.4	42	INF
25	Jul_25_2014	15.51	10.8	9.8	10.03	10.07	10.17	10.29(2.69%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-2	80	10	-36	0.17	41%		-53.8	4.53%	0	-0.3	35	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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