Trading Signals: ABUS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Feb. 14, 2014

Trading Signals: ABUS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Nov. 15, 2010 - Thu. Jul. 23, 2020)

(Arbutus Biopharma Corp. )
ABUS latest price $17.8500 (8.05%) ($16.6000 - $18.2000) on Fri. Feb. 14, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.5% (three month average)
RSI   89
Latest Price   $17.8500(8.05%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ABUS advances 4.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ABUS advances 12.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ABUS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XBI(16%)    IWM(8%)    XAR(7%)    GDXJ(6%)    PEJ(6%)
Factors Impacting ABUS price   ABUS will decline at least -2.25% in a week (0% probabilities).
BNDX(-8%)    XLF(-4%)    USO(-3%)    UNG(-3%)    REMX(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.25% (StdDev 4.5%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 7.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $16.14(10.59%)
10 Day Moving Average   $15.47(15.38%)
20 Day Moving Average   $14.05(27.05%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   147.2%
Market Cap   $1.272b

Arbutus Biopharma Corp. engages in discovering, developing and commercializing a cure for patients suffering from chronic Hepatitis B virus infection. The company was founded in 2007 and is headquartered in Warminster, PA.

$. ABUS price fluctuates within 12.03% (three month std-dev: 4.5%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 6 Average positive next day return: 10.54%(50%) Average negative next day return: -5.16%(50%) Sample size 6 Average positive next three day return: 30.91%(33%) Average negative next three day return: -4.47%(67%) Sample size 6 Average positive next weekly return: 18.33%(67%) Average negative next weekly return: -4.89%(33%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140314

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_14_2014	9.61	14.05	15.47	16.14	16.11	16.74	17.85(8.05%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	70	270	32	185	0.6	90%	1.05	78.9	4.5%	0	2.2	89	0
2	Feb_13_2014	9.51	13.75	15.07	15.5	15.52	15.91	16.52(4.89%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	58	180	21	170	0.89	90%	1.06	86.7	4.45%	0	1.9	81	0
3	Feb_12_2014	9.41	13.49	14.72	15.06	15.07	15.47	15.75(0.06%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	47	190	11	154	0.24	89%	0.97	93.8	4.45%	0	1.6	76	0
4	Feb_11_2014	9.32	13.27	14.36	14.88	14.83	15.13	15.74(6.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	42	130	8	143	0.39	90%	1.08	107.2	4.5%	0	1.8	75	0
5	Feb_10_2014	9.22	13.08	14	14.79	14.79	14.68	14.84(1.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	39	-50	5	139	0.37	89%	0.99	134.9	4.5%	0	1.4	72	0

6	Feb_7_2014	9.13	12.84	13.7	14.7	14.75	14.53	14.64(2.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	32	-90	0	127	0.17	84%	0.88	133.6	4.5%	0	1.3	66	0
7	Feb_6_2014	9.05	12.58	13.45	14.56	14.72	14.9	14.35(-3.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	38	120	9	125	0.16	80%	1	127.5	4.6%	0	1.2	70	0
8	Feb_5_2014	8.96	12.3	13.25	14.29	14.52	14.97	14.82(-3.01%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	52	270	26	128	0.39	80%	1.01	112.1	4.65%	0	1.5	77	0
9	Feb_4_2014	8.87	11.96	13	13.74	13.88	14.54	15.28(6.11%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	51	360	31	110	0.61	80%	1.03	94	4.64%	0	1.9	82	0
10	Feb_3_2014	8.78	11.58	12.69	13.09	13.2	14.07	14.4(3.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	43	490	31	78	0.44	79%	1.04	81.1	4.6%	0	1.6	68	0

11	Jan_31_2014	8.69	11.26	12.51	12.56	12.6	13.23	13.96(7.38%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	38	360	26	74	0.73	79%	1.05	69	4.59%	0	1.5	79	0
12	Jan_30_2014	8.6	10.95	12.3	12.2	12.07	12.34	13(7.88%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	27	120	10	77	0.46	78%	0.94	61.1	4.51%	0	1.1	79	0
13	Jan_29_2014	8.52	10.7	12.15	12.07	11.96	11.97	12.05(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	25	-20	-1	101	0.12	76%	0.83	59.2	4.42%	0	0.7	81	0
14	Jan_28_2014	8.45	10.49	12.15	12.15	12.02	11.79	12.06(2.64%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	33	-170	-6	150	0.08	72%	0.72	59.2	4.42%	0	0.8	83	0
15	Jan_27_2014	8.39	10.28	12.09	12.23	12.15	11.96	11.75(-3.29%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	45	-130	-11	211	0.17	72%	0.84	59.9	4.49%	0	0.7	83	0

16	Jan_24_2014	8.32	10.11	11.93	12.42	12.36	12.25	12.15(-1.7%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	67	-80	-1	271	0.11	74%	0.73	65.1	4.49%	0	1	85	0
17	Jan_23_2014	8.26	9.91	11.67	12.41	12.44	12.33	12.36(-0.56%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	82	-50	6	309	0.15	74%	0.85	68.6	4.53%	0	1.2	87	0
18	Jan_22_2014	8.19	9.7	11.31	12.23	12.29	12.46	12.43(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	87	110	9	322	0.15	74%	0.99	70.1	4.53%	0	1.4	84	0
19	Jan_21_2014	8.11	9.46	10.87	12.01	12.03	12.55	12.44(-2.28%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	88	310	9	326	0.26	74%	0.87	71.8	4.53%	0	1.6	85	0
20	Jan_17_2014	8.04	9.22	10.41	11.93	11.81	12.13	12.73(5.38%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	110	160	29	351	0.38	75%	1.01	77.6	4.55%	0	2	87	0

21	Jan_16_2014	7.96	8.95	9.91	11.36	11.79	11.51	12.08(5.5%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	96	-50	26	305	0.23	74%	0.89	76.6	4.54%	0	2	76	0
22	Jan_15_2014	7.89	8.71	9.48	10.82	11.25	11.49	11.45(0.88%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	82	270	23	257	0.21	68%	0.77	72.6	4.53%	0	2	75	0
23	Jan_14_2014	7.83	8.5	9.12	10.23	10.68	12.06	11.35(-5.73%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	88	1040	48	208	0.52	68%	0.9	64.8	4.63%	0	2.3	73	0
24	Jan_13_2014	7.76	8.29	8.74	9.54	9.82	11.01	12.04(21.86%)	UT	HoldLong	65	2.3	92	940	70	159	2.21	72%	0.91	51.9	4.57%	0	3.5	82	0
25	Jan_10_2014	7.69	8.04	8.28	8.68	8.67	9.3	9.88(5.56%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.9	52	510	40	86	0.37	68%		42.2	3.67%	0	2.9	76	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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