Trading Signals: AAPL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Jun. 18, 2019

Trading Signals: AAPL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 31, 2015 - Fri. May. 3, 2024)

(Apple Inc)
AAPL latest price $49.6100 (2.35%) ($48.8000 - $50.0700) on Tue. Jun. 18, 2019.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.67% (three month average)
RSI   79
Latest Price   $49.6100(2.35%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AAPL advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AAPL advances 4.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AAPL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLK(82%)    IWF(80%)    VUG(79%)    IVW(78%)    QQQ(78%)
Factors Impacting AAPL price   AAPL will decline at least -0.835% in a week (0% probabilities).
VXX(-27%)    TLT(-14%)    IFRA(-14%)    UUP(-10%)    IGOV(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.835% (StdDev 1.67%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $48.67(1.93%)
10 Day Moving Average   $48.03(3.29%)
20 Day Moving Average   $46.45(6.8%)
To recent high   -6.3%
To recent low   14.5%
Market Cap   $850.105b

Apple, Inc. engages in the design, manufacture, and sale of smartphones, personal computers, tablets, wearables and accessories, and other variety of related services. It operates through the following geographical segments: Americas, Europe, Greater China, Japan, and Rest of Asia Pacific. The Americas segment includes North and South America. The Europe segment consists of European countries, as well as India, the Middle East, and Africa. The Greater China segment comprises of China, Hong Kong, and Taiwan. The Rest of Asia Pacific segment includes Australia and Asian countries. Its products and services include iPhone, Mac, iPad, AirPods, Apple TV, Apple Watch, Beats products, Apple Care, iCloud, digital content stores, streaming, and licensing services. The company was founded by Steven Paul Jobs, Ronald Gerald Wayne, and Stephen G. Wozniak on April 1, 1976 and is headquartered in Cupertino, CA.

$. AAPL price fluctuates within 4.09% (three month std-dev: 1.67%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 21 Average positive next day return: 1.9%(43%) Average negative next day return: -1.43%(57%) Sample size 21 Average positive next three day return: 3.15%(43%) Average negative next three day return: -2.28%(57%) Sample size 21 Average positive next weekly return: 18.03%(57%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.87%(43%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20190718

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_18_2019	46.66	46.45	48.03	48.67	48.62	48.87	49.61(2.35%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	67	30	28	184	106.2	53%	0.24	26.2	1.67%	0	1.7	79	1.6
2	Jun_17_2019	46.55	46.25	47.57	48.49	48.42	48.19	48.47(0.58%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	40	-40	-5	173	58.68	51%	0.19	24.1	1.65%	0	1.3	74	1.6
3	Jun_14_2019	46.46	46.17	47.09	48.43	48.51	48.36	48.19(-0.72%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	37	-20	-6	164	75.05	51%	0.24	18.6	1.66%	0	1.2	71	1.5
4	Jun_13_2019	46.35	46.11	46.66	48.3	48.55	48.36	48.54(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	54	30	18	163	86.7	51%	0.22	9.8	1.66%	0	1.5	72	-3.7
5	Jun_12_2019	46.25	46.05	46.26	47.85	48.17	48.65	48.55(-0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	60	90	32	144	73.01	51%	0.22	-6.3	1.66%	0	1.6	64	1.1

6	Jun_11_2019	46.15	45.96	45.83	47.27	47.52	48.46	48.7(1.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	70	150	56	113	107.73	54%	0.07	-27.5	1.66%	0	1.8	57	1
7	Jun_10_2019	46.12	45.83	45.39	46.51	46.79	47.68	48.15(1.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	75	150	74	77	104.88	54%	0.2	-63.4	1.71%	0	1.7	60	1
8	Jun_7_2019	46.03	45.85	45.02	45.55	45.82	46.57	47.54(2.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	44	130	55	10	122.74	54%	0.2	-86.9	1.7%	0	1.1	48	1.1
9	Jun_6_2019	45.94	45.95	44.73	44.79	44.93	45.91	46.31(1.47%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	21	160	43	-46	90.11	52%	0.17	-92.1	1.68%	0	0.2	41	1.1
10	Jun_5_2019	45.86	46.15	44.64	44.45	44.44	45.08	45.64(1.63%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	16	100	46	-76	119.09	52%	0.15	-88.6	1.68%	0	-0.3	36	0.7

11	Jun_4_2019	45.79	46.38	44.71	44.19	44.44	43.96	44.91(3.65%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-22	-30	7	-109	123.87	52%	0.18	-83	1.66%	0	-0.7	37	0.4
12	Jun_3_2019	45.71	46.72	44.78	44.12	44.11	43.8	43.33(-1.01%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-55	-50	-28	-137	161.58	48%	0.11	-73.7	1.6%	0	-1.4	32	-0.8
13	May_31_2019	45.66	47.19	45.17	44.4	44.4	44.27	43.77(-1.82%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-46	-20	-16	-135	108.17	48%	0.13	-63.8	1.61%	0	-1.3	24	-0.4
14	May_30_2019	45.6	47.61	45.54	44.63	44.64	44.42	44.58(0.52%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-44	-30	-11	-143	84.87	50%	0.13	-59.1	1.61%	0	-1.1	23	-0.3
15	May_29_2019	45.54	48.01	45.85	44.85	44.73	44.53	44.35(-0.47%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-63	-40	-30	-163	113.92	50%	0.15	-54.7	1.62%	0	-1.3	21	-0.5

16	May_28_2019	45.47	48.31	46.13	45.31	45.14	44.86	44.56(-0.4%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-54	-50	-17	-165	111.79	50%	0.35	-55.7	1.62%	0	-1.4	21	-0.4
17	May_24_2019	45.31	48.65	46.34	45.56	45.6	44.93	44.74(-0.4%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-76	-100	-33	-205	94.86	50%	0.22	-56.4	1.59%	0	-1.5	19	-0.5
18	May_23_2019	45.21	48.98	46.79	46.06	45.77	45.43	44.92(-1.71%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-92	-70	-50	-216	146.12	50%	0.11	-54.5	1.6%	0	-1.6	18	-0.7
19	May_22_2019	45.16	49.31	47.3	46.58	46.33	46.26	45.7(-2.04%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-60	-30	-14	-196	118.99	52%	0.02	-51.6	1.6%	0	-1.5	23	-1.1
20	May_21_2019	45.15	49.63	47.79	46.98	46.73	46.12	46.65(1.92%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-61	-110	-15	-197	113.46	55%	0.16	-46.1	1.58%	0	-1.3	24	-0.6

21	May_20_2019	45.08	49.89	48.19	47.09	46.89	46.4	45.77(-3.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-80	-90	-39	-203	154.45	52%	0.16	-43.4	1.57%	0	-1.9	36	-0.8
22	May_17_2019	45.01	50.18	48.81	47.22	47.19	47.34	47.25(-0.57%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-56	20	-11	-190	131.52	58%	0.2	-43	1.5%	0	-1.5	36	-0.9
23	May_16_2019	44.92	50.38	49.36	47.63	47.07	47.39	47.52(-0.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-49	10	-11	-161	132.13	58%	0.18	-37.3	1.51%	0	-1.6	38	-0.9
24	May_15_2019	44.84	50.56	49.84	48.16	47.46	47.04	47.73(1.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-49	-110	-20	-137	106.18	58%	0.07	-30.5	1.52%	0	-1.7	37	-1.1
25	May_14_2019	44.81	50.68	50.33	48.76	48.15	46.75	47.17(1.59%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1	-89	-240	-75	-131	146.12	58%		-22.9	1.51%	0	-2.2	33	-1.3
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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