Trading Signals: AAPL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. May. 8, 2017

Trading Signals: AAPL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 31, 2015 - Wed. May. 22, 2024)

(Apple Inc)
AAPL latest price $38.2500 (2.71%) ($37.2600 - $38.4200) on Mon. May. 8, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.77% (three month average)
RSI   84
Latest Price   $38.2500(2.71%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AAPL advances 0.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AAPL advances 2.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Growth stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AAPL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLK(82%)    IWF(79%)    QQQ(78%)    VUG(78%)    IVW(77%)
Factors Impacting AAPL price   AAPL will decline at least -0.385% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-16%)    TLT(-14%)    UUP(-11%)    IPO(-5%)    IGOV(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.385% (StdDev 0.77%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $37.15(2.96%)
10 Day Moving Average   $36.67(4.31%)
20 Day Moving Average   $36.1(5.96%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   15.9%
Market Cap   $655.443b

Apple, Inc. engages in the design, manufacture, and sale of smartphones, personal computers, tablets, wearables and accessories, and other variety of related services. It operates through the following geographical segments: Americas, Europe, Greater China, Japan, and Rest of Asia Pacific. The Americas segment includes North and South America. The Europe segment consists of European countries, as well as India, the Middle East, and Africa. The Greater China segment comprises of China, Hong Kong, and Taiwan. The Rest of Asia Pacific segment includes Australia and Asian countries. Its products and services include iPhone, Mac, iPad, AirPods, Apple TV, Apple Watch, Beats products, Apple Care, iCloud, digital content stores, streaming, and licensing services. The company was founded by Steven Paul Jobs, Ronald Gerald Wayne, and Stephen G. Wozniak on April 1, 1976 and is headquartered in Cupertino, CA.

$. AAPL price fluctuates within 2.13% (three month std-dev: 0.77%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 20 Average positive next day return: 1.28%(50%) Average negative next day return: -1%(50%) Sample size 20 Average positive next three day return: 1.57%(45%) Average negative next three day return: -1.5%(55%) Sample size 20 Average positive next weekly return: 2.34%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.15%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170608

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_8_2017	33.39	36.1	36.67	37.15	36.98	37.38	38.25(2.71%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.4	105	60	70	210	195.01	88%	0.3	43.7	0.77%	0	2.8	84	0
2	May_5_2017	33.29	35.97	36.42	36.83	36.75	36.79	37.24(1.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	77	0	40	187	109.31	86%	0.24	42.2	0.7%	0	2.2	75	0
3	May_4_2017	33.21	35.9	36.26	36.57	36.63	36.58	36.63(-0.38%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	46	-0	10	155	93.49	84%	0.27	33.8	0.68%	0	1.5	73	0
4	May_3_2017	33.12	35.86	36.15	36.43	36.46	36.7	36.77(-0.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	52	50	21	146	182.79	84%	0.24	28.2	0.69%	0	1.9	70	0
5	May_2_2017	33.04	35.83	36	36.26	36.32	36.68	36.88(0.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	75	70	55	136	181.41	84%	0.27	22.5	0.68%	0	2.4	73	0

6	May_1_2017	32.95	35.77	35.83	36.11	36.1	36.23	36.65(2.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	53	20	37	99	134.41	89%	0.24	24.5	0.68%	0	2.5	61	0
7	Apr_28_2017	32.87	35.77	35.71	35.96	36	35.95	35.91(-0.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	12	-10	3	40	83.44	88%	0.27	27.2	0.98%	0	0.6	50	0
8	Apr_27_2017	32.78	35.77	35.65	35.9	35.98	35.98	35.95(0.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	9	10	4	25	56.99	88%	0.24	32.1	0.98%	0	0.7	49	0
9	Apr_26_2017	32.7	35.77	35.59	35.83	35.89	36.04	35.92(-0.58%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	15	30	15	15	80.16	88%	0.28	35.7	0.98%	0	0.6	46	0
10	Apr_25_2017	32.61	35.73	35.54	35.68	35.76	35.99	36.13(0.61%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.5	19	50	28	-7	75.49	89%	0.28	36.9	0.98%	0	1.3	45	0

11	Apr_24_2017	32.52	35.69	35.5	35.51	35.57	35.74	35.91(0.96%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	8	40	20	-28	68.54	89%	0.28	19.5	0.99%	0	0.7	48	0
12	Apr_21_2017	32.43	35.65	35.48	35.42	35.43	35.53	35.57(-0.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-2	20	12	-42	69.28	89%	0.25	13.3	0.98%	0	-0.2	42	0
13	Apr_20_2017	32.35	35.64	35.51	35.36	35.38	35.4	35.61(1.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-10	10	5	-53	93.28	89%	0.28	8.4	0.99%	0	-0.1	41	0
14	Apr_19_2017	32.26	35.63	35.54	35.33	35.36	35.34	35.17(-0.37%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-19	-0	-5	-61	69.31	88%	0.22	8.4	0.98%	0	-1.4	28	0
15	Apr_18_2017	32.19	35.62	35.64	35.38	35.39	35.37	35.3(-0.45%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-19	-0	-7	-55	58.79	88%	0.25	14.9	0.98%	0	-0.9	33	0

16	Apr_17_2017	32.11	35.63	35.71	35.47	35.42	35.39	35.46(0.57%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-16	-10	-9	-38	66.33	88%	0.25	29.7	0.97%	0	-0.5	58	0
17	Apr_13_2017	32.03	35.63	35.76	35.55	35.54	35.41	35.26(-0.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-16	-30	-14	-21	71.29	88%	0.25	36.4	0.98%	0	-0.9	56	0
18	Apr_12_2017	31.95	35.61	35.83	35.68	35.67	35.46	35.45(0.11%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-17	-40	-22	-0	81.4	88%	0.22	51.8	0.97%	0	-0.4	59	0
19	Apr_11_2017	31.88	35.6	35.89	35.79	35.81	35.68	35.41(-1.06%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.9	-13	-20	-24	21	121.52	88%	0.25	58.7	0.98%	0	-0.4	54	0
20	Apr_10_2017	31.8	35.57	35.95	35.95	35.96	35.88	35.79(-0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	10	-10	-7	60	75.73	93%	0.28	65.4	0.96%	0	0.5	71	0

21	Apr_7_2017	31.71	35.52	35.9	35.98	35.96	35.95	35.84(-0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	11	-10	-6	63	66.69	93%	0.28	64.4	0.96%	0	0.7	59	0
22	Apr_6_2017	31.62	35.47	35.84	35.99	36	35.95	35.92(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	18	10	0	71	84.6	94%	0.25	60.3	0.96%	0	0.9	66	0
23	Apr_5_2017	31.54	35.41	35.78	36	35.98	36.05	36.01(-0.5%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	23	10	5	76	110.87	94%	0.32	61	0.96%	0	1.2	64	0
24	Apr_4_2017	31.44	35.34	35.72	36.01	35.96	35.96	36.19(0.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	25	-0	6	82	79.57	94%	0.32	61.2	0.96%	0	1.7	68	0
25	Apr_3_2017	31.34	35.28	35.59	35.96	35.95	35.91	35.92(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	27	-10	8	84	79.94	94%		71.1	0.96%	0	1.4	70	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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