Trading Signals: AAPL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Jan. 17, 2017

Trading Signals: AAPL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 31, 2015 - Tue. May. 21, 2024)

(Apple Inc)
AAPL latest price $30.0000 (0.81%) ($29.5600 - $30.0600) on Tue. Jan. 17, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.98% (three month average)
RSI   71
Latest Price   $30.0000(0.81%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AAPL advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AAPL advances 1.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AAPL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLK(81%)    IWF(79%)    QQQ(78%)    VUG(78%)    IVW(77%)
Factors Impacting AAPL price   AAPL will decline at least -0.49% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-17%)    TLT(-14%)    UUP(-11%)    IPO(-3%)    IGOV(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.49% (StdDev 0.98%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $29.86(0.47%)
10 Day Moving Average   $29.59(1.39%)
20 Day Moving Average   $29.38(2.11%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   13.5%
Market Cap   $514.073b

Apple, Inc. engages in the design, manufacture, and sale of smartphones, personal computers, tablets, wearables and accessories, and other variety of related services. It operates through the following geographical segments: Americas, Europe, Greater China, Japan, and Rest of Asia Pacific. The Americas segment includes North and South America. The Europe segment consists of European countries, as well as India, the Middle East, and Africa. The Greater China segment comprises of China, Hong Kong, and Taiwan. The Rest of Asia Pacific segment includes Australia and Asian countries. Its products and services include iPhone, Mac, iPad, AirPods, Apple TV, Apple Watch, Beats products, Apple Care, iCloud, digital content stores, streaming, and licensing services. The company was founded by Steven Paul Jobs, Ronald Gerald Wayne, and Stephen G. Wozniak on April 1, 1976 and is headquartered in Cupertino, CA.

$. AAPL price fluctuates within 1.16% (three month std-dev: 0.98%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 4 Average positive next day return: 0.18%(25%) Average negative next day return: -1.14%(75%) Sample size 4 Average positive next three day return: 1.82%(25%) Average negative next three day return: -2.38%(75%) Sample size 4 Average positive next weekly return: 3.69%(25%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.75%(75%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170217

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_17_2017	28.3	29.38	29.59	29.86	29.78	29.8	30(0.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	24	-0	6	79	137.76	51%	0.18	87.9	0.98%	0	1.8	71	0
2	Jan_13_2017	28.25	29.32	29.49	29.81	29.76	29.76	29.76(-0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	22	-10	5	73	104.45	51%	0.11	106.6	0.97%	0	1.4	69	0
3	Jan_12_2017	28.22	29.28	29.43	29.75	29.73	29.76	29.81(-0.43%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	26	10	12	69	108.34	51%	0.11	123.5	0.97%	0	1.8	62	0
4	Jan_11_2017	28.19	29.23	29.37	29.62	29.63	29.77	29.94(0.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	32	30	23	58	110.35	51%	0.11	131.1	0.97%	0	2.4	66	0
5	Jan_10_2017	28.16	29.15	29.3	29.43	29.45	29.69	29.78(0.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	30	60	26	41	97.85	54%	0.07	151.7	0.97%	0	2.4	66	0

6	Jan_9_2017	28.14	29.08	29.23	29.29	29.27	29.49	29.75(0.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	30	50	31	28	134.25	54%	0.11	143.8	0.99%	0	2.4	69	0
7	Jan_6_2017	28.11	29	29.15	29.13	29.09	29.21	29.48(1.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	13	20	15	6	127.01	54%	0.07	145.2	0.99%	0	1.8	65	0
8	Jan_5_2017	28.09	28.91	29.13	29.07	29.02	29.04	29.15(0.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	2	-0	2	3	88.77	52%	0.07	116.7	0.98%	0	0.7	63	0
9	Jan_4_2017	28.07	28.84	29.14	29.08	29.05	28.98	29.01(-0.1%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-4	-20	-8	8	84.47	52%	0.07	89	0.98%	0	0.4	60	0
10	Jan_3_2017	28.05	28.76	29.14	29.14	29.11	29.01	29.04(0.28%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	1	-30	-9	31	115.13	52%	0.07	70.7	0.98%	0	0.5	73	0

11	Dec_30_2016	28.03	28.68	29.15	29.16	29.19	29.12	28.96(-0.75%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	7	-10	-6	45	122.35	52%	0.07	54.3	0.98%	0	0.4	65	0
12	Dec_29_2016	28.01	28.61	29.16	29.18	29.18	29.22	29.18(-0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	15	10	-3	68	60.16	49%	0.11	48.8	0.98%	0	0.8	79	0
13	Dec_28_2016	27.98	28.53	29.12	29.2	29.15	29.27	29.19(-0.44%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	28	20	6	94	83.62	49%	0.07	47.6	1%	0	0.9	82	0
14	Dec_27_2016	27.96	28.47	29.08	29.21	29.15	29.14	29.32(0.65%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	37	-10	8	122	73.19	49%	0.11	47.8	1.01%	0	1.2	87	0
15	Dec_23_2016	27.93	28.39	28.99	29.17	29.14	29.03	29.13(0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	31	-30	-5	138	57	46%	0.11	52.5	1%	0	1.1	88	0

16	Dec_22_2016	27.9	28.33	28.93	29.15	29.14	29.15	29.07(-0.68%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	37	-0	-3	155	104.34	46%	0.07	55	1.02%	0	1.1	80	0
17	Dec_21_2016	27.88	28.27	28.83	29.12	29.16	29.25	29.27(0.1%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	53	30	12	175	95.13	46%	0.14	58.8	1.02%	0	1.5	85	0
18	Dec_20_2016	27.84	28.19	28.68	29.03	29.08	29.17	29.24(0.27%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	54	30	14	173	85.7	46%	0.07	67.3	1.02%	0	1.7	76	0
19	Dec_19_2016	27.82	28.12	28.51	28.94	28.98	29.07	29.16(0.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	54	30	18	161	111.12	46%	0.11	81.3	1.02%	0	1.8	69	0
20	Dec_16_2016	27.79	28.04	28.33	28.78	28.87	28.99	28.99(0.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	45	40	16	131	177.4	46%	0.11	84.9	1.03%	0	1.8	67	0

21	Dec_15_2016	27.76	27.96	28.18	28.68	28.71	28.9	28.96(0.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	47	50	24	116	186.1	52%	0.14	91.9	1.03%	0	2.1	65	0
22	Dec_14_2016	27.72	27.88	28.02	28.49	28.56	28.76	28.8(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.7	44	60	30	85	136.13	57%	0.14	89.6	1.11%	0	2.1	65	0
23	Dec_13_2016	27.68	27.78	27.89	28.28	28.32	28.53	28.8(1.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	36	60	30	55	174.94	60%	0.18	64.6	1.19%	0	2.3	62	0
24	Dec_12_2016	27.63	27.67	27.79	28.02	28.03	28.36	28.33(-0.56%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	29	80	29	27	105.5	61%	0.14	34.3	1.21%	0	1.4	56	0
25	Dec_9_2016	27.59	27.6	27.74	27.81	27.8	28.11	28.49(1.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	29	80	34	14	137.61	57%		21.5	1.23%	0	2	66	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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