Trading Signals: AAPL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Dec. 19, 2016

Trading Signals: AAPL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 31, 2015 - Mon. Jun. 17, 2024)

(Apple Inc)
AAPL latest price $29.1600 (0.59%) ($28.9400 - $29.3500) on Mon. Dec. 19, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.02% (three month average)
RSI   69
Latest Price   $29.1600(0.59%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AAPL advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AAPL advances 2.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AAPL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLK(81%)    IWF(79%)    VUG(78%)    IVW(77%)    QQQ(77%)
Factors Impacting AAPL price   AAPL will decline at least -0.51% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-17%)    TLT(-14%)    UUP(-11%)    IPO(-3%)    IGOV(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.51% (StdDev 1.02%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $28.94(0.76%)
10 Day Moving Average   $28.51(2.28%)
20 Day Moving Average   $28.12(3.7%)
To recent high   -1.4%
To recent low   10.3%
Market Cap   $499.679b

Apple, Inc. engages in the design, manufacture, and sale of smartphones, personal computers, tablets, wearables and accessories, and other variety of related services. It operates through the following geographical segments: Americas, Europe, Greater China, Japan, and Rest of Asia Pacific. The Americas segment includes North and South America. The Europe segment consists of European countries, as well as India, the Middle East, and Africa. The Greater China segment comprises of China, Hong Kong, and Taiwan. The Rest of Asia Pacific segment includes Australia and Asian countries. Its products and services include iPhone, Mac, iPad, AirPods, Apple TV, Apple Watch, Beats products, Apple Care, iCloud, digital content stores, streaming, and licensing services. The company was founded by Steven Paul Jobs, Ronald Gerald Wayne, and Stephen G. Wozniak on April 1, 1976 and is headquartered in Cupertino, CA.

$. AAPL price fluctuates within 2.03% (three month std-dev: 1.02%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 17 Average positive next day return: 0.74%(41%) Average negative next day return: -1%(59%) Sample size 17 Average positive next three day return: 1.01%(41%) Average negative next three day return: -1.52%(59%) Sample size 17 Average positive next weekly return: 1.48%(53%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.45%(47%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170119

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_19_2016	27.82	28.12	28.51	28.94	28.98	29.07	29.16(0.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	54	30	18	161	111.12	46%	0.11	81.3	1.02%	0	1.8	69	INF
2	Dec_16_2016	27.79	28.04	28.33	28.78	28.87	28.99	28.99(0.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	45	40	16	131	177.4	46%	0.11	84.9	1.03%	0	1.8	67	INF
3	Dec_15_2016	27.76	27.96	28.18	28.68	28.71	28.9	28.96(0.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	47	50	24	116	186.1	52%	0.14	91.9	1.03%	0	2.1	65	INF
4	Dec_14_2016	27.72	27.88	28.02	28.49	28.56	28.76	28.8(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.7	44	60	30	85	136.13	57%	0.14	89.6	1.11%	0	2.1	65	INF
5	Dec_13_2016	27.68	27.78	27.89	28.28	28.32	28.53	28.8(1.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	36	60	30	55	174.94	60%	0.18	64.6	1.19%	0	2.3	62	INF

6	Dec_12_2016	27.63	27.67	27.79	28.02	28.03	28.36	28.33(-0.56%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	29	80	29	27	105.5	61%	0.14	34.3	1.21%	0	1.4	56	INF
7	Dec_9_2016	27.59	27.6	27.74	27.81	27.8	28.11	28.49(1.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	29	80	34	14	137.61	57%	0.11	21.5	1.23%	0	2	66	INF
8	Dec_8_2016	27.56	27.53	27.67	27.61	27.55	27.71	28.03(0.97%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	13	30	19	-4	108.27	52%	0.11	4.6	1.26%	0	1.2	61	INF
9	Dec_7_2016	27.53	27.51	27.64	27.48	27.42	27.49	27.76(0.98%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	0	10	6	-17	119.99	52%	0.11	-6.7	1.3%	0	0.6	57	INF
10	Dec_6_2016	27.5	27.5	27.66	27.45	27.41	27.39	27.49(0.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-6	-10	-5	-7	104.78	52%	0.11	-9.4	1.29%	0	-0	67	INF

11	Dec_5_2016	27.47	27.5	27.7	27.53	27.5	27.36	27.28(-0.73%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-4	-40	-12	21	137.3	52%	0.07	-12.8	1.29%	0	-0.6	70	INF
12	Dec_2_2016	27.45	27.5	27.73	27.65	27.61	27.43	27.48(0.4%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-3	-50	-16	37	106.11	52%	0.11	-18.1	1.3%	0	-0.1	57	INF
13	Dec_1_2016	27.42	27.51	27.74	27.74	27.75	27.64	27.37(-0.94%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	5	-30	-12	57	148.35	52%	0.11	-24.8	1.3%	0	-0.3	58	INF
14	Nov_30_2016	27.39	27.53	27.76	27.83	27.75	27.78	27.63(-0.86%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	12	-10	-6	66	144.65	52%	0.15	-28.8	1.29%	0	0.2	49	INF
15	Nov_29_2016	27.35	27.54	27.69	27.89	27.84	27.85	27.87(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	12	-0	-4	60	114.12	52%	0.11	-43.1	1.28%	0	0.8	50	INF

16	Nov_28_2016	27.32	27.56	27.55	27.91	27.89	27.9	27.89(-0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	19	0	9	50	108.78	52%	0.15	-49.1	1.28%	0	0.7	53	INF
17	Nov_25_2016	27.28	27.58	27.47	27.83	27.84	27.82	27.95(0.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	14	-0	5	41	45.9	52%	0.26	-56.7	1.29%	0	0.8	59	INF
18	Nov_23_2016	27.21	27.61	27.37	27.74	27.75	27.88	27.81(-0.5%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	11	30	6	25	109.71	52%	0.15	-57	1.28%	0	0.3	54	INF
19	Nov_22_2016	27.17	27.65	27.35	27.68	27.66	27.86	27.95(0.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	27	50	28	25	103.86	52%	0.04	-52.5	1.28%	0	0.4	49	INF
20	Nov_21_2016	27.16	27.72	27.32	27.44	27.44	27.62	27.93(1.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	22	50	29	2	117.06	52%	0.15	-54.7	1.28%	0	0.3	49	INF

21	Nov_18_2016	27.12	27.79	27.28	27.14	27.19	27.47	27.52(0.11%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	3	80	18	-44	113.72	50%	0.15	-61.9	1.27%	0	-0.3	39	INF
22	Nov_17_2016	27.08	27.86	27.25	27.06	26.96	27.27	27.49(-0.04%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	1	70	24	-69	110.53	50%	0.15	-62.7	1.27%	0	-0.4	38	INF
23	Nov_16_2016	27.04	27.95	27.24	26.95	26.83	26.91	27.5(2.69%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-22	10	6	-105	235.36	50%	0.15	-64.4	1.27%	0	-0.5	37	INF
24	Nov_15_2016	27	28.03	27.27	27	26.87	26.65	26.78(1.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-49	-70	-21	-133	129.06	46%	0.15	-61.9	1.23%	0	-1.3	25	INF
25	Nov_14_2016	26.96	28.16	27.38	27.2	27.07	26.76	26.43(-2.51%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-63	-90	-34	-148	204.7	44%		-57	1.22%	0	-1.9	16	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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