Trading Signals: AAPL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Nov. 17, 2016

Trading Signals: AAPL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 31, 2015 - Mon. Jun. 24, 2024)

(Apple Inc)
AAPL latest price $27.4900 (-0.04%) ($27.2100 - $27.5900) on Thu. Nov. 17, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.27% (three month average)
RSI   38
Latest Price   $27.4900(-0.04%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AAPL advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AAPL declines -1.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AAPL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLK(81%)    IWF(78%)    VUG(78%)    QQQ(77%)    IVW(76%)
Factors Impacting AAPL price   AAPL will decline at least -0.635% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-17%)    TLT(-13%)    UUP(-11%)    GDXJ(-3%)    XHB(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.635% (StdDev 1.27%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.1%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $21.22(-22.81%)
Resistance Level   $27.86
5 Day Moving Average   $27.06(1.59%)
10 Day Moving Average   $27.25(0.88%)
20 Day Moving Average   $27.86(-1.33%)
To recent high   -7%
To recent low   6.6%
Market Cap   $471.062b

Apple, Inc. engages in the design, manufacture, and sale of smartphones, personal computers, tablets, wearables and accessories, and other variety of related services. It operates through the following geographical segments: Americas, Europe, Greater China, Japan, and Rest of Asia Pacific. The Americas segment includes North and South America. The Europe segment consists of European countries, as well as India, the Middle East, and Africa. The Greater China segment comprises of China, Hong Kong, and Taiwan. The Rest of Asia Pacific segment includes Australia and Asian countries. Its products and services include iPhone, Mac, iPad, AirPods, Apple TV, Apple Watch, Beats products, Apple Care, iCloud, digital content stores, streaming, and licensing services. The company was founded by Steven Paul Jobs, Ronald Gerald Wayne, and Stephen G. Wozniak on April 1, 1976 and is headquartered in Cupertino, CA.

$. AAPL price fluctuates within 3.19% (three month std-dev: 1.27%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 6 Average positive next day return: 1.18%(67%) Average negative next day return: -1.01%(33%) Sample size 6 Average positive next three day return: 6.38%(67%) Average negative next three day return: -0.52%(33%) Sample size 6 Average positive next weekly return: 3.24%(83%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.65%(17%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20161217

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_17_2016	27.08	27.86	27.25	27.06	26.96	27.27	27.49(-0.04%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	1	70	24	-69	110.53	50%	0.15	-62.7	1.27%	0	-0.4	38	0
2	Nov_16_2016	27.04	27.95	27.24	26.95	26.83	26.91	27.5(2.69%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-22	10	6	-105	235.36	50%	0.15	-64.4	1.27%	0	-0.5	37	0
3	Nov_15_2016	27	28.03	27.27	27	26.87	26.65	26.78(1.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-49	-70	-21	-133	129.06	46%	0.15	-61.9	1.23%	0	-1.3	25	0
4	Nov_14_2016	26.96	28.16	27.38	27.2	27.07	26.76	26.43(-2.51%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-63	-90	-34	-148	204.7	44%	0.11	-57	1.22%	0	-1.9	16	0
5	Nov_11_2016	26.93	28.32	27.58	27.43	27.34	27.09	27.11(0.59%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-48	-70	-17	-142	136.58	47%	0.11	-52.4	1.18%	0	-1.4	21	0

6	Nov_10_2016	26.9	28.43	27.71	27.45	27.34	27.37	26.95(-2.78%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-49	-30	-15	-152	228.54	47%	0.11	-50.3	1.18%	0	-1.8	24	0
7	Nov_9_2016	26.87	28.55	27.88	27.55	27.49	27.59	27.72(-0.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-42	20	-3	-157	236.71	52%	0.15	-46.7	1.13%	0	-1.1	28	0
8	Nov_8_2016	26.83	28.64	27.99	27.59	27.51	27.6	27.77(0.62%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-34	10	7	-157	97.02	52%	0.15	-40.8	1.14%	0	-1.2	28	0
9	Nov_7_2016	26.79	28.7	28.15	27.61	27.57	27.38	27.6(1.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-53	-50	-16	-163	130.24	52%	0.15	-37.1	1.14%	0	-1.5	24	0
10	Nov_4_2016	26.75	28.78	28.33	27.77	27.71	27.43	27.21(-0.91%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-68	-80	-38	-158	123.35	52%	0.07	-27.5	1.14%	0	-2.3	15	0

11	Nov_3_2016	26.73	28.86	28.53	28.01	28.01	27.77	27.46(-1.58%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.9	-57	-60	-30	-138	107.73	52%	0.15	-18.9	1.13%	0	-2.4	16	0
12	Nov_2_2016	26.69	28.92	28.72	28.24	28.23	28	27.9(0.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-51	-60	-29	-118	113.33	52%	0.11	-5.7	1.12%	0	-2	25	0
13	Nov_1_2016	26.66	28.94	28.86	28.44	28.44	28.25	27.87(-1.83%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.2	-51	-50	-34	-100	175.3	55%	0.15	3.6	1.14%	0	-2.2	23	0
14	Oct_31_2016	26.62	28.94	29.02	28.78	28.59	28.47	28.39(-0.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-35	-50	-26	-61	105.68	58%	0.15	24.5	1.13%	0	-1.3	38	0
15	Oct_28_2016	26.58	28.94	29.12	28.98	28.86	28.63	28.43(-0.66%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-22	-70	-18	-32	151.45	58%	0.11	35.8	1.13%	0	-1.1	41	0

16	Oct_27_2016	26.55	28.97	29.23	29.13	29.07	28.71	28.62(-0.97%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-22	-90	-27	-7	138.25	66%	0.15	43.8	1.14%	0	-0.7	56	0
17	Oct_26_2016	26.51	28.94	29.3	29.26	29.17	29.09	28.9(-2.23%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-10	-30	-19	17	264.54	66%	0.15	45.1	1.37%	0	-0.1	63	0
18	Oct_25_2016	26.47	28.93	29.34	29.33	29.31	29.42	29.56(0.51%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	21	20	10	52	192.52	71%	0.19	50	1.34%	0	1.2	84	0
19	Oct_24_2016	26.42	28.86	29.3	29.3	29.21	29.25	29.41(0.89%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	16	0	2	58	94.15	71%	0.19	46.9	1.35%	0	1.1	83	0
20	Oct_21_2016	26.37	28.8	29.26	29.29	29.24	29.2	29.15(-0.41%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	15	-10	-3	69	92.77	71%	0.19	46.6	1.36%	0	0.7	82	0

21	Oct_20_2016	26.32	28.75	29.2	29.29	29.29	29.18	29.27(-0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	16	-30	-5	78	96.5	71%	0.19	45.4	1.36%	0	1	80	0
22	Oct_19_2016	26.27	28.72	29.13	29.34	29.34	29.29	29.28(-0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	18	-10	-5	86	80.14	71%	0.15	44.4	1.36%	0	1.1	83	0
23	Oct_18_2016	26.23	28.67	29.03	29.35	29.35	29.4	29.37(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	25	10	4	89	98.21	71%	0.11	51.8	1.36%	0	1.5	67	0
24	Oct_17_2016	26.2	28.62	28.93	29.29	29.35	29.39	29.39(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	26	20	6	87	94.5	71%	0.15	66.2	1.36%	0	1.8	71	0
25	Oct_14_2016	26.16	28.57	28.8	29.22	29.32	29.31	29.41(0.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	32	10	14	84	142.61	72%		89.6	1.36%	0	2	72	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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