Trading Signals: AAPL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Sep. 22, 2016

Trading Signals: AAPL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 31, 2015 - Fri. Jun. 21, 2024)

(Apple Inc)
AAPL latest price $28.6600 (0.95%) ($28.5000 - $28.7400) on Thu. Sep. 22, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.43% (three month average)
RSI   67
Latest Price   $28.6600(0.95%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AAPL declines -0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AAPL advances 3.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AAPL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLK(81%)    IWF(78%)    QQQ(77%)    VUG(77%)    IVW(76%)
Factors Impacting AAPL price   AAPL will decline at least -0.715% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-17%)    TLT(-13%)    UUP(-10%)    IBUY(-6%)    BOTZ(-5%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.715% (StdDev 1.43%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $28.51(0.53%)
10 Day Moving Average   $27.91(2.69%)
20 Day Moving Average   $27.34(4.83%)
To recent high   -0.8%
To recent low   24.6%
Market Cap   $491.111b

Apple, Inc. engages in the design, manufacture, and sale of smartphones, personal computers, tablets, wearables and accessories, and other variety of related services. It operates through the following geographical segments: Americas, Europe, Greater China, Japan, and Rest of Asia Pacific. The Americas segment includes North and South America. The Europe segment consists of European countries, as well as India, the Middle East, and Africa. The Greater China segment comprises of China, Hong Kong, and Taiwan. The Rest of Asia Pacific segment includes Australia and Asian countries. Its products and services include iPhone, Mac, iPad, AirPods, Apple TV, Apple Watch, Beats products, Apple Care, iCloud, digital content stores, streaming, and licensing services. The company was founded by Steven Paul Jobs, Ronald Gerald Wayne, and Stephen G. Wozniak on April 1, 1976 and is headquartered in Cupertino, CA.

$. AAPL price fluctuates within 3.4% (three month std-dev: 1.43%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 25 Average positive next day return: 0.85%(44%) Average negative next day return: -1.23%(56%) Sample size 25 Average positive next three day return: 1.45%(28%) Average negative next three day return: -2.12%(72%) Sample size 25 Average positive next weekly return: 1.79%(40%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.01%(60%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20161022

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_22_2016	25.35	27.34	27.91	28.51	28.49	28.49	28.66(0.95%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	36	-0	2	138	124.3	73%	0.24	40.3	1.43%	0	1.4	67	0
2	Sep_21_2016	25.29	27.25	27.68	28.56	28.52	28.35	28.39(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	34	-50	-2	142	144.01	73%	0.16	43	1.43%	0	1.3	67	0
3	Sep_20_2016	25.25	27.19	27.55	28.47	28.6	28.48	28.39(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	45	-20	10	151	138.06	73%	0.2	41.7	1.43%	0	1.4	67	0
4	Sep_19_2016	25.2	27.12	27.4	28.19	28.43	28.7	28.4(-1.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	57	90	29	140	188.09	73%	0.24	33.3	1.43%	0	1.6	64	0
5	Sep_16_2016	25.14	27.05	27.24	27.78	28.01	28.71	28.73(-0.55%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.3	79	200	64	122	319.55	69%	0.2	22.2	1.45%	0	2.3	67	0

6	Sep_15_2016	25.09	26.97	27.02	27.19	27.32	28.15	28.89(3.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.7	70	230	69	72	362.45	69%	0.16	1.7	1.45%	0	3.1	66	0
7	Sep_14_2016	25.05	26.88	26.77	26.69	26.67	27.3	27.94(3.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.8	36	160	44	12	449.36	65%	0.08	-25.1	1.4%	0	2.4	58	0
8	Sep_13_2016	25.03	26.84	26.61	26.52	26.4	26.5	26.99(2.39%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	7	10	18	-25	248.7	58%	0.04	-40	1.34%	0	0.4	46	0
9	Sep_12_2016	25.02	26.85	26.58	26.51	26.41	26.03	26.36(2.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-29	-110	-22	-50	181.17	55%	0	-35.9	1.32%	0	-1.2	38	0
10	Sep_9_2016	25.02	26.89	26.62	26.62	26.65	26.31	25.78(-2.27%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-2.2	-39	-90	-34	-55	186.23	51%	-0.04	-28.3	1.3%	0	-2.8	23	0

11	Sep_8_2016	25.03	26.96	26.74	26.8	26.65	26.79	26.38(-2.62%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-16	-10	-10	-35	212.01	56%	0	-13	1.27%	0	-2	31	0
12	Sep_7_2016	25.03	26.99	26.8	26.83	26.86	26.99	27.09(0.59%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	2	40	13	-30	169.46	62%	0	-2.1	1.22%	0	0.4	41	0
13	Sep_6_2016	25.03	26.99	26.81	26.71	26.74	26.93	26.93(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-1	50	13	-44	107.52	62%	-0.08	3.1	1.22%	0	-0.3	35	0
14	Sep_2_2016	25.05	26.99	26.82	26.67	26.62	26.74	26.93(0.94%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-5	30	12	-55	107.21	62%	-0.08	9.4	1.21%	0	-0.3	34	0
15	Sep_1_2016	25.07	26.99	26.86	26.63	26.57	26.54	26.68(0.57%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-17	-10	-2	-61	106.81	62%	-0.04	18.3	1.21%	0	-1.1	40	0

16	Aug_31_2016	25.08	26.99	26.92	26.67	26.62	26.5	26.53(0.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-23	-40	-12	-56	118.65	62%	-0.04	27	1.23%	0	-1.6	39	0
17	Aug_30_2016	25.09	27	26.99	26.77	26.71	26.6	26.5(-0.79%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-25	-40	-18	-45	99.46	62%	-0.04	41.3	1.23%	0	-1.5	37	0
18	Aug_29_2016	25.1	26.99	27.08	26.91	26.85	26.75	26.71(-0.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-15	-30	-11	-26	99.88	62%	0	79.4	1.23%	0	-0.8	36	0
19	Aug_26_2016	25.1	26.98	27.15	27	26.98	26.82	26.74(-0.56%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-15	-40	-15	-15	111.07	62%	-0.04	101.4	1.23%	0	-0.6	42	0
20	Aug_25_2016	25.11	26.95	27.19	27.12	27.07	26.96	26.89(-0.44%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-11	-30	-14	-0	100.34	65%	0	119.2	1.23%	0	-0.1	53	0

21	Aug_24_2016	25.11	26.92	27.2	27.19	27.17	27.14	27.01(-0.74%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-1	-10	-7	18	94.7	67%	-0.04	119.8	1.25%	0	0.2	67	0
22	Aug_23_2016	25.12	26.86	27.21	27.25	27.23	27.18	27.21(0.29%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	7	-20	-3	35	85.03	67%	-0.04	86.4	1.25%	0	0.5	73	0
23	Aug_22_2016	25.13	26.72	27.21	27.28	27.24	27.2	27.13(-0.77%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	8	-10	-8	54	103.28	67%	0	70.3	1.26%	0	0.5	77	0
24	Aug_19_2016	25.13	26.59	27.2	27.33	27.31	27.29	27.34(0.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	22	-10	4	74	101.47	67%	0	63.6	1.26%	0	0.8	68	0
25	Aug_18_2016	25.13	26.46	27.16	27.27	27.29	27.28	27.27(-0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	23	-0	3	84	87.94	67%		60.6	1.26%	0	0.8	74	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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