Trading Signals: AAPL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Jul. 21, 2016

Trading Signals: AAPL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 31, 2015 - Tue. Jun. 18, 2024)

(Apple Inc)
AAPL latest price $24.8600 (-0.52%) ($24.7800 - $25.2500) on Thu. Jul. 21, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.4% (three month average)
RSI   75
Latest Price   $24.8600(-0.52%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AAPL advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AAPL advances 2.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AAPL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLK(81%)    IWF(78%)    QQQ(77%)    VUG(77%)    IVW(76%)
Factors Impacting AAPL price   AAPL will decline at least -0.7% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-17%)    TLT(-13%)    UUP(-10%)    IPO(-8%)    XHB(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.7% (StdDev 1.4%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $24.9(-0.16%)
10 Day Moving Average   $24.64(0.89%)
20 Day Moving Average   $24.19(2.77%)
To recent high   -6.2%
To recent low   10%
Market Cap   $425.995b

Apple, Inc. engages in the design, manufacture, and sale of smartphones, personal computers, tablets, wearables and accessories, and other variety of related services. It operates through the following geographical segments: Americas, Europe, Greater China, Japan, and Rest of Asia Pacific. The Americas segment includes North and South America. The Europe segment consists of European countries, as well as India, the Middle East, and Africa. The Greater China segment comprises of China, Hong Kong, and Taiwan. The Rest of Asia Pacific segment includes Australia and Asian countries. Its products and services include iPhone, Mac, iPad, AirPods, Apple TV, Apple Watch, Beats products, Apple Care, iCloud, digital content stores, streaming, and licensing services. The company was founded by Steven Paul Jobs, Ronald Gerald Wayne, and Stephen G. Wozniak on April 1, 1976 and is headquartered in Cupertino, CA.

$. AAPL price fluctuates within 2.32% (three month std-dev: 1.4%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 4 Average positive next day return: 0.35%(50%) Average negative next day return: -0.23%(50%) Sample size 4 Average positive next three day return: 0.91%(75%) Average negative next three day return: -0.29%(25%) Sample size 4 Average positive next weekly return: 1.42%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -0.57%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160821

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_21_2016	25.06	24.19	24.64	24.9	24.93	24.99	24.86(-0.52%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	26	20	4	91	130.81	40%	0	45.7	1.4%	0	1.2	75	INF
2	Jul_20_2016	25.06	24.13	24.55	24.86	24.87	24.97	24.99(0.08%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	37	30	15	101	105.1	40%	0	42.9	1.4%	0	1.6	82	INF
3	Jul_19_2016	25.06	24.08	24.44	24.71	24.75	24.88	24.97(0.04%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	34	40	14	95	95.12	40%	0.04	34.1	1.41%	0	1.8	84	INF
4	Jul_18_2016	25.05	24.02	24.32	24.59	24.6	24.78	24.96(1.05%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	36	50	16	97	145.98	38%	0	24.5	1.41%	0	2	87	INF
5	Jul_15_2016	25.05	23.96	24.22	24.45	24.47	24.63	24.7(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.6	36	50	16	95	120.55	35%	0.04	9	1.42%	0	1.9	73	INF

6	Jul_14_2016	25.04	23.93	24.13	24.34	24.36	24.42	24.7(1.98%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	31	20	14	82	155.68	35%	0.04	-4.4	1.44%	0	2	57	INF
7	Jul_13_2016	25.03	23.93	24.02	24.2	24.26	24.32	24.22(-0.57%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	21	20	7	64	103.57	32%	0	-22.6	1.41%	0	0.9	54	INF
8	Jul_12_2016	25.03	23.91	23.94	24.13	24.18	24.3	24.36(0.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	23	40	14	51	96.67	32%	0	-31.8	1.43%	0	1.3	54	INF
9	Jul_11_2016	25.03	23.9	23.81	24.01	24.03	24.19	24.25(0.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	14	50	10	26	95.18	32%	0.04	-47.3	1.44%	0	1	56	INF
10	Jul_8_2016	25.02	23.92	23.72	23.95	23.91	24.06	24.17(0.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	11	40	10	13	115.65	32%	0	-44.2	1.44%	0	0.6	54	INF

11	Jul_7_2016	25.02	23.95	23.7	23.9	23.87	23.88	23.99(0.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	8	-0	10	2	100.56	30%	-0.04	-38	1.43%	0	0.1	43	INF
12	Jul_6_2016	25.03	23.98	23.68	23.82	23.81	23.76	23.88(0.55%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-1	-20	4	-14	123.8	30%	0	-39.3	1.45%	0	-0.2	43	INF
13	Jul_5_2016	25.03	24.02	23.68	23.72	23.75	23.86	23.75(-0.92%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	2	40	11	-27	110.82	30%	0	-44.7	1.46%	0	-0.5	40	INF
14	Jul_1_2016	25.03	24.07	23.69	23.58	23.63	23.85	23.97(0.29%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	3	70	19	-47	104.11	30%	0.04	-55.7	1.46%	0	-0.2	43	INF
15	Jun_30_2016	25.02	24.09	23.67	23.45	23.42	23.65	23.9(1.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-13	60	9	-78	143.35	30%	0	-68.4	1.45%	0	-0.4	37	INF

16	Jun_29_2016	25.02	24.12	23.71	23.48	23.31	23.4	23.6(0.85%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-21	10	2	-88	146.12	34%	0	-70.4	1.46%	0	-1	30	INF
17	Jun_28_2016	25.02	24.17	23.77	23.54	23.42	23.19	23.4(1.69%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-32	-80	-11	-94	161.78	34%	0	-65.8	1.49%	0	-1.5	30	INF
18	Jun_27_2016	25.02	24.25	23.87	23.65	23.61	23.23	23.01(-1.46%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.3	-46	-120	-28	-99	186.49	31%	-0.04	-56.8	1.47%	0	-2.5	22	INF
19	Jun_24_2016	25.03	24.36	24.01	23.81	23.8	23.66	23.35(-2.83%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-36	-40	-19	-87	301.25	31%	-0.04	-42.5	1.47%	0	-2.3	28	INF
20	Jun_23_2016	25.04	24.45	24.15	23.9	23.94	23.99	24.03(0.59%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-20	20	-3	-71	128.96	34%	0	-23.8	1.44%	0	-1.1	41	INF

21	Jun_22_2016	25.04	24.49	24.23	23.97	23.95	23.94	23.89(-0.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-18	-10	-4	-59	116.88	34%	0	-4.9	1.43%	0	-1.5	39	INF
22	Jun_21_2016	25.04	24.52	24.31	24.05	24.01	23.9	23.98(0.84%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-20	-40	-9	-52	142.19	34%	0	14.6	1.44%	0	-1.5	37	INF
23	Jun_20_2016	25.04	24.54	24.39	24.13	24.14	23.96	23.78(-0.21%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-23	-50	-14	-51	137.65	34%	0	29.3	1.43%	0	-2.1	27	INF
24	Jun_17_2016	25.04	24.55	24.48	24.24	24.25	24.12	23.83(-2.3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-28	-40	-20	-50	244.03	34%	0	53.1	1.43%	0	-2	26	INF
25	Jun_16_2016	25.04	24.54	24.56	24.42	24.38	24.32	24.39(0.41%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-19	-20	-11	-41	125.31	36%		74.2	1.41%	0	-0.4	31	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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