Trading Signals: AAPL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. May. 19, 2016

Trading Signals: AAPL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 31, 2015 - Fri. Jun. 21, 2024)

(Apple Inc)
AAPL latest price $23.5500 (-0.38%) ($23.3900 - $23.6600) on Thu. May. 19, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.53% (three month average)
RSI   51
Latest Price   $23.5500(-0.38%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AAPL advances 0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AAPL declines -0.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AAPL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLK(81%)    IWF(78%)    QQQ(77%)    VUG(77%)    IVW(76%)
Factors Impacting AAPL price   AAPL will decline at least -0.765% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-18%)    TLT(-13%)    UUP(-10%)    IPO(-8%)    IGOV(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.765% (StdDev 1.53%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.5%

Resistance Level   $23.78
5 Day Moving Average   $23.33(0.94%)
10 Day Moving Average   $23.22(1.42%)
20 Day Moving Average   $23.78(-0.97%)
To recent high   -16%
To recent low   4.2%
Market Cap   $403.547b

Apple, Inc. engages in the design, manufacture, and sale of smartphones, personal computers, tablets, wearables and accessories, and other variety of related services. It operates through the following geographical segments: Americas, Europe, Greater China, Japan, and Rest of Asia Pacific. The Americas segment includes North and South America. The Europe segment consists of European countries, as well as India, the Middle East, and Africa. The Greater China segment comprises of China, Hong Kong, and Taiwan. The Rest of Asia Pacific segment includes Australia and Asian countries. Its products and services include iPhone, Mac, iPad, AirPods, Apple TV, Apple Watch, Beats products, Apple Care, iCloud, digital content stores, streaming, and licensing services. The company was founded by Steven Paul Jobs, Ronald Gerald Wayne, and Stephen G. Wozniak on April 1, 1976 and is headquartered in Cupertino, CA.

$. AAPL price fluctuates within 5.09% (three month std-dev: 1.53%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 2.52%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0.72%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 9.71%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160619

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_19_2016	25.08	23.78	23.22	23.33	23.48	23.59	23.55(-0.38%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	12	50	17	-4	121.77	40%	-0.12	-66.6	1.53%	0	-0.2	51	0
2	May_18_2016	25.11	23.91	23.19	23.14	23.25	23.55	23.64(1.16%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	4	100	15	-29	168.25	40%	-0.16	-69.5	1.53%	0	-0.2	48	0
3	May_17_2016	25.15	24.06	23.17	23.14	23.06	23.38	23.37(-0.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-2	100	15	-52	187.67	40%	-0.12	-70.1	1.54%	0	-0.5	35	0
4	May_16_2016	25.18	24.22	23.21	23.04	23.06	22.95	23.47(3.71%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-15	-20	10	-89	245.04	45%	-0.08	-69.2	1.55%	0	-0.5	25	0
5	May_13_2016	25.2	24.38	23.2	22.98	23	22.74	22.63(0.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-52	-80	-19	-150	177.57	39%	-0.2	-67.1	1.52%	0	-1.1	13	0

6	May_12_2016	25.25	24.62	23.28	23.09	23.16	23.04	22.59(-2.33%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-59	-30	-18	-183	305.26	39%	-0.2	-62.1	1.53%	0	-1.2	11	0
7	May_11_2016	25.3	24.88	23.4	23.24	23.25	23.04	23.13(-0.98%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-56	10	-5	-210	114.88	42%	-0.12	-57.2	1.51%	0	-1	12	0
8	May_10_2016	25.33	25.12	23.53	23.32	23.28	23.27	23.36(0.69%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-65	-10	-6	-240	134.75	42%	-0.16	-55.4	1.5%	0	-1	12	0
9	May_9_2016	25.37	25.33	23.78	23.41	23.39	23.24	23.2(0.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-66	-50	-6	-244	131.75	42%	-0.12	-54.6	1.5%	0	-1.2	10	0
10	May_6_2016	25.4	25.54	24.07	23.45	23.49	23.29	23.18(-0.56%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-72	-50	-12	-252	174.8	42%	-0.2	-57.4	1.5%	0	-1.4	10	0

11	May_5_2016	25.45	25.74	24.38	23.5	23.53	23.54	23.31(-1.02%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-73	10	-10	-261	143.56	38%	-0.16	-60.4	1.51%	0	-1.5	9	0
12	May_4_2016	25.49	25.94	24.69	23.58	23.55	23.69	23.55(-1.05%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0	-72	40	-6	-270	164.1	38%	-0.2	-62.7	1.54%	0	-1.5	8	0
13	May_3_2016	25.54	26.16	25.01	23.76	23.63	23.53	23.8(1.67%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-89	-50	-24	-282	227.33	42%	-0.16	-62.7	1.53%	0	-1.6	9	0
14	May_2_2016	25.58	26.35	25.3	24.22	23.78	23.41	23.41(-0.13%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-108	-160	-54	-271	192.64	37%	-0.2	-57.1	1.54%	0	-2	10	0
15	Apr_29_2016	25.63	26.58	25.65	24.79	24.46	23.74	23.44(-1.14%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.1	-101	-250	-57	-234	274.13	42%	-0.23	-48.1	1.55%	0	-2.5	17	0

16	Apr_28_2016	25.69	26.8	26.07	25.39	25.17	24.15	23.71(-3.07%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.6	-99	-310	-70	-186	328.97	42%	-0.23	-39.1	1.61%	0	-2.9	19	0
17	Apr_27_2016	25.75	26.99	26.51	25.95	25.75	25.18	24.46(-6.25%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.9	-84	-180	-66	-137	458.41	39%	-0.19	-30	1.56%	0	-3.2	23	0
18	Apr_26_2016	25.8	27.15	26.88	26.41	26.33	26.18	26.09(-0.69%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-29	-50	-13	-77	224.06	46%	-0.12	-14.6	1.58%	0	-2	28	0
19	Apr_25_2016	25.83	27.2	27.03	26.54	26.49	26.31	26.27(-0.57%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-26	-50	-13	-66	112.13	43%	-0.15	-4.7	1.58%	0	-1.8	36	0
20	Apr_22_2016	25.87	27.21	27.14	26.66	26.63	26.47	26.42(-0.26%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-31	-50	-19	-66	134.73	50%	-0.12	0	1.6%	0	-1.6	33	0

21	Apr_21_2016	25.9	27.22	27.22	26.87	26.79	26.66	26.49(-1.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-29	-40	-21	-53	126.21	50%	-0.08	11.4	1.73%	0	-1.5	39	0
22	Apr_20_2016	25.92	27.22	27.3	27.17	27.08	26.78	26.78(0.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-23	-90	-20	-33	122.44	50%	-0.12	30	1.72%	0	-0.9	46	0
23	Apr_19_2016	25.95	27.23	27.39	27.42	27.39	26.92	26.73(-0.52%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-22	-120	-25	-14	129.54	50%	-0.12	48.4	1.72%	0	-1	44	0
24	Apr_18_2016	25.98	27.22	27.47	27.6	27.65	27.38	26.87(-2.15%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1.4	-13	-60	-19	7	243.29	50%	-0.12	65.8	1.72%	0	-0.7	52	0
25	Apr_15_2016	26.01	27.21	27.57	27.67	27.76	27.86	27.46(-2.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	11	30	2	38	187.76	50%		75.9	1.71%	0	0.5	66	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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