Trading Signals: AAPL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Mar. 1, 2016

Trading Signals: AAPL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 31, 2015 - Wed. May. 29, 2024)

(Apple Inc)
AAPL latest price $25.1300 (3.97%) ($24.3600 - $25.1900) on Tue. Mar. 1, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.01% (three month average)
RSI   65
Latest Price   $25.1300(3.97%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AAPL advances 1.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AAPL advances 1.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AAPL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLK(81%)    IWF(77%)    QQQ(77%)    VUG(77%)    IVW(76%)
Factors Impacting AAPL price   AAPL will decline at least -1.005% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-18%)    TLT(-14%)    UUP(-10%)    IPO(-7%)    GDXJ(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.005% (StdDev 2.01%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $24.35(3.2%)
10 Day Moving Average   $24.23(3.71%)
20 Day Moving Average   $24(4.71%)
To recent high   -15.6%
To recent low   7.6%
Market Cap   $430.622b

Apple, Inc. engages in the design, manufacture, and sale of smartphones, personal computers, tablets, wearables and accessories, and other variety of related services. It operates through the following geographical segments: Americas, Europe, Greater China, Japan, and Rest of Asia Pacific. The Americas segment includes North and South America. The Europe segment consists of European countries, as well as India, the Middle East, and Africa. The Greater China segment comprises of China, Hong Kong, and Taiwan. The Rest of Asia Pacific segment includes Australia and Asian countries. Its products and services include iPhone, Mac, iPad, AirPods, Apple TV, Apple Watch, Beats products, Apple Care, iCloud, digital content stores, streaming, and licensing services. The company was founded by Steven Paul Jobs, Ronald Gerald Wayne, and Stephen G. Wozniak on April 1, 1976 and is headquartered in Cupertino, CA.

$. AAPL price fluctuates within 1.67% (three month std-dev: 2.01%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0.77%(50%) Average negative next day return: -1.2%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 2.12%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 2.58%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_1_2016	26.86	24	24.23	24.35	24.35	24.53	25.13(3.97%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	29	50	22	50	201.63	37%	-0.11	21.6	2.01%	0	2.8	65	INF
2	Feb_29_2016	26.89	24	24.13	24.06	24.09	24.29	24.17(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	10	60	4	29	140.87	33%	-0.15	-8.8	1.92%	0	0.7	57	INF
3	Feb_26_2016	26.93	23.95	24.06	24.07	23.99	24.17	24.23(0.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	16	40	10	33	115.96	33%	-0.11	-23.3	1.92%	0	0.9	61	INF
4	Feb_25_2016	26.96	23.92	23.99	24.02	23.99	23.9	24.19(0.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	7	-20	3	19	110.33	33%	-0.15	-33.6	1.94%	0	0.8	50	INF
5	Feb_24_2016	27	23.88	23.93	24	23.95	23.81	24.03(1.52%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	-8	-50	-12	6	145.02	33%	-0.15	-46.4	1.93%	0	0.5	49	INF

6	Feb_23_2016	27.04	23.92	23.9	24.1	24.11	24.01	23.67(-2.27%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-2	-30	-8	16	127.77	33%	-0.15	-22.2	1.93%	0	-0.6	52	INF
7	Feb_22_2016	27.08	23.97	23.91	24.2	24.22	24.08	24.22(0.87%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	9	-40	4	25	137.12	34%	-0.15	-8.9	1.91%	0	0.5	51	INF
8	Feb_19_2016	27.12	23.97	23.84	24.05	24.17	24.21	24.01(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	3	30	3	4	141.5	34%	-0.11	-10.5	1.91%	0	-0	45	INF
9	Feb_18_2016	27.15	24.02	23.84	23.94	24.03	24.35	24.07(-1.88%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	13	100	14	8	156.08	37%	-0.15	-18.8	1.92%	0	0.1	56	INF
10	Feb_17_2016	27.19	24.03	23.85	23.84	23.79	24.13	24.53(1.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	18	90	20	11	179.45	37%	-0.11	-30.6	1.96%	0	0.9	63	INF

11	Feb_16_2016	27.22	24.03	23.75	23.68	23.66	23.71	24.16(2.81%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	3	10	11	-20	196.23	37%	-0.18	-43.1	1.95%	0	0.3	42	INF
12	Feb_12_2016	27.27	24.01	23.74	23.68	23.6	23.46	23.5(0.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-13	-40	-4	-41	161.41	33%	-0.22	-47.1	1.93%	0	-0.9	38	INF
13	Feb_11_2016	27.33	24.08	23.82	23.6	23.62	23.61	23.43(-0.59%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-23	-0	-12	-56	200.3	33%	-0.18	-40.8	1.93%	0	-1.2	34	INF
14	Feb_10_2016	27.38	24.13	23.83	23.75	23.72	23.75	23.57(-0.76%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-14	10	-2	-50	169.37	32%	-0.18	-42.3	1.93%	0	-1.1	48	INF
15	Feb_9_2016	27.43	24.2	23.82	23.85	23.78	23.63	23.75(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-14	-50	-1	-52	177.32	32%	-0.18	-41.4	1.96%	0	-0.8	48	INF

16	Feb_8_2016	27.48	24.24	23.94	23.82	23.83	23.69	23.75(1.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-21	-40	-11	-49	216.09	32%	-0.18	-57.8	1.96%	0	-0.9	48	INF
17	Feb_5_2016	27.53	24.27	24.04	23.9	23.89	23.94	23.51(-2.65%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-16	10	-9	-38	185.67	32%	-0.18	-72.9	1.96%	0	-1.4	46	INF
18	Feb_4_2016	27.58	24.31	24.22	24.06	23.95	23.98	24.15(0.25%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	3	-0	9	-14	185.89	33%	-0.18	-92.7	1.94%	0	-0.3	45	INF
19	Feb_3_2016	27.63	24.35	24.21	23.94	23.93	23.83	24.09(1.99%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-3	-30	6	-28	183.86	33%	-0.18	-111	1.94%	0	-0.5	49	INF
20	Feb_2_2016	27.68	24.43	24.23	23.79	23.81	23.92	23.62(-2.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-25	30	-15	-56	149.43	31%	-0.22	-112.6	1.92%	0	-1.4	41	INF

21	Feb_1_2016	27.74	24.56	24.29	24.07	23.8	24.03	24.11(-0.94%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-11	30	-2	-38	163.77	32%	-0.14	-91.6	1.92%	0	-0.6	47	INF
22	Jan_29_2016	27.78	24.66	24.31	24.22	24.02	23.71	24.34(3.49%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-14	-120	-9	-30	257.67	32%	-0.14	-90.6	1.92%	0	-0.5	52	INF
23	Jan_28_2016	27.82	24.78	24.36	24.42	24.29	23.57	23.52(0.68%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-27	-220	-31	-16	222.72	32%	-0.14	-74.6	1.87%	0	-1.6	48	INF
24	Jan_27_2016	27.86	24.96	24.45	24.53	24.69	24.32	23.36(-6.56%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-24	-90	-27	-16	533.48	32%	-0.18	-63.2	1.95%	0	-1.8	39	INF
25	Jan_26_2016	27.91	25.13	24.62	24.7	24.79	25.02	25(0.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	9	80	11	3	300.31	34%		-54.3	1.78%	0	-0.1	44	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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