Trading Signals: AAPL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Feb. 3, 2016

Trading Signals: AAPL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 31, 2015 - Fri. May. 24, 2024)

(Apple Inc)
AAPL latest price $24.0900 (1.99%) ($23.5200 - $24.2100) on Wed. Feb. 3, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.94% (three month average)
RSI   49
Latest Price   $24.0900(1.99%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AAPL advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AAPL declines -1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Value stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AAPL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLK(81%)    IWF(77%)    QQQ(77%)    VUG(77%)    IVW(76%)
Factors Impacting AAPL price   AAPL will decline at least -0.97% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-19%)    TLT(-14%)    UUP(-10%)    IPO(-7%)    GDXJ(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.97% (StdDev 1.94%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.4%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $19.89(-17.43%)
Resistance Level   $24.35
5 Day Moving Average   $23.94(0.63%)
10 Day Moving Average   $24.21(-0.5%)
20 Day Moving Average   $24.35(-1.07%)
To recent high   -21.4%
To recent low   3.1%
Market Cap   $412.8b

Apple, Inc. engages in the design, manufacture, and sale of smartphones, personal computers, tablets, wearables and accessories, and other variety of related services. It operates through the following geographical segments: Americas, Europe, Greater China, Japan, and Rest of Asia Pacific. The Americas segment includes North and South America. The Europe segment consists of European countries, as well as India, the Middle East, and Africa. The Greater China segment comprises of China, Hong Kong, and Taiwan. The Rest of Asia Pacific segment includes Australia and Asian countries. Its products and services include iPhone, Mac, iPad, AirPods, Apple TV, Apple Watch, Beats products, Apple Care, iCloud, digital content stores, streaming, and licensing services. The company was founded by Steven Paul Jobs, Ronald Gerald Wayne, and Stephen G. Wozniak on April 1, 1976 and is headquartered in Cupertino, CA.

$. AAPL price fluctuates within 2.18% (three month std-dev: 1.94%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0.33%(50%) Average negative next day return: -0.84%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -0.6%(100%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 16.01%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.16%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160303

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_3_2016	27.63	24.35	24.21	23.94	23.93	23.83	24.09(1.99%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-3	-30	6	-28	183.86	33%	-0.18	-111	1.94%	0	-0.5	49	0
2	Feb_2_2016	27.68	24.43	24.23	23.79	23.81	23.92	23.62(-2.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-25	30	-15	-56	149.43	31%	-0.22	-112.6	1.92%	0	-1.4	41	0
3	Feb_1_2016	27.74	24.56	24.29	24.07	23.8	24.03	24.11(-0.94%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-11	30	-2	-38	163.77	32%	-0.14	-91.6	1.92%	0	-0.6	47	0
4	Jan_29_2016	27.78	24.66	24.31	24.22	24.02	23.71	24.34(3.49%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-14	-120	-9	-30	257.67	32%	-0.14	-90.6	1.92%	0	-0.5	52	0
5	Jan_28_2016	27.82	24.78	24.36	24.42	24.29	23.57	23.52(0.68%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-27	-220	-31	-16	222.72	32%	-0.14	-74.6	1.87%	0	-1.6	48	0

6	Jan_27_2016	27.86	24.96	24.45	24.53	24.69	24.32	23.36(-6.56%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-24	-90	-27	-16	533.48	32%	-0.18	-63.2	1.95%	0	-1.8	39	0
7	Jan_26_2016	27.91	25.13	24.62	24.7	24.79	25.02	25(0.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	9	80	11	3	300.31	34%	-0.11	-54.3	1.78%	0	-0.1	44	0
8	Jan_25_2016	27.94	25.22	24.58	24.53	24.55	25.05	24.86(-1.97%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	9	150	21	-26	207.18	34%	-0.11	-56.5	1.81%	0	-0.4	38	0
9	Jan_22_2016	27.97	25.32	24.52	24.42	24.36	24.57	25.36(5.32%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	2	50	22	-58	263.2	39%	-0.07	-61.9	1.85%	0	0	41	0
10	Jan_21_2016	27.99	25.39	24.39	24.32	24.15	24.06	24.08(-0.5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-35	-50	-7	-118	208.65	33%	-0.14	-63.4	1.72%	0	-1.2	26	0

11	Jan_20_2016	28.03	25.53	24.49	24.38	24.26	24.15	24.2(0.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-45	-50	-13	-142	289.34	35%	-0.11	-65.6	1.72%	0	-1.2	24	0
12	Jan_19_2016	28.06	25.65	24.63	24.53	24.46	24.24	24.17(-0.45%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-45	-70	-12	-143	212.35	35%	-0.14	-69.2	1.74%	0	-1.3	30	0
13	Jan_15_2016	28.1	25.8	24.84	24.63	24.63	24.38	24.28(-2.41%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-45	-70	-11	-146	319.34	35%	-0.14	-77	1.73%	0	-1.4	29	0
14	Jan_14_2016	28.14	25.98	25.04	24.62	24.75	24.69	24.88(2.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-36	-0	3	-153	252.68	37%	-0.14	-83.3	1.72%	0	-1	31	0
15	Jan_13_2016	28.18	26.11	25.22	24.46	24.71	24.88	24.35(-2.56%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-47	80	-5	-171	249.76	34%	-0.14	-91.1	1.7%	0	-1.5	30	0

16	Jan_12_2016	28.22	26.3	25.49	24.63	24.64	24.81	24.99(1.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-39	50	0	-157	196.62	36%	-0.14	-96.2	1.68%	0	-1.2	33	0
17	Jan_11_2016	28.26	26.47	25.66	24.77	24.7	24.54	24.63(1.61%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-54	-50	-20	-156	198.96	36%	-0.11	-97.7	1.67%	0	-1.6	34	0
18	Jan_8_2016	28.29	26.68	25.9	25.11	25.05	24.47	24.24(0.54%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-64	-170	-38	-142	283.19	39%	-0.18	-91	1.68%	0	-2.2	24	0
19	Jan_7_2016	28.34	26.92	26.2	25.53	25.43	24.85	24.11(-4.25%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.3	-75	-170	-57	-129	324.38	39%	-0.18	-84.4	1.68%	0	-2.6	20	0
20	Jan_6_2016	28.39	27.2	26.49	26.07	25.93	25.63	25.18(-1.95%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-54	-100	-39	-97	273.83	42%	-0.11	-81.2	1.6%	0	-2.1	28	0

21	Jan_5_2016	28.42	27.42	26.67	26.47	26.38	26	25.68(-2.51%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-36	-110	-22	-77	223.16	44%	-0.14	-69	1.59%	0	-1.7	27	0
22	Jan_4_2016	28.46	27.62	26.76	26.68	26.62	26.23	26.34(0.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-42	-110	-27	-88	270.6	47%	-0.07	-61.1	1.56%	0	-1.2	29	0
23	Dec_31_2015	28.48	27.74	26.86	26.81	26.82	26.75	26.32(-1.9%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-39	-20	-19	-98	163.65	47%	-0.11	-58	1.56%	0	-1.3	25	0
24	Dec_30_2015	28.51	27.88	27	26.98	26.82	27	26.83(-1.32%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-20	10	4	-92	100.86	49%	-0.07	-58.1	1.55%	0	-1	29	0
25	Dec_29_2015	28.53	28.01	27.08	26.97	26.97	26.89	27.19(1.8%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-28	-20	2	-118	123.72	45%		-58.5	1.55%	0	-0.8	27	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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