Trading Signals: AAPL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Nov. 16, 2015

Trading Signals: AAPL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 31, 2015 - Fri. Jun. 21, 2024)

(Apple Inc)
AAPL latest price $28.5400 (1.6%) ($27.7500 - $28.5600) on Mon. Nov. 16, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.78% (three month average)
RSI   53
Latest Price   $28.5400(1.6%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AAPL declines -1.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AAPL declines -1.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AAPL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLK(81%)    IWF(77%)    QQQ(77%)    VUG(77%)    IVW(75%)
Factors Impacting AAPL price   AAPL will decline at least -0.89% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-20%)    TLT(-14%)    UUP(-9%)    IGOV(-3%)    GDXJ(-2%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.89% (StdDev 1.78%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2.5%

Resistance Level   $29.44
5 Day Moving Average   $28.76(-0.76%)
10 Day Moving Average   $29.5(-3.25%)
20 Day Moving Average   $29.44(-3.06%)
To recent high   -6.9%
To recent low   6%
Market Cap   $489.054b

Apple, Inc. engages in the design, manufacture, and sale of smartphones, personal computers, tablets, wearables and accessories, and other variety of related services. It operates through the following geographical segments: Americas, Europe, Greater China, Japan, and Rest of Asia Pacific. The Americas segment includes North and South America. The Europe segment consists of European countries, as well as India, the Middle East, and Africa. The Greater China segment comprises of China, Hong Kong, and Taiwan. The Rest of Asia Pacific segment includes Australia and Asian countries. Its products and services include iPhone, Mac, iPad, AirPods, Apple TV, Apple Watch, Beats products, Apple Care, iCloud, digital content stores, streaming, and licensing services. The company was founded by Steven Paul Jobs, Ronald Gerald Wayne, and Stephen G. Wozniak on April 1, 1976 and is headquartered in Cupertino, CA.

$. AAPL price fluctuates within 2.85% (three month std-dev: 1.78%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 4 Average positive next day return: 1.46%(75%) Average negative next day return: -0.36%(25%) Sample size 4 Average positive next three day return: 3.21%(25%) Average negative next three day return: -0.66%(75%) Sample size 4 Average positive next weekly return: 1.63%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.79%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20151216

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_16_2015	28.54	29.44	29.5	28.76	28.68	28.32	28.54(1.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-41	-100	-29	-76	152.43	41%	0	20.7	1.78%	0	-1.1	53	0
2	Nov_13_2015	28.54	29.44	29.69	29.08	28.95	28.75	28.09(-2.9%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-35	-60	-32	-43	183.25	41%	-0.04	30	1.79%	0	-1.5	48	0
3	Nov_12_2015	28.55	29.42	29.88	29.51	29.39	29.05	28.93(-0.34%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-16	-90	-18	-10	130.1	45%	0.04	43.2	1.76%	0	-0.6	44	0
4	Nov_11_2015	28.54	29.38	30.01	29.77	29.7	29.16	29.03(-0.55%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.8	-21	-130	-33	14	180.87	45%	0.04	50.6	1.77%	0	-0.4	54	0
5	Nov_10_2015	28.53	29.32	30.11	30.07	30.02	29.73	29.19(-3.15%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-11	-70	-31	48	236.51	45%	0.04	57	1.79%	0	-0.1	59	0

6	Nov_9_2015	28.52	29.26	30.08	30.36	30.38	30.25	30.14(-0.43%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	18	-30	-4	83	135.49	52%	0.11	64.5	1.75%	0	0.8	67	0
7	Nov_6_2015	28.49	29.15	29.96	30.39	30.44	30.32	30.27(0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	23	-20	-2	98	132.17	52%	0.14	66.4	1.76%	0	1.1	71	0
8	Nov_5_2015	28.45	29.04	29.9	30.31	30.4	30.51	30.23(-0.89%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	29	30	0	116	158.21	52%	0.14	66.3	1.78%	0	1.1	72	0
9	Nov_4_2015	28.41	28.9	29.77	30.29	30.33	30.57	30.5(-0.46%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	46	60	16	134	179.54	52%	0.14	66.9	1.79%	0	1.5	72	0
10	Nov_3_2015	28.37	28.75	29.57	30.15	30.14	30.3	30.64(1.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	53	40	24	140	182.08	52%	0.18	68.6	1.81%	0	1.9	75	0

11	Nov_2_2015	28.32	28.61	29.35	29.75	29.89	30.1	30.3(1.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	44	60	19	119	128.81	52%	0.18	65.4	1.83%	0	1.9	68	0
12	Oct_30_2015	28.27	28.47	29.11	29.46	29.56	29.98	29.88(-0.83%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	35	110	13	100	197.46	52%	0.14	59	1.84%	0	1.7	67	0
13	Oct_29_2015	28.23	28.35	28.9	29.44	29.32	29.68	30.13(1.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	45	70	26	103	204.91	52%	0.14	56.3	1.85%	0	2.3	67	0
14	Oct_28_2015	28.19	28.21	28.68	29.19	29.22	29.13	29.82(4.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	36	-20	18	91	342.21	52%	0.14	46.5	1.87%	0	2.4	70	0
15	Oct_27_2015	28.15	28.09	28.45	28.91	29.03	28.97	28.64(-0.62%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	12	-0	-7	67	279.54	41%	0.04	32.2	1.78%	0	0.9	60	0

16	Oct_26_2015	28.14	28.03	28.38	28.87	28.97	29.31	28.82(-3.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	32	90	17	76	265.34	41%	0.07	23.7	1.8%	0	1.4	60	0
17	Oct_23_2015	28.12	27.98	28.29	28.69	28.72	29.09	29.77(3.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	46	90	36	77	237.47	49%	0.14	9.8	1.75%	0	3.1	71	0
18	Oct_22_2015	28.08	27.92	28.1	28.29	28.3	28.64	28.88(1.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	28	90	20	51	166.62	36%	0.11	-9.3	1.7%	0	2.1	66	0
19	Oct_21_2015	28.05	27.92	27.95	28.11	28.08	28.35	28.44(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.8	26	60	22	39	169.31	36%	0.04	-19.2	1.71%	0	1.3	65	0
20	Oct_20_2015	28.04	27.9	27.87	27.93	27.9	27.95	28.44(1.83%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	13	10	10	23	195.87	36%	0.04	-36.4	1.73%	0	1.3	61	0

21	Oct_19_2015	28.03	27.89	27.8	27.93	27.78	27.81	27.93(0.61%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	4	0	-1	19	119.04	24%	0	-47.8	1.73%	0	0.1	61	0
22	Oct_16_2015	28.03	27.93	27.78	27.83	27.8	27.84	27.76(-0.75%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	4	10	-0	14	156.93	24%	-0.04	-49.1	1.75%	0	-0.4	45	0
23	Oct_15_2015	28.04	27.96	27.77	27.88	27.85	27.75	27.97(1.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	6	-30	5	8	150.69	24%	0	-46.7	1.77%	0	0	40	0
24	Oct_14_2015	28.04	27.98	27.71	27.76	27.82	27.76	27.55(-1.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-8	-10	-5	-18	177.85	24%	-0.07	-45.2	1.78%	0	-0.8	35	0
25	Oct_13_2015	28.06	28.05	27.72	27.79	27.75	27.95	27.95(0.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-4	50	3	-24	132.2	24%		-29.6	1.79%	0	-0.2	41	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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