Trading Signals: AAL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Dec. 19, 2023

Trading Signals: AAL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(American Airlines Group Inc)
AAL latest price $14.2850 (0.42%) ($14.2850 - $14.2850) on Tue. Dec. 19, 2023.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.14% (three month average)
RSI   81
Latest Price   $14.2850(0.42%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AAL advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AAL advances 5.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AAL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
TLT(82%)    VWO(77%)    XLB(76%)    IYT(75%)    XHB(73%)
Factors Impacting AAL price   AAL will decline at least -1.07% in a week (0% probabilities).
SHY(-19%)    SPLV(-6%)    HYG(15%)    TBT(-35%)    XLU(9%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.07% (StdDev 2.14%)
Hourly BBV -0.1 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

5 Day Moving Average   $14.34(-0.38%)
10 Day Moving Average   $14.07(1.53%)
20 Day Moving Average   $13.34(7.08%)
To recent high   -2%
To recent low   31.1%
Market Cap   $7.265b

American Airlines Group, Inc. is a holding company, which engages in the operation of a network carrier through its principal wholly-owned mainline operating subsidiary, American. The firm offers air transportation for passengers and cargo. It operates through the following geographical segments: Department of Transportation Domestic; Department of Transportation Latin America; Department of Transportation Atlantic; and Department of Transportation Pacific. The company was founded on December 9, 2013 and is headquartered in Fort Worth, TX.

$. AAL price fluctuates within 6.45% (three month std-dev: 2.14%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 50 Average positive next day return: 2.28%(60%) Average negative next day return: -1.79%(40%) Sample size 50 Average positive next three day return: 3.74%(58%) Average negative next three day return: -2.68%(42%) Sample size 50 Average positive next weekly return: 5.66%(64%) Average negative next weekly return: -4.57%(36%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20240119

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_19_2023	13.28	13.34	14.07	14.34	14.4	14.26	14.29(0.42%)	UT	HoldLong	65	-0.1	40	-60	1	156	19.96	60%	-0.15	63.3	2.14%	-0.1	1.1	81	0.7
2	Dec_18_2023	13.3	13.25	13.97	14.29	14.36	14.37	14.23(-2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	47	20	4	175	25.29	60%	-0.23	66.5	2.14%	-1.1	1.2	81	0.8
3	Dec_15_2023	13.33	13.15	13.88	14.18	14.31	14.55	14.52(-0.45%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	63	140	18	197	28.95	60%	-0.15	67	2.13%	0.6	1.6	86	0.8
4	Dec_14_2023	13.35	13.03	13.73	14.03	14.1	14.34	14.58(3.48%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	63	130	18	199	38.36	60%	-0.15	69	2.13%	1.3	2	83	1.6
5	Dec_13_2023	13.37	12.91	13.52	13.9	13.9	14.07	14.09(0.43%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	60	90	15	194	35.2	53%	-0.22	74.7	2.09%	1.2	1.7	81	1.4

6	Dec_12_2023	13.4	12.82	13.33	13.77	13.85	13.86	14.03(2.48%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	56	20	16	176	31.62	53%	-0.15	79.2	2.23%	1.3	1.8	82	1.6
7	Dec_11_2023	13.42	12.7	13.15	13.6	13.71	13.73	13.69(-0.54%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	42	30	5	152	25.85	52%	-0.3	76.4	2.2%	-1.3	1.6	71	1.4
8	Dec_8_2023	13.46	12.61	13	13.52	13.57	13.83	13.77(-0.97%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	49	150	15	150	26.17	52%	-0.3	74.8	2.2%	-0.2	1.9	74	1.2
9	Dec_7_2023	13.5	12.51	12.85	13.37	13.46	13.69	13.9(3.12%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	60	140	32	144	46.52	50%	-0.37	76.1	2.2%	1.1	2.4	78	1
10	Dec_6_2023	13.55	12.41	12.68	13.08	13.24	13.31	13.48(2.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	43	70	23	104	47.95	48%	-0.37	81.9	2.19%	0.7	2.2	67	1.2

11	Dec_5_2023	13.6	12.32	12.55	12.83	12.98	13.24	13.14(-1.46%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	32	180	19	72	38.35	44%	-0.37	83.9	2.16%	-0	2	66	1.3
12	Dec_4_2023	13.65	12.24	12.47	12.63	12.75	13.18	13.34(2.54%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.8	40	260	31	66	47.62	44%	-0.36	80.1	2.18%	1.1	2.8	76	1.4
13	Dec_1_2023	13.7	12.17	12.35	12.4	12.46	12.72	13.01(4.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2	28	160	22	44	44.84	42%	-0.36	99.2	2.17%	1.9	2.7	73	1.3
14	Nov_30_2023	13.75	12.09	12.35	12.26	12.25	12.33	12.43(1.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	11	40	5	30	32.14	38%	-0.51	100.4	2.07%	0.9	1.2	68	1.4
15	Nov_29_2023	13.82	12.02	12.35	12.24	12.22	12.2	12.24(0.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	11	-20	2	36	31.62	38%	-0.43	82.3	2.05%	0.5	0.6	56	1.3

16	Nov_28_2023	13.88	11.97	12.26	12.22	12.24	12.17	12.16(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	6	-40	-6	41	31.4	38%	-0.5	72.9	2.06%	-0.4	0.5	61	1.5
17	Nov_27_2023	13.95	11.93	12.23	12.27	12.23	12.25	12.19(-1.02%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	11	0	-3	53	24.81	38%	-0.43	70.6	2.07%	-0.8	0.6	63	1.3
18	Nov_24_2023	14.01	11.87	12.2	12.29	12.29	12.3	12.31(0.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	17	10	4	56	14.68	38%	-0.71	62.6	2.06%	0	1	56	1.4
19	Nov_22_2023	14.11	11.81	12.14	12.26	12.28	12.22	12.29(1.19%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	13	-30	-3	60	37.63	37%	-0.14	56.7	2.05%	-0.3	1	66	1.2
20	Nov_21_2023	14.13	11.75	12.11	12.29	12.26	12.27	12.15(-2.06%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	18	-0	-4	84	21.74	37%	-0.42	56.2	2.06%	-0.9	0.8	68	1.3

21	Nov_20_2023	14.19	11.7	12.08	12.31	12.32	12.34	12.4(0.94%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	38	10	14	111	20.81	38%	-0.35	51	2.05%	1.7	1.5	72	1.4
22	Nov_17_2023	14.24	11.65	12	12.18	12.29	12.24	12.29(0.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	31	-0	7	104	24.09	37%	-0.42	39.2	2.05%	-0.7	1.4	70	1.5
23	Nov_16_2023	14.3	11.59	11.97	12.09	12.16	12.31	12.19(-1.85%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	36	100	8	119	32.08	37%	-0.35	29.4	2.06%	-0.9	1.4	73	1.5
24	Nov_15_2023	14.35	11.55	11.9	12	12.06	12.33	12.42(1.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	43	170	17	119	32.6	37%	-0.35	18.6	2.05%	1	2.1	69	1.6
25	Nov_14_2023	14.4	11.49	11.77	11.92	11.9	12.01	12.25(3.95%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	39	60	15	112	32.26	37%		0.6	2.04%	1.5	2.1	69	1.5
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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