Trading Signals: AAL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. May. 20, 2022

Trading Signals: AAL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(American Airlines Group Inc)
AAL latest price $16.2300 (-3.13%) ($16.2300 - $16.2300) on Fri. May. 20, 2022.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.21% (three month average)
RSI   39
Latest Price   $16.2300(-3.13%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AAL declines -0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AAL declines -4.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AAL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
JETS(55%)    PEJ(52%)    DRIV(47%)    IVW(47%)    IWF(47%)
Factors Impacting AAL price   AAL will decline at least -2.105% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-25%)    UUP(-22%)    VXX(-3%)    TBT(-3%)    USO(2%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.105% (StdDev 4.21%)
Hourly BBV -1.7 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

Resistance Level   $17.67
5 Day Moving Average   $16.84(-3.62%)
10 Day Moving Average   $16.52(-1.76%)
20 Day Moving Average   $17.67(-8.15%)
To recent high   -19.9%
To recent low   26.6%
Market Cap   $8.254b

American Airlines Group, Inc. is a holding company, which engages in the operation of a network carrier through its principal wholly-owned mainline operating subsidiary, American. The firm offers air transportation for passengers and cargo. It operates through the following geographical segments: Department of Transportation Domestic; Department of Transportation Latin America; Department of Transportation Atlantic; and Department of Transportation Pacific. The company was founded on December 9, 2013 and is headquartered in Fort Worth, TX.

$. AAL price fluctuates within 8.09% (three month std-dev: 4.21%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 25 Average positive next day return: 2.01%(52%) Average negative next day return: -4.44%(48%) Sample size 25 Average positive next three day return: 4.41%(48%) Average negative next three day return: -5.76%(52%) Sample size 25 Average positive next weekly return: 5.92%(64%) Average negative next weekly return: -6.66%(36%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20220620

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_20_2022	17.36	17.67	16.52	16.84	16.91	16.49	16.23(-3.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-23	-160	-6	-73	30.71	50%	-0.12	-46.6	4.21%	-1.7	-1	39	2
2	May_19_2022	17.38	17.86	16.68	16.91	16.99	16.81	16.76(-0.68%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-17	-60	2	-73	26.46	50%	-0.06	-41.1	4.22%	-0.9	-0.7	40	1.7
3	May_18_2022	17.39	18.03	16.83	16.65	16.95	17.34	16.87(-5.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-15	220	10	-88	27.11	50%	-0.11	-42.6	4.25%	-0.7	-0.8	38	2
4	May_17_2022	17.41	18.16	17.07	16.47	16.59	17.17	17.8(7.59%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-10	270	17	-90	26.29	52%	-0.06	-39.3	4.21%	1.8	-0.2	44	1.8
5	May_16_2022	17.42	18.25	17.18	16.23	16.13	16.57	16.54(-0.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-20	170	8	-105	22.8	49%	0	-36.6	4.12%	0.8	-1.2	38	2.4

6	May_13_2022	17.42	18.36	17.38	16.19	16.15	16.02	16.61(7.65%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-32	-60	-3	-120	29.66	53%	-0.11	-32.5	4.17%	1.1	-1.2	33	1.6
7	May_12_2022	17.44	18.49	17.59	16.43	16.07	15.69	15.43(-3.47%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-55	-230	-29	-133	37.47	49%	-0.17	-23.2	4.09%	-1.6	-2.2	23	1.6
8	May_11_2022	17.47	18.68	18.01	17.04	16.67	16.28	15.98(-3.71%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-48	-230	-26	-113	34.42	47%	-0.11	-7.4	4.1%	-2	-2.3	25	1.8
9	May_10_2022	17.49	18.76	18.32	17.76	17.3	16.44	16.6(1.69%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-42	-430	-27	-87	33.33	47%	-0.06	7.9	4.14%	-0.7	-2	34	2.4
10	May_9_2022	17.5	18.8	18.56	18.28	18.05	17.07	16.32(-8.52%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-41	-420	-30	-74	37.69	47%	-0.06	16.6	4.13%	-1.7	-2.4	32	2

11	May_6_2022	17.51	18.84	18.94	18.73	18.77	18.16	17.84(-3.41%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-23	-220	-17	-42	32.6	55%	0.11	22.6	4.05%	-1.6	-1	49	1.4
12	May_5_2022	17.49	18.81	19.18	18.92	18.95	19.04	18.47(-5.74%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-14	40	-10	-24	29.52	55%	0.06	20.9	4.05%	-1.8	-0.3	49	1.7
13	May_4_2022	17.48	18.77	19.36	19.11	19.03	19.38	19.6(2.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	8	120	10	1	28.51	58%	0.17	22.7	4.01%	1.9	0.7	56	1
14	May_3_2022	17.45	18.68	19.34	18.99	18.98	18.87	19.16(3.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	6	-40	5	10	27.18	58%	0.11	18.4	4.01%	1	0.4	67	-0.9
15	May_2_2022	17.43	18.63	19.39	18.91	18.94	18.67	18.58(-1.01%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-5	-100	-13	19	30.27	58%	0.06	20.7	4.01%	-1.1	-0	65	-0.1

16	Apr_29_2022	17.42	18.61	19.4	19.19	18.99	19.09	18.77(-3.4%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	4	10	-11	48	23.84	60%	0	33.5	4%	-0.6	0.1	69	0.2
17	Apr_28_2022	17.42	18.59	19.44	19.48	19.3	19.22	19.43(2.26%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	19	-60	-2	82	25.6	60%	0.11	48.1	4%	1.8	0.8	69	0.8
18	Apr_27_2022	17.4	18.52	19.4	19.65	19.5	18.88	19(1.28%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	17	-250	-11	101	29.02	60%	0.06	61.8	4%	-0.7	0.4	63	0.4
19	Apr_26_2022	17.39	18.47	19.23	19.75	19.8	19.38	18.76(-6.22%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	14	-140	-15	102	33.16	60%	0.06	72.4	4.02%	-1.8	0.3	58	1.4
20	Apr_25_2022	17.38	18.4	19.08	19.92	19.99	20.11	20.01(-1.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	34	50	7	115	34.44	63%	0.17	82.1	3.94%	-1	1.5	62	1.9

21	Apr_22_2022	17.35	18.25	18.75	19.63	19.89	20.22	20.22(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	34	160	14	94	39.28	63%	0.17	78.2	3.9%	-0	1.8	63	1.1
22	Apr_21_2022	17.32	18.07	18.43	19.39	19.47	19.86	20.27(3.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	28	150	13	73	80.28	63%	0.23	77.5	3.93%	0.6	2.2	63	1.3
23	Apr_20_2022	17.28	17.87	18.12	19.13	19.16	19.56	19.5(-0.69%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	30	150	20	60	39.81	61%	0.12	74.1	3.92%	0.6	1.7	61	0.7
24	Apr_19_2022	17.26	17.72	17.94	18.65	19.03	19.08	19.64(5.96%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	27	80	24	36	38.21	61%	0.12	67.8	3.95%	1.5	2.1	61	0.8
25	Apr_18_2022	17.24	17.54	17.77	18.11	18.4	18.76	18.53(-2.45%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	12	180	11	13	24.92	57%		64.3	3.9%	-1.7	1.1	62	1
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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