Trading Signals: AAL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Mar. 22, 2021

Trading Signals: AAL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(American Airlines Group Inc)
AAL latest price $23.8750 (-4.5%) ($23.8750 - $23.8750) on Mon. Mar. 22, 2021.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.42% (three month average)
RSI   64
Latest Price   $23.8750(-4.5%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AAL declines -1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AAL advances 7.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock rally for large cap. Value stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AAL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
JETS(74%)    PEJ(63%)    DRIV(53%)    IWM(53%)    IWN(52%)
Factors Impacting AAL price   AAL will decline at least -1.71% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-36%)    UUP(-22%)    VXX(-11%)    IGOV(-7%)    TLT(-5%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.71% (StdDev 3.42%)
Hourly BBV -1.1 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

5 Day Moving Average   $24.64(-3.1%)
10 Day Moving Average   $23.78(0.4%)
20 Day Moving Average   $22.57(5.78%)
To recent high   -5%
To recent low   59.2%
Market Cap   $12.142b

American Airlines Group, Inc. is a holding company, which engages in the operation of a network carrier through its principal wholly-owned mainline operating subsidiary, American. The firm offers air transportation for passengers and cargo. It operates through the following geographical segments: Department of Transportation Domestic; Department of Transportation Latin America; Department of Transportation Atlantic; and Department of Transportation Pacific. The company was founded on December 9, 2013 and is headquartered in Fort Worth, TX.

$. AAL price fluctuates within 7.18% (three month std-dev: 3.42%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 14 Average positive next day return: 1.77%(71%) Average negative next day return: -1.37%(29%) Sample size 14 Average positive next three day return: 4.06%(79%) Average negative next three day return: -2.43%(21%) Sample size 14 Average positive next weekly return: 6.27%(86%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.61%(14%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20210422

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_22_2021	16.97	22.57	23.78	24.64	24.67	24.44	23.88(-4.5%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	21	-60	-13	124	37.95	69%	0.77	100.4	3.42%	-1.1	0.8	64	1.9
2	Mar_19_2021	16.84	22.4	23.56	24.89	24.84	24.86	25(1.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	44	-0	7	153	37.67	72%	0.84	107.1	3.39%	0	1.5	71	1.6
3	Mar_18_2021	16.7	22.08	23.13	24.56	24.87	24.91	24.73(-1.47%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	48	50	17	142	49.51	72%	0.91	101.2	3.42%	-0.1	1.4	71	1.2
4	Mar_17_2021	16.55	21.74	22.79	24.03	24.52	24.81	25.1(2.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	48	140	22	127	35.35	72%	0.85	91.7	3.43%	0.9	1.7	74	2.1
5	Mar_16_2021	16.41	21.38	22.47	23.38	23.77	24.83	24.52(-2.43%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	49	360	30	105	46	72%	0.8	84.7	3.43%	0.2	1.7	63	1.9

6	Mar_15_2021	16.28	21.05	22.15	22.78	23.09	24.22	25.13(7.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	60	380	49	94	90.61	72%	0.8	81.1	3.41%	1.2	2.3	71	2.4
7	Mar_12_2021	16.15	20.65	21.72	22.06	22.2	22.71	23.32(5.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	39	180	31	62	50.42	70%	0.69	73.6	3.27%	1.5	1.6	67	1.8
8	Mar_11_2021	16.04	20.33	21.48	21.5	21.75	21.96	22.11(1.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	21	100	12	48	34.96	63%	0.63	61.2	3.24%	0.7	1	72	1.5
9	Mar_10_2021	15.94	20.1	21.35	21.35	21.35	21.69	21.82(1.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	16	110	1	61	42.1	66%	0.57	57	3.32%	0.9	1	75	1.2
10	Mar_9_2021	15.85	19.89	21.34	21.42	21.24	21.54	21.56(0.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	30	70	7	98	37.2	66%	0.63	60.2	3.38%	1	0.9	72	1.2

11	Mar_8_2021	15.75	19.7	21.25	21.41	21.39	21.02	21.52(4.85%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	33	-120	3	122	37.43	66%	0.57	63	3.41%	0.8	1	72	0.4
12	Mar_5_2021	15.66	19.48	21.15	21.34	21.38	20.94	20.53(-3.84%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	24	-140	-16	143	60.68	66%	0.58	62.1	3.39%	-0.8	0.6	72	0.6
13	Mar_4_2021	15.57	19.33	20.99	21.43	21.54	21.75	21.35(-3.68%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	46	80	3	176	58.28	69%	0.58	61.3	3.38%	-1.1	1.1	79	-0.4
14	Mar_3_2021	15.48	19.14	20.66	21.32	21.45	21.83	22.16(3.09%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	57	140	13	187	47.1	74%	0.65	64.2	3.34%	1.3	1.7	79	0.3
15	Mar_2_2021	15.38	18.85	20.25	21.25	21.11	21.33	21.5(1.61%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	53	50	8	188	25.21	75%	0.59	69.9	3.47%	0.6	1.5	77	1

16	Mar_1_2021	15.29	18.61	19.89	21.08	21.19	21.07	21.16(0.83%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	52	-20	8	185	43.08	75%	0.59	74.6	3.49%	0.1	1.5	72	1
17	Feb_26_2021	15.2	18.41	19.51	20.94	21.06	20.89	20.98(0.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	52	-40	8	184	36.99	71%	0.53	81.5	3.53%	-0.6	1.6	74	0.5
18	Feb_25_2021	15.12	18.25	19.11	20.48	20.86	21.32	20.81(-4.67%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	59	210	23	165	58.87	71%	0.53	87.1	3.56%	-0.6	1.7	72	0.2
19	Feb_24_2021	15.04	18.03	18.76	19.86	20.32	21.23	21.83(5.77%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.4	69	380	44	143	68.59	77%	0.6	80.9	3.49%	1.4	2.8	76	1.4
20	Feb_23_2021	14.95	17.7	18.3	19.09	19.29	20.4	20.64(0.86%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.3	54	430	36	106	74.73	77%	0.54	75	3.6%	0.9	2.5	77	1.3

21	Feb_22_2021	14.87	17.44	17.98	18.53	18.63	19.41	20.46(9.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	51	310	40	85	99.2	77%	0.54	66.6	3.73%	1.2	2.9	74	1.1
22	Feb_19_2021	14.79	17.2	17.63	17.89	18.05	18.18	18.65(5.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	25	80	18	46	45.06	75%	0.41	57.6	3.57%	1.6	1.7	62	1.5
23	Feb_18_2021	14.73	17.05	17.49	17.55	17.7	17.86	17.71(-1.67%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	6	90	3	16	24.57	74%	0.41	49.7	3.52%	-0.5	0.8	46	1.3
24	Feb_17_2021	14.67	16.98	17.48	17.48	17.51	17.91	18.01(1.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	14	170	10	25	34.28	74%	0.41	52.2	3.5%	1.1	1.3	62	1.4
25	Feb_16_2021	14.61	16.88	17.34	17.37	17.34	17.54	17.82(3.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	12	80	7	28	31.84	75%		55.1	3.51%	1.6	1.2	67	1.2
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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