Trading Signals: AAL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. May. 3, 2019

Trading Signals: AAL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(American Airlines Group Inc)
AAL latest price $34.7800 (2.44%) ($34.1500 - $34.9000) on Fri. May. 3, 2019.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.66% (three month average)
RSI   49
Latest Price   $34.7800(2.44%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AAL advances 1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AAL declines -0.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AAL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
JETS(82%)    PEJ(63%)    IWN(56%)    XAR(56%)    XLF(56%)
Factors Impacting AAL price   AAL will decline at least -0.83% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-15%)    VXX(-12%)    IGOV(-9%)    VIXM(-6%)    SHY(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.83% (StdDev 1.66%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $34.11(1.96%)
10 Day Moving Average   $33.86(2.72%)
20 Day Moving Average   $33.99(2.32%)
To recent high   -5.8%
To recent low   15.1%
Market Cap   $17.688b

American Airlines Group, Inc. is a holding company, which engages in the operation of a network carrier through its principal wholly-owned mainline operating subsidiary, American. The firm offers air transportation for passengers and cargo. It operates through the following geographical segments: Department of Transportation Domestic; Department of Transportation Latin America; Department of Transportation Atlantic; and Department of Transportation Pacific. The company was founded on December 9, 2013 and is headquartered in Fort Worth, TX.

$. AAL price fluctuates within 1.35% (three month std-dev: 1.66%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 50 Average positive next day return: 0.79%(56%) Average negative next day return: -0.64%(44%) Sample size 50 Average positive next three day return: 1.28%(62%) Average negative next three day return: -1.06%(38%) Sample size 50 Average positive next weekly return: 1.37%(62%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.69%(38%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20190603

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_3_2019	33.44	33.99	33.86	34.11	34.2	34.33	34.78(2.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	17	30	21	5	4.35	52%	0.09	59.3	1.66%	0	1.7	49	-3.1
2	May_2_2019	33.41	33.94	33.8	33.77	33.98	34.16	33.95(0.18%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	4	60	13	-23	4.39	48%	-0.03	75	1.65%	0	0	41	-4.6
3	May_1_2019	33.42	33.93	33.83	33.65	33.65	34.07	33.89(-0.82%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-1	90	9	-29	3.55	48%	0	98.4	1.66%	0	-0.1	49	0.4
4	Apr_30_2019	33.42	33.89	33.85	33.67	33.53	33.81	34.17(1.18%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	9	50	18	-18	4.21	48%	0.03	117.3	1.66%	0	0.6	57	0.9
5	Apr_29_2019	33.41	33.8	33.8	33.63	33.56	33.23	33.77(2.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-7	-80	1	-29	4.75	48%	0	113.6	1.65%	0	-0.1	50	1

6	Apr_26_2019	33.41	33.72	33.89	33.57	33.58	33.25	33.06(-0.9%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-34	-70	-32	-39	9.62	52%	-0.12	96.3	1.72%	0	-0.9	43	1.3
7	Apr_25_2019	33.45	33.63	34.06	33.83	33.83	33.89	33.36(-1.85%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-10	10	-11	-8	4.99	58%	0	80	1.73%	0	-0.3	47	0.9
8	Apr_24_2019	33.45	33.52	34.14	33.83	33.99	33.91	33.99(0.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	4	-20	2	11	3.21	68%	-0.09	74.7	1.79%	0	0.4	54	1.1
9	Apr_23_2019	33.48	33.34	34.14	34.04	34.07	33.78	33.97(1.46%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-3	-60	-7	10	2.63	68%	-0.18	59	1.96%	0	0.5	60	1.6
10	Apr_22_2019	33.54	33.17	34.08	34	34.11	34.06	33.48(-2.56%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-9	-0	-17	17	3.23	62%	-0.33	49	2%	0	0.2	62	1.6

11	Apr_18_2019	33.65	33.03	34.14	34.25	34.25	34.37	34.36(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	15	20	1	55	2.75	67%	-0.15	48.7	2.02%	0	0.9	74	1.9
12	Apr_17_2019	33.7	32.89	34.1	34.34	34.25	34.16	34.38(1.06%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0	24	-40	3	86	3.16	67%	-0.12	48.1	2.03%	0	1	78	1.8
13	Apr_16_2019	33.74	32.72	34.03	34.27	34.38	34.13	34.02(0.71%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	21	-40	-7	103	3.76	67%	-0.12	45.5	2.04%	0	0.8	76	2.1
14	Apr_15_2019	33.78	32.6	33.94	34.13	34.34	34.6	33.78(-2.62%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	34	70	3	125	5.33	67%	-0.12	46.2	2.06%	0	0.8	79	2.1
15	Apr_12_2019	33.82	32.47	33.82	34.15	34.06	34.64	34.69(-0.34%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	56	110	22	158	3.66	72%	0.03	45.2	2.02%	0	1.5	87	2.4

16	Apr_11_2019	33.81	32.3	33.53	34.02	33.78	34.09	34.81(2.29%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	57	40	21	165	6.22	72%	-0.06	44.8	2.03%	0	1.8	83	1.6
17	Apr_10_2019	33.83	32.16	33.15	33.85	33.69	33.48	34.03(2.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	39	-60	2	150	6.23	62%	-0.03	45.2	2.02%	0	1.5	68	1.3
18	Apr_9_2019	33.84	32.04	32.85	33.78	33.71	33.47	33.33(-1.62%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	28	-60	-10	142	6.81	59%	-0.09	43	2.07%	0	1.1	68	0.6
19	Apr_8_2019	33.87	31.91	32.56	33.72	33.79	33.9	33.88(-0.53%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	42	30	10	137	4.9	59%	-0.09	34.3	2.1%	0	1.7	65	1.2
20	Apr_5_2019	33.9	31.81	32.2	33.41	33.61	33.96	34.06(0.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	50	90	26	120	4.32	59%	-0.12	22.3	2.12%	0	2	68	1.3

21	Apr_4_2019	33.94	31.69	31.84	32.95	33.14	33.69	33.93(0.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	51	130	36	95	5.24	66%	-0.12	-0.6	2.14%	0	2.3	67	1.2
22	Apr_3_2019	33.98	31.59	31.57	32.34	32.53	33.26	33.71(2.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	43	170	38	58	8.68	56%	-0.12	-36.9	2.28%	0	2.4	58	1
23	Apr_2_2019	34.02	31.52	31.27	31.79	31.88	32.59	33(2.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	35	160	38	25	8.69	56%	-0.12	-73.4	2.47%	0	1.8	56	1.2
24	Apr_1_2019	34.06	31.51	31.11	31.23	31.29	31.8	32.35(1.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	23	120	30	2	6.41	56%	-0.12	-99	2.46%	0	0.9	60	1.2
25	Mar_29_2019	34.1	31.57	30.99	30.8	30.83	31.17	31.76(2.78%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	6	80	17	-27	5.68	56%		-101.4	2.45%	0	0.2	47	1
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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