Trading Signals: AAL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Jan. 16, 2018

Trading Signals: AAL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(American Airlines Group Inc)
AAL latest price $57.2688 (-0.84%) ($56.8243 - $58.3553) on Tue. Jan. 16, 2018.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.62% (three month average)
RSI   74
Latest Price   $57.2688(-0.84%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AAL advances 2.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AAL advances 3.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AAL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
JETS(83%)    PEJ(63%)    IWN(56%)    XLI(56%)    XAR(55%)
Factors Impacting AAL price   AAL will decline at least -0.81% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-16%)    UUP(-13%)    VIXM(-11%)    IGOV(-9%)    SHY(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.81% (StdDev 1.62%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $55.06(4.01%)
10 Day Moving Average   $53.61(6.82%)
20 Day Moving Average   $52.57(8.94%)
To recent high   -0.8%
To recent low   27%
Market Cap   $29.124b

American Airlines Group, Inc. is a holding company, which engages in the operation of a network carrier through its principal wholly-owned mainline operating subsidiary, American. The firm offers air transportation for passengers and cargo. It operates through the following geographical segments: Department of Transportation Domestic; Department of Transportation Latin America; Department of Transportation Atlantic; and Department of Transportation Pacific. The company was founded on December 9, 2013 and is headquartered in Fort Worth, TX.

$. AAL price fluctuates within 3.79% (three month std-dev: 1.62%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 50 Average positive next day return: 1.58%(38%) Average negative next day return: -2.25%(62%) Sample size 50 Average positive next three day return: 4.75%(40%) Average negative next three day return: -3.83%(60%) Sample size 50 Average positive next weekly return: 6.39%(36%) Average negative next weekly return: -4.04%(64%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_16_2018	48.63	52.57	53.61	55.06	55.54	57.25	57.27(-0.84%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.1	112	240	95	162	5.28	72%	0.35	67.8	1.62%	0	2.4	74	INF
2	Jan_12_2018	48.46	52.17	52.99	53.91	54.12	55.86	57.75(3.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.3	117	240	115	123	7.51	72%	0.33	59	1.6%	0	3.3	75	INF
3	Jan_11_2018	48.3	51.74	52.35	52.76	52.83	53.83	55.73(4.91%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.5	76	140	79	68	11.34	70%	0.27	58.7	1.54%	0	3.4	73	INF
4	Jan_10_2018	48.17	51.43	51.92	52.02	52.12	52.39	53.12(3.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	30	40	31	26	7.66	70%	0.19	60.7	1.42%	0	1.9	67	INF
5	Jan_9_2018	48.08	51.3	51.81	51.73	51.99	51.82	51.44(-0.1%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-3	-10	-6	8	3.43	67%	0.12	60	1.49%	0	0.2	58	INF

6	Jan_8_2018	48.02	51.25	51.86	51.91	51.98	51.86	51.49(-0.99%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-2	-10	-11	25	3.52	67%	0.15	76.2	1.5%	0	0.3	62	INF
7	Jan_5_2018	47.95	51.19	51.93	51.89	52.04	52.17	52(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	17	30	6	49	2.97	67%	0.15	78.2	1.5%	0	0.9	72	INF
8	Jan_4_2018	47.88	51.05	51.86	51.85	51.95	52.09	52.02(0.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	23	20	10	63	3.56	67%	0.08	79	1.5%	0	1.1	73	INF
9	Jan_3_2018	47.84	50.9	51.75	51.8	51.82	51.91	51.7(-1.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	17	10	1	66	5.07	72%	0.08	72.5	1.5%	0	0.8	67	INF
10	Jan_2_2018	47.8	50.78	51.68	51.9	51.83	51.81	52.34(1.85%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	20	-10	4	67	4.08	72%	0.1	76.3	1.66%	0	1.5	62	INF

11	Dec_29_2017	47.75	50.59	51.49	51.82	51.85	51.74	51.39(-0.82%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	10	-10	-8	62	2.7	70%	0.08	73.1	1.64%	0	0.7	59	INF
12	Dec_28_2017	47.71	50.51	51.33	51.97	51.93	51.84	51.82(0.11%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	15	-10	-3	68	1.85	70%	0.06	85.6	1.64%	0	1.2	64	INF
13	Dec_27_2017	47.68	50.35	51.11	51.87	51.98	51.97	51.76(-0.85%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	23	10	7	72	2.83	70%	0.04	85	1.65%	0	1.2	72	INF
14	Dec_26_2017	47.66	50.2	50.92	51.68	51.77	52.02	52.2(0.49%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	29	40	13	75	2.77	70%	0.02	86.5	1.65%	0	1.7	77	INF
15	Dec_22_2017	47.65	49.98	50.75	51.41	51.48	51.99	51.94(-0.38%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	40	70	27	80	2.43	70%	0.04	81.3	1.65%	0	1.6	70	INF

16	Dec_21_2017	47.63	49.78	50.58	51.11	51.18	51.52	52.14(1.68%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	49	50	36	86	7.13	72%	0.04	84	1.66%	0	2.1	76	INF
17	Dec_20_2017	47.61	49.57	50.38	50.6	50.76	50.98	51.28(0.93%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	29	40	18	62	5.17	72%	0.02	84.1	1.66%	0	1.7	58	INF
18	Dec_19_2017	47.6	49.4	50.15	50.23	50.48	50.84	50.81(-0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	27	60	19	50	3.02	69%	0.04	91.5	1.68%	0	1.4	63	INF
19	Dec_18_2017	47.58	49.22	49.96	50.04	50.18	50.53	50.86(0.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	22	60	15	43	3.24	69%	0.02	90.6	1.7%	0	1.6	63	INF
20	Dec_15_2017	47.57	49.02	49.8	50.01	50.05	50.11	50.43(1.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	19	10	8	50	9.07	69%	0.02	93.7	1.71%	0	1.3	66	INF

21	Dec_14_2017	47.56	48.86	49.61	50	50.1	49.82	49.59(0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	3	-30	-11	46	4.5	69%	0	101.3	1.7%	0	0.7	61	INF
22	Dec_13_2017	47.56	48.71	49.63	50.13	50.27	49.99	49.48(-0.75%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	10	-30	-8	65	3.04	69%	-0.02	102.5	1.72%	0	0.6	60	INF
23	Dec_12_2017	47.57	48.51	49.56	50.03	50.23	50.38	49.85(-1.62%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	23	30	6	72	2.8	69%	0	85.6	1.73%	0	1	63	INF
24	Dec_11_2017	47.57	48.29	49.44	49.84	49.88	50.55	50.67(0.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	41	100	26	84	2.84	72%	-0.02	70	1.71%	0	1.6	73	INF
25	Dec_8_2017	47.58	48.02	49.16	49.57	49.52	50.08	50.39(0.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	47	80	36	81	3.82	72%		60.2	1.82%	0	1.5	74	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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