Trading Signals: AAL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ AAL: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Sun. Jan. 7, 2018

Trading Signals: AAL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(American Airlines Group Inc)
AAL latest price $52.0042 (-0.04%) ($51.7869 - $52.1906) on Sun. Jan. 7, 2018.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.5% (three month average)
RSI   72
Latest Price   $52.0042(-0.04%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AAL advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AAL advances 1.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AAL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
(0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)
Factors Impacting AAL price   AAL will decline at least -0.75% in a week (0% probabilities).
(0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.75% (StdDev 1.5%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $51.89(0.22%)
10 Day Moving Average   $51.93(0.14%)
20 Day Moving Average   $51.19(1.59%)
To recent high   -0.6%
To recent low   15.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

American Airlines Group, Inc. is a holding company, which engages in the operation of a network carrier through its principal wholly-owned mainline operating subsidiary, American. The firm offers air transportation for passengers and cargo. It operates through the following geographical segments: Department of Transportation Domestic; Department of Transportation Latin America; Department of Transportation Atlantic; and Department of Transportation Pacific. The company was founded on December 9, 2013 and is headquartered in Fort Worth, TX.

$. AAL price fluctuates within 1.74% (three month std-dev: 1.5%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 8 Average positive next day return: 0.95%(25%) Average negative next day return: -1.03%(75%) Sample size 8 Average positive next three day return: 1.66%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -1.41%(50%) Sample size 8 Average positive next weekly return: 4.29%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.61%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20180207

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_5_2018	47.95	51.19	51.93	51.89	52.04	52.17	52(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	17	30	6	49	2.97	67%	0.15	78.2	1.5%	0	0.9	72	INF
2	Jan_4_2018	47.88	51.05	51.86	51.85	51.95	52.09	52.02(0.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	23	20	10	63	3.56	67%	0.08	79	1.5%	0	1.1	73	INF
3	Jan_3_2018	47.84	50.9	51.75	51.8	51.82	51.91	51.7(-1.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	17	10	1	66	5.07	72%	0.08	72.5	1.5%	0	0.8	67	INF
4	Jan_2_2018	47.8	50.78	51.68	51.9	51.83	51.81	52.34(1.85%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	20	-10	4	67	4.08	72%	0.1	76.3	1.66%	0	1.5	62	INF
5	Dec_29_2017	47.75	50.59	51.49	51.82	51.85	51.74	51.39(-0.82%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	10	-10	-8	62	2.7	70%	0.08	73.1	1.64%	0	0.7	59	INF

6	Dec_28_2017	47.71	50.51	51.33	51.97	51.93	51.84	51.82(0.11%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	15	-10	-3	68	1.85	70%	0.06	85.6	1.64%	0	1.2	64	INF
7	Dec_27_2017	47.68	50.35	51.11	51.87	51.98	51.97	51.76(-0.85%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	23	10	7	72	2.83	70%	0.04	85	1.65%	0	1.2	72	INF
8	Dec_26_2017	47.66	50.2	50.92	51.68	51.77	52.02	52.2(0.49%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	29	40	13	75	2.77	70%	0.02	86.5	1.65%	0	1.7	77	INF
9	Dec_22_2017	47.65	49.98	50.75	51.41	51.48	51.99	51.94(-0.38%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	40	70	27	80	2.43	70%	0.04	81.3	1.65%	0	1.6	70	INF
10	Dec_21_2017	47.63	49.78	50.58	51.11	51.18	51.52	52.14(1.68%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	49	50	36	86	7.13	72%	0.04	84	1.66%	0	2.1	76	INF

11	Dec_20_2017	47.61	49.57	50.38	50.6	50.76	50.98	51.28(0.93%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	29	40	18	62	5.17	72%	0.02	84.1	1.66%	0	1.7	58	INF
12	Dec_19_2017	47.6	49.4	50.15	50.23	50.48	50.84	50.81(-0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	27	60	19	50	3.02	69%	0.04	91.5	1.68%	0	1.4	63	INF
13	Dec_18_2017	47.58	49.22	49.96	50.04	50.18	50.53	50.86(0.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	22	60	15	43	3.24	69%	0.02	90.6	1.7%	0	1.6	63	INF
14	Dec_15_2017	47.57	49.02	49.8	50.01	50.05	50.11	50.43(1.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	19	10	8	50	9.07	69%	0.02	93.7	1.71%	0	1.3	66	INF
15	Dec_14_2017	47.56	48.86	49.61	50	50.1	49.82	49.59(0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	3	-30	-11	46	4.5	69%	0	101.3	1.7%	0	0.7	61	INF

16	Dec_13_2017	47.56	48.71	49.63	50.13	50.27	49.99	49.48(-0.75%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	10	-30	-8	65	3.04	69%	-0.02	102.5	1.72%	0	0.6	60	INF
17	Dec_12_2017	47.57	48.51	49.56	50.03	50.23	50.38	49.85(-1.62%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	23	30	6	72	2.8	69%	0	85.6	1.73%	0	1	63	INF
18	Dec_11_2017	47.57	48.29	49.44	49.84	49.88	50.55	50.67(0.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	41	100	26	84	2.84	72%	-0.02	70	1.71%	0	1.6	73	INF
19	Dec_8_2017	47.58	48.02	49.16	49.57	49.52	50.08	50.39(0.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	47	80	36	81	3.82	72%	-0.02	60.2	1.82%	0	1.5	74	INF
20	Dec_7_2017	47.59	47.76	48.91	49.17	49.28	49.22	50.26(2.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	25	-0	12	63	3.05	72%	-0.02	48.4	1.82%	0	1.6	70	INF

21	Dec_6_2017	47.6	47.52	48.68	49.09	49.1	48.96	49(0.28%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	7	-20	-12	62	2.84	70%	-0.08	45	1.81%	0	1	68	INF
22	Dec_5_2017	47.64	47.36	48.59	49.02	49.27	49.35	48.86(-0.92%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	24	30	4	85	3.59	66%	-0.08	43.2	1.81%	0	1	74	INF
23	Dec_4_2017	47.68	47.25	48.42	48.97	49.26	49.25	49.32(1.9%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	36	20	14	100	7.11	66%	-0.08	44.9	1.85%	0	1.5	78	INF
24	Dec_1_2017	47.72	47.12	48.18	48.67	48.9	49.19	48.4(-2.95%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	26	60	3	96	6.23	65%	-0.08	41.2	1.85%	0	1	74	INF
25	Nov_30_2017	47.76	47.02	48.05	48.58	48.68	49.28	49.87(2.52%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	56	90	33	123	6.02	69%		37	1.8%	0	2.2	90	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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