Trading Signals: AAL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Dec. 19, 2017

Trading Signals: AAL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(American Airlines Group Inc)
AAL latest price $50.8090 (-0.1%) ($50.6510 - $51.1745) on Tue. Dec. 19, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.68% (three month average)
RSI   63
Latest Price   $50.8090(-0.1%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AAL advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AAL advances 1.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AAL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
JETS(83%)    PEJ(63%)    IWN(56%)    XLI(56%)    XAR(55%)
Factors Impacting AAL price   AAL will decline at least -0.84% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-16%)    UUP(-13%)    VIXM(-11%)    IGOV(-9%)    SHY(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.84% (StdDev 1.68%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $50.23(1.15%)
10 Day Moving Average   $50.15(1.31%)
20 Day Moving Average   $49.4(2.85%)
To recent high   -2.8%
To recent low   16.2%
Market Cap   $25.839b

American Airlines Group, Inc. is a holding company, which engages in the operation of a network carrier through its principal wholly-owned mainline operating subsidiary, American. The firm offers air transportation for passengers and cargo. It operates through the following geographical segments: Department of Transportation Domestic; Department of Transportation Latin America; Department of Transportation Atlantic; and Department of Transportation Pacific. The company was founded on December 9, 2013 and is headquartered in Fort Worth, TX.

$. AAL price fluctuates within 2% (three month std-dev: 1.68%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 47 Average positive next day return: 0.41%(53%) Average negative next day return: -0.77%(47%) Sample size 47 Average positive next three day return: 1.02%(47%) Average negative next three day return: -1.38%(53%) Sample size 47 Average positive next weekly return: 1.05%(49%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.96%(51%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20180119

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_19_2017	47.6	49.4	50.15	50.23	50.48	50.84	50.81(-0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	27	60	19	50	3.02	69%	0.04	91.5	1.68%	0	1.4	63	0
2	Dec_18_2017	47.58	49.22	49.96	50.04	50.18	50.53	50.86(0.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	22	60	15	43	3.24	69%	0.02	90.6	1.7%	0	1.6	63	0
3	Dec_15_2017	47.57	49.02	49.8	50.01	50.05	50.11	50.43(1.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	19	10	8	50	9.07	69%	0.02	93.7	1.71%	0	1.3	66	0
4	Dec_14_2017	47.56	48.86	49.61	50	50.1	49.82	49.59(0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	3	-30	-11	46	4.5	69%	0	101.3	1.7%	0	0.7	61	0
5	Dec_13_2017	47.56	48.71	49.63	50.13	50.27	49.99	49.48(-0.75%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	10	-30	-8	65	3.04	69%	-0.02	102.5	1.72%	0	0.6	60	0

6	Dec_12_2017	47.57	48.51	49.56	50.03	50.23	50.38	49.85(-1.62%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	23	30	6	72	2.8	69%	0	85.6	1.73%	0	1	63	0
7	Dec_11_2017	47.57	48.29	49.44	49.84	49.88	50.55	50.67(0.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	41	100	26	84	2.84	72%	-0.02	70	1.71%	0	1.6	73	0
8	Dec_8_2017	47.58	48.02	49.16	49.57	49.52	50.08	50.39(0.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	47	80	36	81	3.82	72%	-0.02	60.2	1.82%	0	1.5	74	0
9	Dec_7_2017	47.59	47.76	48.91	49.17	49.28	49.22	50.26(2.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	25	-0	12	63	3.05	72%	-0.02	48.4	1.82%	0	1.6	70	0
10	Dec_6_2017	47.6	47.52	48.68	49.09	49.1	48.96	49(0.28%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	7	-20	-12	62	2.84	70%	-0.08	45	1.81%	0	1	68	0

11	Dec_5_2017	47.64	47.36	48.59	49.02	49.27	49.35	48.86(-0.92%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	24	30	4	85	3.59	66%	-0.08	43.2	1.81%	0	1	74	0
12	Dec_4_2017	47.68	47.25	48.42	48.97	49.26	49.25	49.32(1.9%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	36	20	14	100	7.11	66%	-0.08	44.9	1.85%	0	1.5	78	0
13	Dec_1_2017	47.72	47.12	48.18	48.67	48.9	49.19	48.4(-2.95%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	26	60	3	96	6.23	65%	-0.08	41.2	1.85%	0	1	74	0
14	Nov_30_2017	47.76	47.02	48.05	48.58	48.68	49.28	49.87(2.52%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	56	90	33	123	6.02	69%	-0.08	37	1.8%	0	2.2	90	0
15	Nov_29_2017	47.8	46.87	47.72	48.22	48.29	48.61	48.65(0.06%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	45	50	22	114	8.15	67%	-0.04	21.3	1.78%	0	1.6	76	0

16	Nov_28_2017	47.82	46.74	47.39	48.1	48.04	48.08	48.62(1.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	35	0	12	104	3.86	67%	-0.06	-1.8	1.79%	0	1.8	75	0
17	Nov_27_2017	47.85	46.63	47.05	47.8	47.9	47.97	47.83(-0.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	27	20	8	82	2.63	67%	-0.08	-28.4	1.78%	0	1.3	57	0
18	Nov_24_2017	47.89	46.57	46.8	47.6	47.65	48.01	47.96(-0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	26	60	13	64	1.35	68%	-0.13	-56.9	1.9%	0	1.5	58	0
19	Nov_22_2017	47.95	46.55	46.52	47.43	47.38	47.84	48.06(0.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	32	60	25	52	2.33	64%	0	-58.6	1.95%	0	1.3	60	0
20	Nov_21_2017	47.95	46.63	46.27	47.13	47.11	47.29	48.05(2.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	31	30	29	35	2.8	64%	-0.02	-55.3	1.95%	0	0.9	54	0

21	Nov_20_2017	47.96	46.76	46.03	46.57	46.66	46.91	47.11(0.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	13	40	15	6	2.44	62%	-0.06	-60.3	1.94%	0	0.2	57	0
22	Nov_17_2017	47.99	46.9	45.98	46.19	46.19	46.94	46.81(-0.61%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	21	110	28	-1	2.32	57%	-0.04	-61.8	1.94%	0	-0	51	0
23	Nov_16_2017	48.01	47.09	45.96	45.88	45.73	46.41	47.1(1.04%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	27	90	39	-9	4.46	57%	-0.02	-63.6	2.04%	0	0	50	0
24	Nov_15_2017	48.02	47.26	45.89	45.48	45.29	45.44	46.61(3.01%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	2	10	16	-39	5.22	57%	-0.02	-66.5	2.03%	0	-0.3	39	0
25	Nov_14_2017	48.03	47.48	45.93	45.3	45.13	45.05	45.25(0.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-24	-20	-7	-74	1.83	54%		-66.9	2%	0	-1	18	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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