Trading Signals: AAL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Dec. 4, 2017

Trading Signals: AAL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(American Airlines Group Inc)
AAL latest price $49.3175 (1.9%) ($49.0410 - $50.8386) on Mon. Dec. 4, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.85% (three month average)
RSI   78
Latest Price   $49.3175(1.9%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AAL advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AAL advances 2.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Rotation from growth to value for large cap. Rotation from growth to value for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AAL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
JETS(83%)    PEJ(63%)    IWN(56%)    XLI(56%)    XAR(55%)
Factors Impacting AAL price   AAL will decline at least -0.925% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-16%)    UUP(-13%)    VIXM(-11%)    IGOV(-9%)    SHY(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.925% (StdDev 1.85%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $48.97(0.71%)
10 Day Moving Average   $48.42(1.85%)
20 Day Moving Average   $47.25(4.38%)
To recent high   -5.6%
To recent low   14.8%
Market Cap   $25.081b

American Airlines Group, Inc. is a holding company, which engages in the operation of a network carrier through its principal wholly-owned mainline operating subsidiary, American. The firm offers air transportation for passengers and cargo. It operates through the following geographical segments: Department of Transportation Domestic; Department of Transportation Latin America; Department of Transportation Atlantic; and Department of Transportation Pacific. The company was founded on December 9, 2013 and is headquartered in Fort Worth, TX.

$. AAL price fluctuates within 3.01% (three month std-dev: 1.85%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 9 Average positive next day return: 0.63%(33%) Average negative next day return: -0.69%(67%) Sample size 9 Average positive next three day return: 2.77%(22%) Average negative next three day return: -1.31%(78%) Sample size 9 Average positive next weekly return: 1.4%(56%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.11%(44%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20180104

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_4_2017	47.68	47.25	48.42	48.97	49.26	49.25	49.32(1.9%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	36	20	14	100	7.11	66%	-0.08	44.9	1.85%	0	1.5	78	INF
2	Dec_1_2017	47.72	47.12	48.18	48.67	48.9	49.19	48.4(-2.95%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	26	60	3	96	6.23	65%	-0.08	41.2	1.85%	0	1	74	INF
3	Nov_30_2017	47.76	47.02	48.05	48.58	48.68	49.28	49.87(2.52%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	56	90	33	123	6.02	69%	-0.08	37	1.8%	0	2.2	90	INF
4	Nov_29_2017	47.8	46.87	47.72	48.22	48.29	48.61	48.65(0.06%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	45	50	22	114	8.15	67%	-0.04	21.3	1.78%	0	1.6	76	INF
5	Nov_28_2017	47.82	46.74	47.39	48.1	48.04	48.08	48.62(1.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	35	0	12	104	3.86	67%	-0.06	-1.8	1.79%	0	1.8	75	INF

6	Nov_27_2017	47.85	46.63	47.05	47.8	47.9	47.97	47.83(-0.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	27	20	8	82	2.63	67%	-0.08	-28.4	1.78%	0	1.3	57	INF
7	Nov_24_2017	47.89	46.57	46.8	47.6	47.65	48.01	47.96(-0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	26	60	13	64	1.35	68%	-0.13	-56.9	1.9%	0	1.5	58	INF
8	Nov_22_2017	47.95	46.55	46.52	47.43	47.38	47.84	48.06(0.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	32	60	25	52	2.33	64%	0	-58.6	1.95%	0	1.3	60	INF
9	Nov_21_2017	47.95	46.63	46.27	47.13	47.11	47.29	48.05(2.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	31	30	29	35	2.8	64%	-0.02	-55.3	1.95%	0	0.9	54	INF
10	Nov_20_2017	47.96	46.76	46.03	46.57	46.66	46.91	47.11(0.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	13	40	15	6	2.44	62%	-0.06	-60.3	1.94%	0	0.2	57	INF

11	Nov_17_2017	47.99	46.9	45.98	46.19	46.19	46.94	46.81(-0.61%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	21	110	28	-1	2.32	57%	-0.04	-61.8	1.94%	0	-0	51	INF
12	Nov_16_2017	48.01	47.09	45.96	45.88	45.73	46.41	47.1(1.04%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	27	90	39	-9	4.46	57%	-0.02	-63.6	2.04%	0	0	50	INF
13	Nov_15_2017	48.02	47.26	45.89	45.48	45.29	45.44	46.61(3.01%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	2	10	16	-39	5.22	57%	-0.02	-66.5	2.03%	0	-0.3	39	INF
14	Nov_14_2017	48.03	47.48	45.93	45.3	45.13	45.05	45.25(0.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-24	-20	-7	-74	1.83	54%	-0.06	-66.9	2%	0	-1	18	INF
15	Nov_13_2017	48.06	47.77	46.02	45.41	45.3	45.15	45.18(-0.17%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-35	-30	-13	-102	1.77	54%	-0.06	-66.7	2%	0	-1.1	15	INF

16	Nov_10_2017	48.09	48.09	46.17	45.74	45.61	45.2	45.26(0.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-43	-70	-19	-116	2.43	53%	-0.06	-59.6	2%	0	-1.2	24	INF
17	Nov_9_2017	48.12	48.42	46.33	46.04	46.03	45.45	45.11(-1.29%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-53	-90	-26	-133	3.56	53%	-0.04	-54.6	2.01%	0	-1.4	21	INF
18	Nov_8_2017	48.14	48.76	46.61	46.35	46.39	46.02	45.7(-0.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-54	-50	-25	-139	3.2	53%	-0.04	-49	2.01%	0	-1.3	26	INF
19	Nov_7_2017	48.16	49.08	47.05	46.64	46.67	46.6	45.79(-2.21%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-39	-10	-9	-130	3.76	53%	-0.06	-43	2.01%	0	-1.4	24	INF
20	Nov_6_2017	48.19	49.41	47.56	46.71	46.89	46.76	46.82(0.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-29	-10	3	-126	4.25	55%	-0.02	-40.5	2%	0	-1.2	27	INF

21	Nov_3_2017	48.2	49.58	47.89	46.66	46.77	46.74	46.77(0.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-40	0	-7	-140	4.04	55%	-0.04	-37.4	2%	0	-1.3	26	INF
22	Nov_2_2017	48.22	49.78	48.31	46.68	46.78	47.01	46.68(-1%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	0	-37	40	-2	-143	2.41	55%	-0.04	-31.3	2%	0	-1.5	24	INF
23	Nov_1_2017	48.24	49.96	48.72	46.93	46.9	46.8	47.15(2.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-50	-20	-17	-148	4.35	55%	-0.02	-23.3	2%	0	-1.5	25	INF
24	Oct_31_2017	48.25	50.11	49.13	47.56	47.56	46.55	46.14(-0.91%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-73	-150	-48	-147	4.6	53%	-0.06	-5.6	1.99%	0	-2.2	17	INF
25	Oct_30_2017	48.28	50.32	49.66	48.57	48.6	47.01	46.57(-0.65%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.2	-85	-230	-70	-131	5.4	53%		18.5	1.98%	0	-2.2	17	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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