Trading Signals: AAL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Dec. 1, 2017

Trading Signals: AAL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(American Airlines Group Inc)
AAL latest price $48.3989 (-2.95%) ($48.0927 - $49.7620) on Fri. Dec. 1, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.85% (three month average)
RSI   74
Latest Price   $48.3989(-2.95%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AAL advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AAL advances 2.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AAL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
JETS(83%)    PEJ(63%)    IWN(56%)    XLI(56%)    XAR(55%)
Factors Impacting AAL price   AAL will decline at least -0.925% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-16%)    UUP(-13%)    VIXM(-11%)    IGOV(-9%)    SHY(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.925% (StdDev 1.85%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $48.67(-0.56%)
10 Day Moving Average   $48.18(0.45%)
20 Day Moving Average   $47.12(2.71%)
To recent high   -7.4%
To recent low   12.6%
Market Cap   $24.614b

American Airlines Group, Inc. is a holding company, which engages in the operation of a network carrier through its principal wholly-owned mainline operating subsidiary, American. The firm offers air transportation for passengers and cargo. It operates through the following geographical segments: Department of Transportation Domestic; Department of Transportation Latin America; Department of Transportation Atlantic; and Department of Transportation Pacific. The company was founded on December 9, 2013 and is headquartered in Fort Worth, TX.

$. AAL price fluctuates within 2.84% (three month std-dev: 1.85%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 6 Average positive next day return: 0.49%(50%) Average negative next day return: -1.33%(50%) Sample size 6 Average positive next three day return: 1.81%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -1.98%(50%) Sample size 6 Average positive next weekly return: 1.43%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.84%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20180101

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_1_2017	47.72	47.12	48.18	48.67	48.9	49.19	48.4(-2.95%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	26	60	3	96	6.23	65%	-0.08	41.2	1.85%	0	1	74	0
2	Nov_30_2017	47.76	47.02	48.05	48.58	48.68	49.28	49.87(2.52%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	56	90	33	123	6.02	69%	-0.08	37	1.8%	0	2.2	90	0
3	Nov_29_2017	47.8	46.87	47.72	48.22	48.29	48.61	48.65(0.06%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	45	50	22	114	8.15	67%	-0.04	21.3	1.78%	0	1.6	76	0
4	Nov_28_2017	47.82	46.74	47.39	48.1	48.04	48.08	48.62(1.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	35	0	12	104	3.86	67%	-0.06	-1.8	1.79%	0	1.8	75	0
5	Nov_27_2017	47.85	46.63	47.05	47.8	47.9	47.97	47.83(-0.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	27	20	8	82	2.63	67%	-0.08	-28.4	1.78%	0	1.3	57	0

6	Nov_24_2017	47.89	46.57	46.8	47.6	47.65	48.01	47.96(-0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	26	60	13	64	1.35	68%	-0.13	-56.9	1.9%	0	1.5	58	0
7	Nov_22_2017	47.95	46.55	46.52	47.43	47.38	47.84	48.06(0.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	32	60	25	52	2.33	64%	0	-58.6	1.95%	0	1.3	60	0
8	Nov_21_2017	47.95	46.63	46.27	47.13	47.11	47.29	48.05(2.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	31	30	29	35	2.8	64%	-0.02	-55.3	1.95%	0	0.9	54	0
9	Nov_20_2017	47.96	46.76	46.03	46.57	46.66	46.91	47.11(0.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	13	40	15	6	2.44	62%	-0.06	-60.3	1.94%	0	0.2	57	0
10	Nov_17_2017	47.99	46.9	45.98	46.19	46.19	46.94	46.81(-0.61%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	21	110	28	-1	2.32	57%	-0.04	-61.8	1.94%	0	-0	51	0

11	Nov_16_2017	48.01	47.09	45.96	45.88	45.73	46.41	47.1(1.04%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	27	90	39	-9	4.46	57%	-0.02	-63.6	2.04%	0	0	50	0
12	Nov_15_2017	48.02	47.26	45.89	45.48	45.29	45.44	46.61(3.01%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	2	10	16	-39	5.22	57%	-0.02	-66.5	2.03%	0	-0.3	39	0
13	Nov_14_2017	48.03	47.48	45.93	45.3	45.13	45.05	45.25(0.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-24	-20	-7	-74	1.83	54%	-0.06	-66.9	2%	0	-1	18	0
14	Nov_13_2017	48.06	47.77	46.02	45.41	45.3	45.15	45.18(-0.17%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-35	-30	-13	-102	1.77	54%	-0.06	-66.7	2%	0	-1.1	15	0
15	Nov_10_2017	48.09	48.09	46.17	45.74	45.61	45.2	45.26(0.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-43	-70	-19	-116	2.43	53%	-0.06	-59.6	2%	0	-1.2	24	0

16	Nov_9_2017	48.12	48.42	46.33	46.04	46.03	45.45	45.11(-1.29%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-53	-90	-26	-133	3.56	53%	-0.04	-54.6	2.01%	0	-1.4	21	0
17	Nov_8_2017	48.14	48.76	46.61	46.35	46.39	46.02	45.7(-0.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-54	-50	-25	-139	3.2	53%	-0.04	-49	2.01%	0	-1.3	26	0
18	Nov_7_2017	48.16	49.08	47.05	46.64	46.67	46.6	45.79(-2.21%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-39	-10	-9	-130	3.76	53%	-0.06	-43	2.01%	0	-1.4	24	0
19	Nov_6_2017	48.19	49.41	47.56	46.71	46.89	46.76	46.82(0.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-29	-10	3	-126	4.25	55%	-0.02	-40.5	2%	0	-1.2	27	0
20	Nov_3_2017	48.2	49.58	47.89	46.66	46.77	46.74	46.77(0.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-40	0	-7	-140	4.04	55%	-0.04	-37.4	2%	0	-1.3	26	0

21	Nov_2_2017	48.22	49.78	48.31	46.68	46.78	47.01	46.68(-1%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	0	-37	40	-2	-143	2.41	55%	-0.04	-31.3	2%	0	-1.5	24	0
22	Nov_1_2017	48.24	49.96	48.72	46.93	46.9	46.8	47.15(2.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-50	-20	-17	-148	4.35	55%	-0.02	-23.3	2%	0	-1.5	25	0
23	Oct_31_2017	48.25	50.11	49.13	47.56	47.56	46.55	46.14(-0.91%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-73	-150	-48	-147	4.6	53%	-0.06	-5.6	1.99%	0	-2.2	17	0
24	Oct_30_2017	48.28	50.32	49.66	48.57	48.6	47.01	46.57(-0.65%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.2	-85	-230	-70	-131	5.4	53%	-0.04	18.5	1.98%	0	-2.2	17	0
25	Oct_27_2017	48.3	50.39	50.18	49.3	49.59	48.58	46.87(-2.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-78	-120	-70	-100	8.59	51%		31.7	1.99%	0	-2.1	40	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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