Trading Signals: AAL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ AAL: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Nov. 21, 2017

Trading Signals: AAL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(American Airlines Group Inc)
AAL latest price $48.0532 (2.01%) ($46.9568 - $48.3199) on Tue. Nov. 21, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.95% (three month average)
RSI   54
Latest Price   $48.0532(2.01%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AAL advances 1.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AAL advances 0.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AAL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
JETS(83%)    PEJ(63%)    IWN(56%)    XLI(56%)    XAR(55%)
Factors Impacting AAL price   AAL will decline at least -0.975% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-16%)    UUP(-12%)    VIXM(-11%)    IGOV(-9%)    SHY(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.975% (StdDev 1.95%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $47.13(1.96%)
10 Day Moving Average   $46.27(3.85%)
20 Day Moving Average   $46.63(3.05%)
To recent high   -8.1%
To recent low   13.6%
Market Cap   $24.438b

American Airlines Group, Inc. is a holding company, which engages in the operation of a network carrier through its principal wholly-owned mainline operating subsidiary, American. The firm offers air transportation for passengers and cargo. It operates through the following geographical segments: Department of Transportation Domestic; Department of Transportation Latin America; Department of Transportation Atlantic; and Department of Transportation Pacific. The company was founded on December 9, 2013 and is headquartered in Fort Worth, TX.

$. AAL price fluctuates within 3.22% (three month std-dev: 1.95%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0.54%(50%) Average negative next day return: -0.73%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 0.49%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -0.35%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.24%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20171221

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_21_2017	47.95	46.63	46.27	47.13	47.11	47.29	48.05(2.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	31	30	29	35	2.8	64%	-0.02	-55.3	1.95%	0	0.9	54	INF
2	Nov_20_2017	47.96	46.76	46.03	46.57	46.66	46.91	47.11(0.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	13	40	15	6	2.44	62%	-0.06	-60.3	1.94%	0	0.2	57	INF
3	Nov_17_2017	47.99	46.9	45.98	46.19	46.19	46.94	46.81(-0.61%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	21	110	28	-1	2.32	57%	-0.04	-61.8	1.94%	0	-0	51	INF
4	Nov_16_2017	48.01	47.09	45.96	45.88	45.73	46.41	47.1(1.04%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	27	90	39	-9	4.46	57%	-0.02	-63.6	2.04%	0	0	50	INF
5	Nov_15_2017	48.02	47.26	45.89	45.48	45.29	45.44	46.61(3.01%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	2	10	16	-39	5.22	57%	-0.02	-66.5	2.03%	0	-0.3	39	INF

6	Nov_14_2017	48.03	47.48	45.93	45.3	45.13	45.05	45.25(0.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-24	-20	-7	-74	1.83	54%	-0.06	-66.9	2%	0	-1	18	INF
7	Nov_13_2017	48.06	47.77	46.02	45.41	45.3	45.15	45.18(-0.17%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-35	-30	-13	-102	1.77	54%	-0.06	-66.7	2%	0	-1.1	15	INF
8	Nov_10_2017	48.09	48.09	46.17	45.74	45.61	45.2	45.26(0.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-43	-70	-19	-116	2.43	53%	-0.06	-59.6	2%	0	-1.2	24	INF
9	Nov_9_2017	48.12	48.42	46.33	46.04	46.03	45.45	45.11(-1.29%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-53	-90	-26	-133	3.56	53%	-0.04	-54.6	2.01%	0	-1.4	21	INF
10	Nov_8_2017	48.14	48.76	46.61	46.35	46.39	46.02	45.7(-0.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-54	-50	-25	-139	3.2	53%	-0.04	-49	2.01%	0	-1.3	26	INF

11	Nov_7_2017	48.16	49.08	47.05	46.64	46.67	46.6	45.79(-2.21%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-39	-10	-9	-130	3.76	53%	-0.06	-43	2.01%	0	-1.4	24	INF
12	Nov_6_2017	48.19	49.41	47.56	46.71	46.89	46.76	46.82(0.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-29	-10	3	-126	4.25	55%	-0.02	-40.5	2%	0	-1.2	27	INF
13	Nov_3_2017	48.2	49.58	47.89	46.66	46.77	46.74	46.77(0.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-40	0	-7	-140	4.04	55%	-0.04	-37.4	2%	0	-1.3	26	INF
14	Nov_2_2017	48.22	49.78	48.31	46.68	46.78	47.01	46.68(-1%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	0	-37	40	-2	-143	2.41	55%	-0.04	-31.3	2%	0	-1.5	24	INF
15	Nov_1_2017	48.24	49.96	48.72	46.93	46.9	46.8	47.15(2.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-50	-20	-17	-148	4.35	55%	-0.02	-23.3	2%	0	-1.5	25	INF

16	Oct_31_2017	48.25	50.11	49.13	47.56	47.56	46.55	46.14(-0.91%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-73	-150	-48	-147	4.6	53%	-0.06	-5.6	1.99%	0	-2.2	17	INF
17	Oct_30_2017	48.28	50.32	49.66	48.57	48.6	47.01	46.57(-0.65%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.2	-85	-230	-70	-131	5.4	53%	-0.04	18.5	1.98%	0	-2.2	17	INF
18	Oct_27_2017	48.3	50.39	50.18	49.3	49.59	48.58	46.87(-2.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-78	-120	-70	-100	8.59	51%	-0.08	31.7	1.99%	0	-2.1	40	INF
19	Oct_26_2017	48.34	50.42	50.71	50.16	50.43	50.18	47.91(-4.72%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-33	-20	-27	-49	12.08	53%	-0.04	47.7	1.98%	0	-1.5	40	INF
20	Oct_25_2017	48.36	50.4	51.13	50.74	50.74	50.61	50.28(-1.79%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-7	-20	-5	-11	4.66	59%	0.02	56.8	1.9%	0	-0.1	55	INF

21	Oct_24_2017	48.35	50.22	51.31	50.93	50.7	50.68	51.2(1.9%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	-5	-20	-9	6	3.65	59%	0.04	60.1	1.89%	0	0.5	59	INF
22	Oct_23_2017	48.33	50.01	51.41	50.96	50.88	50.88	50.24(-1.83%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	2	-0	-5	22	3.46	57%	0.04	65.8	1.88%	0	0.1	56	INF
23	Oct_20_2017	48.31	49.86	51.4	51.21	51.11	50.73	51.18(0.82%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	5	-60	-9	47	3.64	57%	0.06	71.7	1.87%	0	0.6	76	INF
24	Oct_19_2017	48.28	49.63	51.35	51.36	51.24	50.88	50.77(-1%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-3	-60	-27	68	7.57	57%	0.06	72.9	1.87%	0	0.5	76	INF
25	Oct_18_2017	48.25	49.39	51.28	51.59	51.61	51.49	51.28(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	20	-20	-8	105	2.54	57%		71.5	1.87%	0	0.8	80	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.