Trading Signals: AAL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Oct. 20, 2017

Trading Signals: AAL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(American Airlines Group Inc)
AAL latest price $51.1809 (0.82%) ($50.7867 - $51.4864) on Fri. Oct. 20, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.87% (three month average)
RSI   76
Latest Price   $51.1809(0.82%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AAL declines -0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AAL advances 1.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AAL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
JETS(83%)    PEJ(63%)    IWN(56%)    XLI(56%)    XAR(55%)
Factors Impacting AAL price   AAL will decline at least -0.935% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-16%)    UUP(-13%)    VIXM(-11%)    IGOV(-9%)    SHY(-5%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.935% (StdDev 1.87%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $51.21(-0.06%)
10 Day Moving Average   $51.4(-0.43%)
20 Day Moving Average   $49.86(2.65%)
To recent high   -2.1%
To recent low   21%
Market Cap   $26.028b

American Airlines Group, Inc. is a holding company, which engages in the operation of a network carrier through its principal wholly-owned mainline operating subsidiary, American. The firm offers air transportation for passengers and cargo. It operates through the following geographical segments: Department of Transportation Domestic; Department of Transportation Latin America; Department of Transportation Atlantic; and Department of Transportation Pacific. The company was founded on December 9, 2013 and is headquartered in Fort Worth, TX.

$. AAL price fluctuates within 4.31% (three month std-dev: 1.87%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 7 Average positive next day return: 1.64%(57%) Average negative next day return: -1.22%(43%) Sample size 7 Average positive next three day return: 1.25%(57%) Average negative next three day return: -3.41%(43%) Sample size 7 Average positive next weekly return: 0.56%(43%) Average negative next weekly return: -5.02%(57%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20171120

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_20_2017	48.31	49.86	51.4	51.21	51.11	50.73	51.18(0.82%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	5	-60	-9	47	3.64	57%	0.06	71.7	1.87%	0	0.6	76	0
2	Oct_19_2017	48.28	49.63	51.35	51.36	51.24	50.88	50.77(-1%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-3	-60	-27	68	7.57	57%	0.06	72.9	1.87%	0	0.5	76	0
3	Oct_18_2017	48.25	49.39	51.28	51.59	51.61	51.49	51.28(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	20	-20	-8	105	2.54	57%	0.08	71.5	1.87%	0	0.8	80	0
4	Oct_17_2017	48.21	49.07	51.17	51.75	51.74	51.6	51.32(-0.38%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	26	-20	-10	135	3.65	57%	0.06	65.8	1.88%	0	0.9	82	0
5	Oct_16_2017	48.18	48.71	51.02	51.94	51.89	51.73	51.52(-0.82%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	44	-20	2	169	3.26	57%	0.08	63.9	1.88%	0	1	76	0

6	Oct_13_2017	48.14	48.37	50.61	51.61	51.95	51.87	51.94(0.1%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	47	10	8	164	2.96	57%	0.1	60.5	1.88%	0	1.3	77	0
7	Oct_12_2017	48.09	48.03	50.11	51.33	51.53	52.06	51.89(-0.34%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	53	80	16	164	2.94	61%	0.12	64.6	1.88%	0	1.5	79	0
8	Oct_11_2017	48.03	47.7	49.61	50.92	51.14	52.02	52.07(-0.38%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	75	130	44	167	5.4	59%	0.13	69.2	1.95%	0	1.8	82	0
9	Oct_10_2017	47.97	47.4	49.03	50.5	50.56	51	52.27(4.8%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	66	60	35	160	9.39	59%	0.15	76.2	1.97%	0	2.2	85	0
10	Oct_9_2017	47.9	47.04	48.47	50.01	50.14	50.26	49.87(-1.36%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	59	20	23	168	3.69	54%	0.13	86	1.87%	0	1.5	84	0

11	Oct_6_2017	47.84	46.8	48.18	49.44	49.69	50.13	50.56(1.46%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	67	80	33	169	4.24	56%	0.13	78	1.88%	0	1.9	79	0
12	Oct_5_2017	47.78	46.42	47.75	48.69	48.84	50.02	49.83(-0.34%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	73	180	46	155	4.21	56%	0.13	68.5	1.88%	0	1.8	71	0
13	Oct_4_2017	47.72	46.08	47.32	48.09	48.06	49.25	50(0.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	91	170	73	145	7.45	56%	0.08	62.4	1.89%	0	2.2	71	0
14	Oct_3_2017	47.68	45.76	46.79	47.32	47.22	47.65	49.78(5.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	54	60	40	94	10.26	56%	0.08	55.4	1.91%	0	2.5	64	0
15	Oct_2_2017	47.64	45.42	46.18	47.32	46.77	46.87	47.04(0.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	14	20	2	51	4.91	50%	0.04	51.2	1.76%	0	1.2	58	0

16	Sep_29_2017	47.62	45.3	45.94	46.74	46.8	46.78	46.81(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	17	0	6	50	4.9	50%	0.02	53.7	1.77%	0	1.2	59	0
17	Sep_28_2017	47.61	45.16	45.79	46.65	46.77	46.67	46.81(1.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	19	-10	4	63	8.37	50%	0.02	60.6	1.77%	0	1.3	69	0
18	Sep_27_2017	47.6	45	45.79	46.42	46.63	46.82	46.17(-1.53%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	27	40	12	73	6.18	50%	-0.02	58.2	1.78%	0	1	66	0
19	Sep_26_2017	47.61	44.88	45.65	46.13	46.27	46.87	46.89(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	52	100	39	92	4.71	50%	0.06	49.6	1.77%	0	1.6	66	0
20	Sep_25_2017	47.58	44.74	45.51	45.5	45.62	46.44	47.01(1.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	54	130	44	84	6.36	50%	0.08	35.6	1.77%	0	2	68	0

21	Sep_22_2017	47.54	44.61	45.31	45.03	45	45.68	46.38(1.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	43	100	35	66	5.34	50%	0.06	25.7	1.76%	0	1.8	57	0
22	Sep_21_2017	47.51	44.41	44.98	44.82	44.72	44.8	45.62(1.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	22	10	15	43	5.86	50%	0.06	6.1	1.76%	0	1.2	57	0
23	Sep_20_2017	47.48	44.41	44.75	44.8	44.67	44.32	44.76(2.34%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	-11	-60	-23	25	4.71	44%	0.02	-14.2	1.74%	0	0.5	56	0
24	Sep_19_2017	47.47	44.29	44.65	45.12	45.02	44.63	43.74(-2.05%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.4	-12	-70	-28	36	6.88	41%	0.06	-19	1.76%	0	-0.5	51	0
25	Sep_18_2017	47.44	44.35	44.63	45.49	45.49	45.02	44.66(-1.5%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	2	-70	-15	51	4.6	43%		-22.7	1.76%	0	0.3	52	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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