Trading Signals: AAL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ AAL: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Oct. 2, 2017

Trading Signals: AAL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(American Airlines Group Inc)
AAL latest price $47.0415 (0.51%) ($46.5389 - $47.2386) on Mon. Oct. 2, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.76% (three month average)
RSI   58
Latest Price   $47.0415(0.51%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Weekly Trend   AAL advances 1.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AAL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
JETS(83%)    PEJ(63%)    IWN(56%)    XLI(56%)    XAR(55%)
Factors Impacting AAL price   AAL will decline at least -0.88% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-16%)    UUP(-13%)    VIXM(-11%)    IGOV(-9%)    SHY(-5%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.88% (StdDev 1.76%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $46.74(0.65%)
10 Day Moving Average   $46.18(1.87%)
20 Day Moving Average   $45.42(3.57%)
To recent high   -11.8%
To recent low   11.2%
Market Cap   $23.923b

American Airlines Group, Inc. is a holding company, which engages in the operation of a network carrier through its principal wholly-owned mainline operating subsidiary, American. The firm offers air transportation for passengers and cargo. It operates through the following geographical segments: Department of Transportation Domestic; Department of Transportation Latin America; Department of Transportation Atlantic; and Department of Transportation Pacific. The company was founded on December 9, 2013 and is headquartered in Fort Worth, TX.

$. AAL price fluctuates within 2.95% (three month std-dev: 1.76%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 29 Average positive next day return: 0.78%(31%) Average negative next day return: -0.69%(69%) Sample size 29 Average positive next three day return: 1.43%(55%) Average negative next three day return: -1.62%(45%) Sample size 29 Average positive next weekly return: 1.62%(59%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.39%(41%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20171102

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_2_2017	47.64	45.42	46.18		46.77	46.87	47.04(0.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	14	20	2	51	4.91	50%	0.04	51.2	1.76%	0	1.2	58	0
2	Sep_29_2017	47.62	45.3	45.94	46.74	46.8	46.78	46.81(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	17	0	6	50	4.9	50%	0.02	53.7	1.77%	0	1.2	59	0
3	Sep_28_2017	47.61	45.16	45.79	46.65	46.77	46.67	46.81(1.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	19	-10	4	63	8.37	50%	0.02	60.6	1.77%	0	1.3	69	0
4	Sep_27_2017	47.6	45	45.79	46.42	46.63	46.82	46.17(-1.53%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	27	40	12	73	6.18	50%	-0.02	58.2	1.78%	0	1	66	0
5	Sep_26_2017	47.61	44.88	45.65	46.13	46.27	46.87	46.89(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	52	100	39	92	4.71	50%	0.06	49.6	1.77%	0	1.6	66	0

6	Sep_25_2017	47.58	44.74	45.51	45.5	45.62	46.44	47.01(1.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	54	130	44	84	6.36	50%	0.08	35.6	1.77%	0	2	68	0
7	Sep_22_2017	47.54	44.61	45.31	45.03	45	45.68	46.38(1.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	43	100	35	66	5.34	50%	0.06	25.7	1.76%	0	1.8	57	0
8	Sep_21_2017	47.51	44.41	44.98	44.82	44.72	44.8	45.62(1.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	22	10	15	43	5.86	50%	0.06	6.1	1.76%	0	1.2	57	0
9	Sep_20_2017	47.48	44.41	44.75	44.8	44.67	44.32	44.76(2.34%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	-11	-60	-23	25	4.71	44%	0.02	-14.2	1.74%	0	0.5	56	0
10	Sep_19_2017	47.47	44.29	44.65	45.12	45.02	44.63	43.74(-2.05%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.4	-12	-70	-28	36	6.88	41%	0.06	-19	1.76%	0	-0.5	51	0

11	Sep_18_2017	47.44	44.35	44.65	45.49	45.49	45.02	44.66(-1.5%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	2	-70	-15	51	4.6	43%	0.06	-22.7	1.76%	0	0.3	52	0
12	Sep_15_2017	47.41	44.36	44.63	45.6	45.58	45.41	45.34(-0.41%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	15	-30	-1	63	14.85	43%	0.04	-32	1.75%	0	1	54	0
13	Sep_14_2017	47.39	44.35	44.5	45.13	45.42	45.96	45.52(-1.72%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	40	100	30	69	5.36	43%	0	-55.7	1.75%	0	1.2	66	0
14	Sep_13_2017	47.39	44.43	44.31	44.66	44.74	45.75	46.32(1.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	53	160	50	61	7.29	43%	0.02	-59.9	1.74%	0	1.5	63	0
15	Sep_12_2017	47.38	44.48	44.05	44.13	44.07	44.88	45.62(0.94%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	51	120	56	35	6.33	43%	0	-68.7	1.73%	0	0.8	52	0

16	Sep_11_2017	47.38	44.58	43.89	43.67	43.48	43.73	45.2(5.18%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	12	30	18	-6	7.92	43%	0	-73.3	1.73%	0	0.4	50	0
17	Sep_8_2017	47.38	44.68	43.81	43.56	43.35	43.27	42.97(-0.55%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-15	-30	-11	-27	4.68	32%	-0.02	-76.1	1.62%	0	-1	41	0
18	Sep_7_2017	47.39	44.92	43.77	43.78	43.67	43.23	43.21(-1.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-19	-80	-12	-40	5.1	36%	0	-74.9	1.63%	0	-1	39	0
19	Sep_6_2017	47.39	45.18	43.79	43.88	43.82	43.43	43.67(0.89%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-38	-70	-26	-73	8.8	36%	0	-72.4	1.65%	0	-0.8	32	0
20	Sep_5_2017	47.39	45.44	43.89	43.93	44	44.12	43.29(-3.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-29	20	-9	-88	8.51	36%	0	-69.4	1.65%	0	-1.1	30	0

21	Sep_1_2017	47.39	45.76	44.07	44.13	44	44.22	44.66(1.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-16	20	11	-97	4.57	39%	0.04	-59.9	1.6%	0	-0.5	32	0
22	Aug_31_2017	47.37	46.01	44.08	44.12	44.03	43.88	44.09(0.95%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-19	-30	14	-119	3.8	39%	0.02	-57.7	1.6%	0	-0.8	32	0
23	Aug_30_2017	47.36	46.28	44.19	43.76	43.92	43.84	43.68(-0.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-43	-0	-4	-161	5.47	39%	0.02	-60	1.6%	0	-1.1	29	0
24	Aug_29_2017	47.35	46.58	44.56	43.69	43.69	44.18	43.92(-0.87%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-42	80	1	-170	5.2	39%	0.04	-61.6	1.61%	0	-1.1	28	0
25	Aug_28_2017	47.33	46.89	44.93	43.86	43.67	44	44.3(-0.66%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-28	40	18	-166	6.97	39%		-60.5	1.62%	0	-1.1	27	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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