Trading Signals: AAL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ AAL: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Sep. 29, 2017

Trading Signals: AAL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(American Airlines Group Inc)
AAL latest price $46.8050 (0%) ($46.5487 - $47.1598) on Fri. Sep. 29, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.77% (three month average)
RSI   59
Latest Price   $46.8050(0%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AAL advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AAL advances 1.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Growth stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AAL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
JETS(83%)    PEJ(63%)    IWN(56%)    XLI(56%)    XAR(55%)
Factors Impacting AAL price   AAL will decline at least -0.885% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-16%)    UUP(-13%)    VIXM(-11%)    IGOV(-9%)    SHY(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.885% (StdDev 1.77%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

5 Day Moving Average   $46.74(0.14%)
10 Day Moving Average   $45.94(1.88%)
20 Day Moving Average   $45.3(3.32%)
To recent high   -12.2%
To recent low   10.6%
Market Cap   $23.803b

American Airlines Group, Inc. is a holding company, which engages in the operation of a network carrier through its principal wholly-owned mainline operating subsidiary, American. The firm offers air transportation for passengers and cargo. It operates through the following geographical segments: Department of Transportation Domestic; Department of Transportation Latin America; Department of Transportation Atlantic; and Department of Transportation Pacific. The company was founded on December 9, 2013 and is headquartered in Fort Worth, TX.

$. AAL price fluctuates within 2.85% (three month std-dev: 1.77%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 30 Average positive next day return: 0.88%(53%) Average negative next day return: -1.08%(47%) Sample size 30 Average positive next three day return: 1.38%(57%) Average negative next three day return: -2.28%(43%) Sample size 30 Average positive next weekly return: 1.28%(60%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.2%(40%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20171029

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_29_2017	47.62	45.3	45.94	46.74	46.8	46.78	46.81(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	17	0	6	50	4.9	50%	0.02	53.7	1.77%	0	1.2	59	0
2	Sep_28_2017	47.61	45.16	45.79	46.65	46.77	46.67	46.81(1.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	19	-10	4	63	8.37	50%	0.02	60.6	1.77%	0	1.3	69	0
3	Sep_27_2017	47.6	45	45.79	46.42	46.63	46.82	46.17(-1.53%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	27	40	12	73	6.18	50%	-0.02	58.2	1.78%	0	1	66	0
4	Sep_26_2017	47.61	44.88	45.65	46.13	46.27	46.87	46.89(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	52	100	39	92	4.71	50%	0.06	49.6	1.77%	0	1.6	66	0
5	Sep_25_2017	47.58	44.74	45.51	45.5	45.62	46.44	47.01(1.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	54	130	44	84	6.36	50%	0.08	35.6	1.77%	0	2	68	0

6	Sep_22_2017	47.54	44.61	45.31	45.03	45	45.68	46.38(1.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	43	100	35	66	5.34	50%	0.06	25.7	1.76%	0	1.8	57	0
7	Sep_21_2017	47.51	44.41	44.98	44.82	44.72	44.8	45.62(1.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	22	10	15	43	5.86	50%	0.06	6.1	1.76%	0	1.2	57	0
8	Sep_20_2017	47.48	44.41	44.75	44.8	44.67	44.32	44.76(2.34%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	-11	-60	-23	25	4.71	44%	0.02	-14.2	1.74%	0	0.5	56	0
9	Sep_19_2017	47.47	44.29	44.65	45.12	45.02	44.63	43.74(-2.05%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.4	-12	-70	-28	36	6.88	41%	0.06	-19	1.76%	0	-0.5	51	0
10	Sep_18_2017	47.44	44.35	44.65	45.49	45.49	45.02	44.66(-1.5%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	2	-70	-15	51	4.6	43%	0.06	-22.7	1.76%	0	0.3	52	0

11	Sep_15_2017	47.41	44.36	44.63	45.6	45.58	45.41	45.34(-0.41%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	15	-30	-1	63	14.85	43%	0.04	-32	1.75%	0	1	54	0
12	Sep_14_2017	47.39	44.35	44.5	45.13	45.42	45.96	45.52(-1.72%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	40	100	30	69	5.36	43%	0	-55.7	1.75%	0	1.2	66	0
13	Sep_13_2017	47.39	44.43	44.31	44.66	44.74	45.75	46.32(1.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	53	160	50	61	7.29	43%	0.02	-59.9	1.74%	0	1.5	63	0
14	Sep_12_2017	47.38	44.48	44.05	44.13	44.07	44.88	45.62(0.94%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	51	120	56	35	6.33	43%	0	-68.7	1.73%	0	0.8	52	0
15	Sep_11_2017	47.38	44.58	43.89	43.67	43.48	43.73	45.2(5.18%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	12	30	18	-6	7.92	43%	0	-73.3	1.73%	0	0.4	50	0

16	Sep_8_2017	47.38	44.68	43.81	43.56	43.35	43.27	42.97(-0.55%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-15	-30	-11	-27	4.68	32%	-0.02	-76.1	1.62%	0	-1	41	0
17	Sep_7_2017	47.39	44.92	43.77	43.78	43.67	43.23	43.21(-1.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-19	-80	-12	-40	5.1	36%	0	-74.9	1.63%	0	-1	39	0
18	Sep_6_2017	47.39	45.18	43.79	43.88	43.82	43.43	43.67(0.89%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-38	-70	-26	-73	8.8	36%	0	-72.4	1.65%	0	-0.8	32	0
19	Sep_5_2017	47.39	45.44	43.89	43.93	44	44.12	43.29(-3.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-29	20	-9	-88	8.51	36%	0	-69.4	1.65%	0	-1.1	30	0
20	Sep_1_2017	47.39	45.76	44.07	44.13	44	44.22	44.66(1.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-16	20	11	-97	4.57	39%	0.04	-59.9	1.6%	0	-0.5	32	0

21	Aug_31_2017	47.37	46.01	44.08	44.12	44.03	43.88	44.09(0.95%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-19	-30	14	-119	3.8	39%	0.02	-57.7	1.6%	0	-0.8	32	0
22	Aug_30_2017	47.36	46.28	44.19	43.76	43.92	43.84	43.68(-0.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-43	-0	-4	-161	5.47	39%	0.02	-60	1.6%	0	-1.1	29	0
23	Aug_29_2017	47.35	46.58	44.56	43.69	43.69	44.18	43.92(-0.87%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-42	80	1	-170	5.2	39%	0.04	-61.6	1.61%	0	-1.1	28	0
24	Aug_28_2017	47.33	46.89	44.93	43.86	43.67	44	44.3(-0.66%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-28	40	18	-166	6.97	39%	0.08	-60.5	1.62%	0	-1.1	27	0
25	Aug_25_2017	47.29	47.16	45.29	44.01	43.8	43.2	44.6(5.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-56	-110	-13	-184	11.74	43%		-61.8	1.63%	0	-1.1	26	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.