Trading Signals: AAL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ AAL: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Sep. 18, 2017

Trading Signals: AAL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(American Airlines Group Inc)
AAL latest price $44.6564 (-1.5%) ($44.6170 - $45.6321) on Mon. Sep. 18, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.76% (three month average)
RSI   52
Latest Price   $44.6564(-1.5%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AAL declines -0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AAL advances 1.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AAL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
JETS(83%)    PEJ(63%)    IWN(56%)    XAR(55%)    XLF(55%)
Factors Impacting AAL price   AAL will decline at least -0.88% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-16%)    UUP(-12%)    VIXM(-11%)    IGOV(-9%)    SHY(-5%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.88% (StdDev 1.76%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $45.49(-1.83%)
10 Day Moving Average   $44.63(0.06%)
20 Day Moving Average   $44.35(0.69%)
To recent high   -16.3%
To recent low   5.6%
Market Cap   $22.71b

American Airlines Group, Inc. is a holding company, which engages in the operation of a network carrier through its principal wholly-owned mainline operating subsidiary, American. The firm offers air transportation for passengers and cargo. It operates through the following geographical segments: Department of Transportation Domestic; Department of Transportation Latin America; Department of Transportation Atlantic; and Department of Transportation Pacific. The company was founded on December 9, 2013 and is headquartered in Fort Worth, TX.

$. AAL price fluctuates within 2.25% (three month std-dev: 1.76%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 7.48%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 18.34%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 14.93%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20171018

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_18_2017	47.44	44.35		45.49	45.49	45.02	44.66(-1.5%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	2	-70	-15	51	4.6	43%	0.06	-22.7	1.76%	0	0.3	52	INF
2	Sep_15_2017	47.41	44.36	44.63	45.6	45.58	45.41	45.34(-0.41%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	15	-30	-1	63	14.85	43%	0.04	-32	1.75%	0	1	54	INF
3	Sep_14_2017	47.39	44.35	44.5	45.13	45.42	45.96	45.52(-1.72%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	40	100	30	69	5.36	43%	0	-55.7	1.75%	0	1.2	66	INF
4	Sep_13_2017	47.39	44.43	44.31	44.66	44.74	45.75	46.32(1.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	53	160	50	61	7.29	43%	0.02	-59.9	1.74%	0	1.5	63	INF
5	Sep_12_2017	47.38	44.48	44.05	44.13	44.07	44.88	45.62(0.94%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	51	120	56	35	6.33	43%	0	-68.7	1.73%	0	0.8	52	INF

6	Sep_11_2017	47.38	44.58	43.89	43.67	43.48	43.73	45.2(5.18%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	12	30	18	-6	7.92	43%	0	-73.3	1.73%	0	0.4	50	INF
7	Sep_8_2017	47.38	44.68	43.81	43.56	43.35	43.27	42.97(-0.55%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-15	-30	-11	-27	4.68	32%	-0.02	-76.1	1.62%	0	-1	41	INF
8	Sep_7_2017	47.39	44.92	43.77	43.78	43.67	43.23	43.21(-1.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-19	-80	-12	-40	5.1	36%	0	-74.9	1.63%	0	-1	39	INF
9	Sep_6_2017	47.39	45.18	43.79	43.88	43.82	43.43	43.67(0.89%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-38	-70	-26	-73	8.8	36%	0	-72.4	1.65%	0	-0.8	32	INF
10	Sep_5_2017	47.39	45.44	43.89	43.93	44	44.12	43.29(-3.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-29	20	-9	-88	8.51	36%	0	-69.4	1.65%	0	-1.1	30	INF

11	Sep_1_2017	47.39	45.76	44.07	44.13	44	44.22	44.66(1.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-16	20	11	-97	4.57	39%	0.04	-59.9	1.6%	0	-0.5	32	INF
12	Aug_31_2017	47.37	46.01	44.08	44.12	44.03	43.88	44.09(0.95%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-19	-30	14	-119	3.8	39%	0.02	-57.7	1.6%	0	-0.8	32	INF
13	Aug_30_2017	47.36	46.28	44.19	43.76	43.92	43.84	43.68(-0.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-43	-0	-4	-161	5.47	39%	0.02	-60	1.6%	0	-1.1	29	INF
14	Aug_29_2017	47.35	46.58	44.56	43.69	43.69	44.18	43.92(-0.87%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-42	80	1	-170	5.2	39%	0.04	-61.6	1.61%	0	-1.1	28	INF
15	Aug_28_2017	47.33	46.89	44.93	43.86	43.67	44	44.3(-0.66%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-28	40	18	-166	6.97	39%	0.08	-60.5	1.62%	0	-1.1	27	INF

16	Aug_25_2017	47.29	47.16	45.29	44.01	43.8	43.2	44.6(5.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-56	-110	-13	-184	11.74	43%	0.06	-61.8	1.63%	0	-1.1	26	INF
17	Aug_24_2017	47.26	47.42	45.58	44.07	44.18	43.34	42.3(-2.39%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-108	-130	-65	-235	7.06	34%	0.04	-66.1	1.52%	0	-2.2	7	INF
18	Aug_23_2017	47.24	47.78	46.16	44.68	44.78	44.4	43.34(-3.17%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-101	-50	-60	-225	8.16	37%	0.06	-72.5	1.49%	0	-2.2	11	INF
19	Aug_22_2017	47.21	48.14	46.7	45.56	45.43	45.02	44.76(-0.66%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-77	-70	-38	-193	4.02	45%	0.08	-74.3	1.44%	0	-1.9	15	INF
20	Aug_21_2017	47.17	48.4	47.14	46.17	46.14	45.16	45.05(0.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-86	-150	-55	-178	4.35	45%	0.06	-77.8	1.47%	0	-2	14	INF

21	Aug_18_2017	47.14	48.68	47.61	46.78	46.86	45.83	44.89(-1.04%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.2	-95	-150	-74	-158	6.24	45%	0.06	-81.6	1.48%	0	-2.5	20	INF
22	Aug_17_2017	47.11	49	48.13	47.33	47.58	47.12	45.37(-4.92%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.4	-65	-50	-46	-122	10.3	40%	0.11	-89.6	1.47%	0	-2.7	21	INF
23	Aug_16_2017	47.06	49.32	48.58	47.83	47.87	47.88	47.71(-0.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-30	0	-12	-85	4.19	46%	0.13	-99.6	1.44%	0	-1.4	38	INF
24	Aug_15_2017	47	49.52	48.78	48	47.93	48.04	47.82(-0.59%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-25	10	-6	-80	3.15	46%	0.15	-95.2	1.44%	0	-1.4	32	INF
25	Aug_14_2017	46.93	49.73	49.01	48.28	48.13	47.85	48.11(0.95%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-28	-50	-15	-68	3	46%		-78.2	1.46%	0	-1.2	38	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.