Trading Signals: AAL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ AAL: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Aug. 31, 2017

Trading Signals: AAL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(American Airlines Group Inc)
AAL latest price $44.0946 (0.95%) ($43.7891 - $44.2918) on Thu. Aug. 31, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.6% (three month average)
RSI   32
Latest Price   $44.0946(0.95%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AAL advances 0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AAL declines -3.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AAL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
JETS(83%)    PEJ(63%)    IWN(56%)    XAR(55%)    XLF(55%)
Factors Impacting AAL price   AAL will decline at least -0.8% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-16%)    UUP(-12%)    VIXM(-11%)    IGOV(-9%)    SHY(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.8% (StdDev 1.6%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.4%

Resistance Level   $46.01
5 Day Moving Average   $44.12(-0.06%)
10 Day Moving Average   $44.08(0.03%)
20 Day Moving Average   $46.01(-4.16%)
To recent high   -17.3%
To recent low   4.2%
Market Cap   $22.425b

American Airlines Group, Inc. is a holding company, which engages in the operation of a network carrier through its principal wholly-owned mainline operating subsidiary, American. The firm offers air transportation for passengers and cargo. It operates through the following geographical segments: Department of Transportation Domestic; Department of Transportation Latin America; Department of Transportation Atlantic; and Department of Transportation Pacific. The company was founded on December 9, 2013 and is headquartered in Fort Worth, TX.

$. AAL price fluctuates within 5.15% (three month std-dev: 1.6%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 2.36%(50%) Average negative next day return: -0.83%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 1.8%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 1.91%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

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> 20171001

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_31_2017	47.37	46.01	44.08	44.12	44.03	43.88	44.09(0.95%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-19	-30	14	-119	3.8	39%	0.02	-57.7	1.6%	0	-0.8	32	INF
2	Aug_30_2017	47.36	46.28	44.19	43.76	43.92	43.84	43.68(-0.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-43	-0	-4	-161	5.47	39%	0.02	-60	1.6%	0	-1.1	29	INF
3	Aug_29_2017	47.35	46.58	44.56	43.69	43.69	44.18	43.92(-0.87%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-42	80	1	-170	5.2	39%	0.04	-61.6	1.61%	0	-1.1	28	INF
4	Aug_28_2017	47.33	46.89	44.93	43.86	43.67	44	44.3(-0.66%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-28	40	18	-166	6.97	39%	0.08	-60.5	1.62%	0	-1.1	27	INF
5	Aug_25_2017	47.29	47.16	45.29	44.01	43.8	43.2	44.6(5.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-56	-110	-13	-184	11.74	43%	0.06	-61.8	1.63%	0	-1.1	26	INF

6	Aug_24_2017	47.26	47.42	45.58	44.07	44.18	43.34	42.3(-2.39%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-108	-130	-65	-235	7.06	34%	0.04	-66.1	1.52%	0	-2.2	7	INF
7	Aug_23_2017	47.24	47.78	46.16	44.68	44.78	44.4	43.34(-3.17%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-101	-50	-60	-225	8.16	37%	0.06	-72.5	1.49%	0	-2.2	11	INF
8	Aug_22_2017	47.21	48.14	46.7	45.56	45.43	45.02	44.76(-0.66%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-77	-70	-38	-193	4.02	45%	0.08	-74.3	1.44%	0	-1.9	15	INF
9	Aug_21_2017	47.17	48.4	47.14	46.17	46.14	45.16	45.05(0.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-86	-150	-55	-178	4.35	45%	0.06	-77.8	1.47%	0	-2	14	INF
10	Aug_18_2017	47.14	48.68	47.61	46.78	46.86	45.83	44.89(-1.04%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.2	-95	-150	-74	-158	6.24	45%	0.06	-81.6	1.48%	0	-2.5	20	INF

11	Aug_17_2017	47.11	49	48.13	47.33	47.58	47.12	45.37(-4.92%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.4	-65	-50	-46	-122	10.3	40%	0.11	-89.6	1.47%	0	-2.7	21	INF
12	Aug_16_2017	47.06	49.32	48.58	47.83	47.87	47.88	47.71(-0.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-30	0	-12	-85	4.19	46%	0.13	-99.6	1.44%	0	-1.4	38	INF
13	Aug_15_2017	47	49.52	48.78	48	47.93	48.04	47.82(-0.59%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-25	10	-6	-80	3.15	46%	0.15	-95.2	1.44%	0	-1.4	32	INF
14	Aug_14_2017	46.93	49.73	49.01	48.28	48.13	47.85	48.11(0.95%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-28	-50	-15	-68	3	46%	0.15	-78.2	1.46%	0	-1.2	38	INF
15	Aug_11_2017	46.86	49.97	49.17	48.6	48.48	47.82	47.65(-0.41%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-53	-100	-46	-73	5.61	46%	0.15	-63.4	1.46%	0	-1.6	30	INF

16	Aug_10_2017	46.79	50.25	49.39	49.07	49.06	48.42	47.85(-1.52%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-48	-90	-43	-61	5.44	46%	0.19	-51.9	1.48%	0	-1.6	28	INF
17	Aug_9_2017	46.7	50.51	49.54	49.44	49.51	49.13	48.59(-1.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-38	-50	-31	-58	5.02	57%	0.19	-41.3	1.46%	0	-1.3	28	INF
18	Aug_8_2017	46.61	50.72	49.7	49.65	49.78	49.71	49.18(-1.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-22	-0	-13	-50	4.27	57%	0.17	-32	1.56%	0	-1.1	29	INF
19	Aug_7_2017	46.53	50.81	49.77	49.86	49.85	49.89	49.75(-0.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-14	10	0	-54	3.02	57%	0.19	-24.8	1.56%	0	-0.8	28	INF
20	Aug_4_2017	46.44	50.92	49.83	49.83	49.94	49.85	49.97(0.49%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-16	-10	3	-73	2.99	57%	0.19	-17.9	1.56%	0	-0.7	26	INF

21	Aug_3_2017	46.35	51.02	49.93	49.77	49.93	49.8	49.72(0.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-23	-10	-0	-93	3.23	57%	0.17	-8.3	1.56%	0	-1	22	INF
22	Aug_2_2017	46.27	51.11	50.09	49.66	49.7	50.03	49.62(-1.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-27	50	0	-108	4.68	62%	0.22	-1.2	1.56%	0	-1.2	26	INF
23	Aug_1_2017	46.17	51.16	50.29	49.77	49.51	50.05	50.22(1.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-6	60	25	-99	5.05	62%	0.2	11.2	1.63%	0	-0.8	28	INF
24	Jul_31_2017	46.08	51.14	50.48	49.68	49.41	49.36	49.61(-0.1%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-21	-20	6	-102	6.06	62%	0.13	14.8	1.64%	0	-1.2	46	INF
25	Jul_28_2017	46.02	51.15	50.81	49.85	49.53	48.97	49.66(0.98%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-49	-100	-30	-104	9.15	57%		24.8	1.65%	0	-1.2	40	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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