Trading Signals: AAL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Jul. 11, 2017

Trading Signals: AAL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(American Airlines Group Inc)
AAL latest price $50.7626 (-1.99%) ($50.6249 - $51.7953) on Tue. Jul. 11, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.79% (three month average)
RSI   75
Latest Price   $50.7626(-1.99%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AAL advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AAL advances 3.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Growth stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AAL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
JETS(83%)    PEJ(63%)    IWN(56%)    XAR(55%)    XLF(55%)
Factors Impacting AAL price   AAL will decline at least -0.895% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-16%)    UUP(-12%)    VIXM(-11%)    IGOV(-9%)    SHY(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.895% (StdDev 1.79%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $51.27(-0.99%)
10 Day Moving Average   $50.11(1.3%)
20 Day Moving Average   $49.15(3.28%)
To recent high   -2.7%
To recent low   22.9%
Market Cap   $25.816b

American Airlines Group, Inc. is a holding company, which engages in the operation of a network carrier through its principal wholly-owned mainline operating subsidiary, American. The firm offers air transportation for passengers and cargo. It operates through the following geographical segments: Department of Transportation Domestic; Department of Transportation Latin America; Department of Transportation Atlantic; and Department of Transportation Pacific. The company was founded on December 9, 2013 and is headquartered in Fort Worth, TX.

$. AAL price fluctuates within 2.89% (three month std-dev: 1.79%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 9 Average positive next day return: 0.93%(44%) Average negative next day return: -2.33%(56%) Sample size 9 Average positive next three day return: 7.07%(33%) Average negative next three day return: -2.01%(67%) Sample size 9 Average positive next weekly return: 3.53%(56%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.85%(44%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170811

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_11_2017	45.17	49.15	50.11	51.27	51.44	51.56	50.76(-1.99%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	33	30	2	125	4.55	57%	0.13	37	1.79%	0	1.1	75	INF
2	Jul_10_2017	45.11	49.03	49.85	51.03	51.13	51.87	51.8(-0.7%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	57	110	34	124	4.6	60%	0.11	33.2	1.82%	0	2	66	INF
3	Jul_7_2017	45.06	48.9	49.45	50.57	50.63	51.31	52.16(1.88%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	67	100	51	115	6.6	60%	0.16	29.6	1.81%	0	2.7	72	INF
4	Jul_6_2017	44.99	48.79	49.02	49.9	49.98	50.39	51.2(1.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	47	60	34	84	7.02	58%	0.09	27	1.8%	0	2.3	66	INF
5	Jul_5_2017	44.95	48.71	48.65	49.34	49.42	49.95	50.42(1.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	37	80	30	57	5.16	58%	0.09	25.4	1.8%	0	1.9	60	INF

6	Jul_3_2017	44.91	48.63	48.33	48.8	49.01	49.57	49.56(0.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	32	90	33	28	2.91	53%	0.09	19.8	1.85%	0	1.1	55	INF
7	Jun_30_2017	44.87	48.59	48.24	48.48	48.54	48.9	49.49(1.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	22	60	24	14	6.62	53%	0.09	15.3	1.84%	0	1.1	54	INF
8	Jun_29_2017	44.83	48.54	48.07	48.15	48.27	48.45	48.81(0.75%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	7	30	13	-12	6.17	53%	0.11	12.6	1.84%	0	0.4	43	INF
9	Jun_28_2017	44.78	48.51	48.07	48.02	48.13	48.17	48.44(1.55%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-6	10	4	-34	4.26	55%	0.09	20.2	1.85%	0	-0.1	34	INF
10	Jun_27_2017	44.74	48.48	48.01	47.86	48.26	48.08	47.7(-0.57%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-10	-0	3	-49	4.26	55%	0.07	23.1	1.86%	0	-0.9	34	INF

11	Jun_26_2017	44.71	48.46	48.1	47.77	48.16	48.09	47.98(0.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-25	10	-12	-62	3.99	55%	0.11	30.1	1.85%	0	-0.6	45	INF
12	Jun_23_2017	44.66	48.47	48.17	47.94	48.08	48.44	47.83(-0.69%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-12	60	2	-53	12.68	58%	0.11	54.9	1.85%	0	-0.8	44	INF
13	Jun_22_2017	44.61	48.45	48.32	47.98	48.21	48.24	48.17(1.11%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	2	20	16	-42	9.79	58%	0.11	70.9	1.87%	0	-0.3	48	INF
14	Jun_21_2017	44.56	48.35	48.55	48	48.03	47.72	47.63(0.83%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-25	-40	-19	-42	3.47	54%	0.09	71.1	1.87%	0	-0.7	48	INF
15	Jun_20_2017	44.52	48.28	48.78	48.19	48.17	48.19	47.24(-3.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-15	0	-13	-19	6.04	54%	0.09	67.6	1.92%	0	-0.9	51	INF

16	Jun_19_2017	44.48	48.21	48.97	48.47	48.36	48.33	48.84(1.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	6	-10	5	8	4.1	58%	0.07	65.8	1.86%	0	0.5	65	INF
17	Jun_16_2017	44.45	48.01	48.98	48.44	48.39	48.16	47.99(-0.65%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.3	-10	-40	-15	5	6.62	58%	-0.02	54.5	1.86%	0	-0	53	INF
18	Jun_15_2017	44.46	47.83	49.07	48.73	48.52	48.4	48.3(-0.57%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.2	-13	-30	-24	21	4.58	59%	0.02	47.8	1.86%	0	0.3	60	INF
19	Jun_14_2017	44.45	47.64	49.08	49.18	49.02	48.62	48.58(-0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	4	-70	-14	57	4.03	57%	0.07	45.6	1.87%	0	0.5	69	INF
20	Jun_13_2017	44.42	47.52	49	49.47	49.44	48.65	48.64(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	1	-110	-24	74	5.15	53%	0.05	50.5	1.91%	0	0.6	70	INF

21	Jun_12_2017	44.4	47.38	48.88	49.53	49.58	49.42	48.67(-1.57%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	5	-20	-23	87	8.6	53%	0.05	56.1	1.96%	0	0.7	72	INF
22	Jun_9_2017	44.38	47.21	48.81	49.58	49.63	50.24	49.44(-2.26%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	49	90	21	131	7.2	50%	0.07	59.9	1.95%	0	1.1	81	INF
23	Jun_8_2017	44.35	47.01	48.6	49.43	49.29	49.74	50.59(1.12%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	63	60	33	151	6.54	52%	0.09	66.8	1.98%	0	1.9	91	INF
24	Jun_7_2017	44.31	46.79	48.14	48.96	48.94	49.01	50.02(2.25%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	50	10	19	144	7.08	52%	0.11	76.6	1.98%	0	1.9	87	INF
25	Jun_6_2017	44.26	46.58	47.73	48.48	48.65	48.84	48.92(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	41	40	12	126	4.47	48%		87.3	1.97%	0	1.6	64	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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