Trading Signals: AAL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Jun. 29, 2017

Trading Signals: AAL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(American Airlines Group Inc)
AAL latest price $48.8053 (0.75%) ($48.0184 - $48.8692) on Thu. Jun. 29, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.84% (three month average)
RSI   43
Latest Price   $48.8053(0.75%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AAL advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AAL declines -0.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Growth stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AAL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
JETS(83%)    PEJ(63%)    IWN(56%)    XAR(55%)    XLF(55%)
Factors Impacting AAL price   AAL will decline at least -0.92% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-16%)    UUP(-12%)    VIXM(-11%)    IGOV(-9%)    SHY(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.92% (StdDev 1.84%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $48.15(1.36%)
10 Day Moving Average   $48.07(1.53%)
20 Day Moving Average   $48.54(0.55%)
To recent high   -3.5%
To recent low   21.6%
Market Cap   $24.82b

American Airlines Group, Inc. is a holding company, which engages in the operation of a network carrier through its principal wholly-owned mainline operating subsidiary, American. The firm offers air transportation for passengers and cargo. It operates through the following geographical segments: Department of Transportation Domestic; Department of Transportation Latin America; Department of Transportation Atlantic; and Department of Transportation Pacific. The company was founded on December 9, 2013 and is headquartered in Fort Worth, TX.

$. AAL price fluctuates within 1.59% (three month std-dev: 1.84%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170729

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_29_2017	44.83	48.54	48.07	48.15	48.27	48.45	48.81(0.75%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	7	30	13	-12	6.17	53%	0.11	12.6	1.84%	0	0.4	43	0
2	Jun_28_2017	44.78	48.51	48.07	48.02	48.13	48.17	48.44(1.55%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-6	10	4	-34	4.26	55%	0.09	20.2	1.85%	0	-0.1	34	0
3	Jun_27_2017	44.74	48.48	48.01	47.86	48.26	48.08	47.7(-0.57%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-10	-0	3	-49	4.26	55%	0.07	23.1	1.86%	0	-0.9	34	0
4	Jun_26_2017	44.71	48.46	48.1	47.77	48.16	48.09	47.98(0.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-25	10	-12	-62	3.99	55%	0.11	30.1	1.85%	0	-0.6	45	0
5	Jun_23_2017	44.66	48.47	48.17	47.94	48.08	48.44	47.83(-0.69%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-12	60	2	-53	12.68	58%	0.11	54.9	1.85%	0	-0.8	44	0

6	Jun_22_2017	44.61	48.45	48.32	47.98	48.21	48.24	48.17(1.11%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	2	20	16	-42	9.79	58%	0.11	70.9	1.87%	0	-0.3	48	0
7	Jun_21_2017	44.56	48.35	48.55	48	48.03	47.72	47.63(0.83%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-25	-40	-19	-42	3.47	54%	0.09	71.1	1.87%	0	-0.7	48	0
8	Jun_20_2017	44.52	48.28	48.78	48.19	48.17	48.19	47.24(-3.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-15	0	-13	-19	6.04	54%	0.09	67.6	1.92%	0	-0.9	51	0
9	Jun_19_2017	44.48	48.21	48.97	48.47	48.36	48.33	48.84(1.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	6	-10	5	8	4.1	58%	0.07	65.8	1.86%	0	0.5	65	0
10	Jun_16_2017	44.45	48.01	48.98	48.44	48.39	48.16	47.99(-0.65%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.3	-10	-40	-15	5	6.62	58%	-0.02	54.5	1.86%	0	-0	53	0

11	Jun_15_2017	44.46	47.83	49.07	48.73	48.52	48.4	48.3(-0.57%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.2	-13	-30	-24	21	4.58	59%	0.02	47.8	1.86%	0	0.3	60	0
12	Jun_14_2017	44.45	47.64	49.08	49.18	49.02	48.62	48.58(-0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	4	-70	-14	57	4.03	57%	0.07	45.6	1.87%	0	0.5	69	0
13	Jun_13_2017	44.42	47.52	49	49.47	49.44	48.65	48.64(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	1	-110	-24	74	5.15	53%	0.05	50.5	1.91%	0	0.6	70	0
14	Jun_12_2017	44.4	47.38	48.88	49.53	49.58	49.42	48.67(-1.57%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	5	-20	-23	87	8.6	53%	0.05	56.1	1.96%	0	0.7	72	0
15	Jun_9_2017	44.38	47.21	48.81	49.58	49.63	50.24	49.44(-2.26%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	49	90	21	131	7.2	50%	0.07	59.9	1.95%	0	1.1	81	0

16	Jun_8_2017	44.35	47.01	48.6	49.43	49.29	49.74	50.59(1.12%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	63	60	33	151	6.54	52%	0.09	66.8	1.98%	0	1.9	91	0
17	Jun_7_2017	44.31	46.79	48.14	48.96	48.94	49.01	50.02(2.25%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	50	10	19	144	7.08	52%	0.11	76.6	1.98%	0	1.9	87	0
18	Jun_6_2017	44.26	46.58	47.73	48.48	48.65	48.84	48.92(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	41	40	12	126	4.47	48%	0.09	87.3	1.97%	0	1.6	64	0
19	Jun_5_2017	44.22	46.34	47.39	48.13	48.28	48.88	48.92(0.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	44	100	20	114	5.47	48%	0.07	91.5	2.01%	0	1.7	65	0
20	Jun_2_2017	44.19	46.07	46.95	47.94	47.91	48.46	48.71(0.96%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	51	80	31	110	7.71	47%	0.02	96.2	2.03%	0	1.8	68	0

21	Jun_1_2017	44.18	45.79	46.48	47.64	47.55	47.68	48.24(1.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	37	10	21	85	4.42	47%	0.02	92	2.07%	0	1.7	62	0
22	May_31_2017	44.17	45.53	46.07	47.19	47.23	47.37	47.62(0.94%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	21	20	10	54	4.49	50%	0	76.4	2.05%	0	1.5	54	0
23	May_30_2017	44.17	45.31	45.91	46.85	46.92	47.42	47.17(-1.6%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	27	80	21	46	5.51	47%	0	61.4	2.07%	0	1.3	54	0
24	May_26_2017	44.17	45.02	45.76	46.5	46.49	47.09	47.94(1.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	43	90	40	53	5.98	47%	0.07	34.9	2.06%	0	1.7	67	0
25	May_25_2017	44.14	44.72	45.46	45.81	45.87	46.42	47.23(2.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	36	90	36	35	5.44	47%		18.2	2.06%	0	1.6	67	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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