Trading Signals: AAL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. May. 9, 2017

Trading Signals: AAL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(American Airlines Group Inc)
AAL latest price $46.2075 (4.76%) ($44.4114 - $46.4234) on Tue. May. 9, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.99% (three month average)
RSI   60
Latest Price   $46.2075(4.76%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AAL advances 1.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AAL declines -0.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Growth stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AAL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
JETS(83%)    PEJ(63%)    IWN(55%)    XAR(55%)    XLF(55%)
Factors Impacting AAL price   AAL will decline at least -0.995% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-16%)    UUP(-12%)    VIXM(-11%)    IGOV(-9%)    SHY(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.995% (StdDev 1.99%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 3.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $44.04(4.92%)
10 Day Moving Average   $43.54(6.13%)
20 Day Moving Average   $43.71(5.71%)
To recent high   -1%
To recent low   16.7%
Market Cap   $23.499b

American Airlines Group, Inc. is a holding company, which engages in the operation of a network carrier through its principal wholly-owned mainline operating subsidiary, American. The firm offers air transportation for passengers and cargo. It operates through the following geographical segments: Department of Transportation Domestic; Department of Transportation Latin America; Department of Transportation Atlantic; and Department of Transportation Pacific. The company was founded on December 9, 2013 and is headquartered in Fort Worth, TX.

$. AAL price fluctuates within 2.88% (three month std-dev: 1.99%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 18 Average positive next day return: 2.47%(28%) Average negative next day return: -0.9%(72%) Sample size 18 Average positive next three day return: 2.26%(39%) Average negative next three day return: -1.24%(61%) Sample size 18 Average positive next weekly return: 2.62%(39%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.36%(61%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170609

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_9_2017	44.25	43.71	43.54	44.04	43.96	44.67	46.21(4.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	37	110	49	2	11.12	52%	-0.05	61.1	1.99%	0	2	60	0
2	May_8_2017	44.27	43.47	43.44	43.41	43.35	43.66	44.11(0.97%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	20	50	31	-14	6.19	49%	-0.05	49.3	1.93%	0	0.5	56	0
3	May_5_2017	44.29	43.33	43.56	42.85	42.91	43.24	43.69(1.37%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	9	60	21	-27	5.46	51%	-0.09	32	1.92%	0	0.3	52	0
4	May_4_2017	44.33	43.2	43.61	42.48	42.48	43.04	43.1(-0.02%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	2	90	14	-34	4.48	51%	-0.09	19.8	1.93%	0	-0.1	55	0
5	May_3_2017	44.37	43.09	43.74	42.49	42.33	42.58	43.11(0.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-3	30	6	-29	5.14	51%	-0.09	17.1	1.95%	0	0	51	0

6	May_2_2017	44.41	42.95	43.8	42.98	42.29	41.92	43.06(4.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-28	-110	-30	-22	9.4	51%	-0.09	19.6	1.95%	0	0.1	51	0
7	May_1_2017	44.45	42.89	43.81	43.52	43.16	42.09	41.3(-1.27%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.3	-40	-200	-53	0	8.59	47%	-0.16	30.7	1.87%	0	-1	53	0
8	Apr_28_2017	44.52	42.91	44.06	44.37	44.23	42.67	41.83(-3.09%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1.5	-35	-260	-62	47	13.36	44%	-0.13	47.8	1.92%	0	-0.7	58	0
9	Apr_27_2017	44.58	42.92	44.17	44.87	44.88	44.23	43.16(-5.22%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-19	-100	-53	85	18.99	42%	-0.09	60.4	1.9%	0	0.1	66	0
10	Apr_26_2017	44.62	42.83	44.19	45.11	45.28	45.79	45.54(-0.45%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	53	90	22	146	6.03	49%	0	68.1	1.9%	0	1.6	84	0

11	Apr_25_2017	44.62	42.63	43.94	44.72	44.9	45.52	45.75(0.37%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	70	110	41	157	5.96	49%	0.02	73.1	1.96%	0	2	86	0
12	Apr_24_2017	44.61	42.38	43.52	44.17	44.29	44.78	45.58(2.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	56	90	30	133	6.34	49%	0	70.4	1.96%	0	2.3	69	0
13	Apr_21_2017	44.61	42.14	43.06	43.74	43.79	44.29	44.31(-0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	49	80	27	116	5.54	45%	0	72.3	1.93%	0	1.8	66	0
14	Apr_20_2017	44.61	41.95	42.73	43.38	43.44	43.8	44.38(1.85%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	41	60	23	95	4.96	45%	-0.04	65.7	1.95%	0	2.1	64	0
15	Apr_19_2017	44.63	41.71	42.35	43.14	43.12	43.3	43.58(1.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	25	30	8	77	6.57	45%	-0.04	56	1.95%	0	1.7	65	0

16	Apr_18_2017	44.65	41.51	42.01	43.04	43.16	43.07	43(-0.95%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	26	-10	13	66	5.81	47%	-0.07	51.3	1.94%	0	1.4	57	0
17	Apr_17_2017	44.68	41.4	41.87	42.75	43	42.93	43.41(2.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	21	10	9	58	4.56	45%	-0.04	43.8	1.95%	0	1.9	64	0
18	Apr_13_2017	44.7	41.27	41.66	42.28	42.58	43.26	42.55(-1.39%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	27	130	20	47	5.5	44%	-0.07	25	1.95%	0	1.4	61	0
19	Apr_12_2017	44.73	41.2	41.57	41.96	42.09	43.06	43.15(0.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	55	170	54	56	9.99	44%	-0.04	10	1.94%	0	2.3	67	0
20	Apr_11_2017	44.75	41.1	41.36	41.44	41.37	41.9	43.12(3.8%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.2	42	80	42	40	10.27	44%	-0.04	-23.8	1.95%	0	2.7	72	0

21	Apr_10_2017	44.77	40.96	41.2	40.84	40.92	41.12	41.54(1.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	11	40	9	18	4.65	43%	-0.09	-82.6	1.88%	0	1	65	0
22	Apr_7_2017	44.81	40.95	41.2	40.87	40.77	40.85	41.04(0.22%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	3	10	-1	15	4.14	44%	-0.09	-83.6	1.92%	0	0.1	51	0
23	Apr_6_2017	44.85	41.04	41.14	40.96	40.91	40.72	40.95(0.99%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	-1	-40	-7	17	3.63	44%	-0.07	-89	1.93%	0	-0.1	50	0
24	Apr_5_2017	44.88	41.12	41.11	41.12	41.13	40.69	40.54(1%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-9	-70	-17	16	7.01	44%	-0.07	-77.6	1.93%	0	-0.6	45	0
25	Apr_4_2017	44.91	41.28	41.04	41.25	41.33	41.1	40.14(-3.65%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-15	-30	-23	8	7.25	44%		-74.2	1.93%	0	-1	43	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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