Trading Signals: AAL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ AAL: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Apr. 17, 2017

Trading Signals: AAL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(American Airlines Group Inc)
AAL latest price $43.4103 (2.03%) ($42.5564 - $43.4299) on Mon. Apr. 17, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.95% (three month average)
RSI   64
Latest Price   $43.4103(2.03%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AAL advances 1.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AAL advances 1.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AAL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
JETS(83%)    PEJ(63%)    IWN(55%)    XAR(55%)    XLF(55%)
Factors Impacting AAL price   AAL will decline at least -0.975% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-16%)    UUP(-12%)    VIXM(-11%)    IGOV(-9%)    SHY(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.975% (StdDev 1.95%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $42.75(1.54%)
10 Day Moving Average   $41.87(3.68%)
20 Day Moving Average   $41.4(4.86%)
To recent high   -10.6%
To recent low   9.6%
Market Cap   $22.077b

American Airlines Group, Inc. is a holding company, which engages in the operation of a network carrier through its principal wholly-owned mainline operating subsidiary, American. The firm offers air transportation for passengers and cargo. It operates through the following geographical segments: Department of Transportation Domestic; Department of Transportation Latin America; Department of Transportation Atlantic; and Department of Transportation Pacific. The company was founded on December 9, 2013 and is headquartered in Fort Worth, TX.

$. AAL price fluctuates within 2.51% (three month std-dev: 1.95%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -0.46%(100%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 1.25%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -4.78%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 0.15%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.84%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170517

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_17_2017	44.68	41.4	41.87	42.75	43	42.93	43.41(2.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	21	10	9	58	4.56	45%	-0.04	43.8	1.95%	0	1.9	64	INF
2	Apr_13_2017	44.7	41.27	41.66	42.28	42.58	43.26	42.55(-1.39%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	27	130	20	47	5.5	44%	-0.07	25	1.95%	0	1.4	61	INF
3	Apr_12_2017	44.73	41.2	41.57	41.96	42.09	43.06	43.15(0.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	55	170	54	56	9.99	44%	-0.04	10	1.94%	0	2.3	67	INF
4	Apr_11_2017	44.75	41.1	41.36	41.44	41.37	41.9	43.12(3.8%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.2	42	80	42	40	10.27	44%	-0.04	-23.8	1.95%	0	2.7	72	INF
5	Apr_10_2017	44.77	40.96	41.2	40.84	40.92	41.12	41.54(1.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	11	40	9	18	4.65	43%	-0.09	-82.6	1.88%	0	1	65	INF

6	Apr_7_2017	44.81	40.95	41.2	40.87	40.77	40.85	41.04(0.22%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	3	10	-1	15	4.14	44%	-0.09	-83.6	1.92%	0	0.1	51	INF
7	Apr_6_2017	44.85	41.04	41.14	40.96	40.91	40.72	40.95(0.99%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	-1	-40	-7	17	3.63	44%	-0.07	-89	1.93%	0	-0.1	50	INF
8	Apr_5_2017	44.88	41.12	41.11	41.12	41.13	40.69	40.54(1%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-9	-70	-17	16	7.01	44%	-0.07	-77.6	1.93%	0	-0.6	45	INF
9	Apr_4_2017	44.91	41.28	41.04	41.25	41.33	41.1	40.14(-3.65%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-15	-30	-23	8	7.25	44%	-0.07	-74.2	1.93%	0	-1	43	INF
10	Apr_3_2017	44.94	41.46	41.02	41.58	41.53	41.57	41.66(0.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	10	0	4	29	5.76	47%	0	-65.9	1.89%	0	0.2	60	INF

11	Mar_31_2017	44.94	41.59	40.94	41.45	41.52	41.55	41.52(-0.56%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	12	10	9	20	5.43	47%	0	-59.2	1.89%	0	-0	49	INF
12	Mar_30_2017	44.94	41.79	40.87	41.33	41.24	41.48	41.75(1.38%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	5	30	7	-0	3.68	47%	0	-56.2	1.9%	0	-0	41	INF
13	Mar_29_2017	44.94	41.93	40.87	41.11	41.12	41.49	41.18(-1.5%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	17	60	26	-10	5.33	47%	0	-54.1	1.9%	0	-0.4	42	INF
14	Mar_28_2017	44.94	42.16	40.82	40.8	40.82	41	41.81(2.06%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	10	30	27	-43	6.19	46%	0.04	-54.7	1.89%	0	-0.2	37	INF
15	Mar_27_2017	44.92	42.33	40.67	40.37	40.27	40.75	40.97(0.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-21	80	4	-96	6.05	44%	0.04	-58.8	1.88%	0	-0.6	32	INF

16	Mar_24_2017	44.9	42.55	40.72	40.37	40.23	40.65	40.96(0.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-11	60	22	-110	6.6	44%	0.04	-59.4	1.88%	0	-0.7	30	INF
17	Mar_23_2017	44.88	42.77	40.91	40.36	40.28	39.79	40.64(2.63%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-41	-90	-7	-142	9.52	44%	0.04	-60.9	1.89%	0	-1	24	INF
18	Mar_22_2017	44.86	43	41.09	40.5	40.47	39.81	39.6(-0.17%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-75	-120	-43	-170	9.94	41%	0.02	-62.7	1.86%	0	-1.6	26	INF
19	Mar_21_2017	44.85	43.3	41.52	40.84	40.98	40.78	39.67(-3.07%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-51	-20	-14	-160	7.94	41%	0	-62.3	1.86%	0	-1.7	23	INF
20	Mar_20_2017	44.85	43.63	41.96	41	41	41.13	40.93(-0.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-43	20	-3	-164	6.23	44%	0.04	-66.6	1.83%	0	-1.4	30	INF

21	Mar_17_2017	44.83	43.89	42.3	41.13	40.91	41.18	40.95(-0.97%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-48	30	-8	-167	10.19	46%	0.04	-66.2	1.85%	0	-1.5	31	INF
22	Mar_16_2017	44.81	44.15	42.78	41.56	41.21	40.87	41.35(0.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-42	-80	-6	-148	7.06	46%	0.07	-62.6	1.86%	0	-1.5	32	INF
23	Mar_15_2017	44.78	44.42	43.13	41.79	41.59	40.63	41.31(2.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-77	-180	-49	-159	13.99	46%	0.07	-55.5	1.87%	0	-1.8	33	INF
24	Mar_14_2017	44.75	44.65	43.62	42.34	42.26	41.55	40.45(-2.74%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-79	-120	-58	-140	10.21	43%	0.02	-47.9	1.85%	0	-2.6	27	INF
25	Mar_13_2017	44.74	44.97	44.15	43.05	43.08	42.54	41.58(-3.49%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-53	-90	-34	-108	8.88	46%		-37.2	1.82%	0	-2.5	28	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.