Trading Signals: AAL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Apr. 11, 2017

Trading Signals: AAL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(American Airlines Group Inc)
AAL latest price $43.1158 (3.8%) ($41.6260 - $43.1355) on Tue. Apr. 11, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.95% (three month average)
RSI   72
Latest Price   $43.1158(3.8%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AAL advances 1.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AAL advances 0.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock sell-off for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AAL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
JETS(83%)    PEJ(63%)    IWN(55%)    XAR(55%)    XLF(55%)
Factors Impacting AAL price   AAL will decline at least -0.975% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-16%)    UUP(-12%)    VIXM(-11%)    IGOV(-9%)    SHY(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.975% (StdDev 1.95%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $41.44(4.04%)
10 Day Moving Average   $41.36(4.25%)
20 Day Moving Average   $41.1(4.9%)
To recent high   -11.2%
To recent low   8.9%
Market Cap   $21.927b

American Airlines Group, Inc. is a holding company, which engages in the operation of a network carrier through its principal wholly-owned mainline operating subsidiary, American. The firm offers air transportation for passengers and cargo. It operates through the following geographical segments: Department of Transportation Domestic; Department of Transportation Latin America; Department of Transportation Atlantic; and Department of Transportation Pacific. The company was founded on December 9, 2013 and is headquartered in Fort Worth, TX.

$. AAL price fluctuates within 1.85% (three month std-dev: 1.95%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170511

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_11_2017	44.75	41.1	41.36	41.44	41.37	41.9	43.12(3.8%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.2	42	80	42	40	10.27	44%	-0.04	-23.8	1.95%	0	2.7	72	0
2	Apr_10_2017	44.77	40.96	41.2	40.84	40.92	41.12	41.54(1.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	11	40	9	18	4.65	43%	-0.09	-82.6	1.88%	0	1	65	0
3	Apr_7_2017	44.81	40.95	41.2	40.87	40.77	40.85	41.04(0.22%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	3	10	-1	15	4.14	44%	-0.09	-83.6	1.92%	0	0.1	51	0
4	Apr_6_2017	44.85	41.04	41.14	40.96	40.91	40.72	40.95(0.99%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	-1	-40	-7	17	3.63	44%	-0.07	-89	1.93%	0	-0.1	50	0
5	Apr_5_2017	44.88	41.12	41.11	41.12	41.13	40.69	40.54(1%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-9	-70	-17	16	7.01	44%	-0.07	-77.6	1.93%	0	-0.6	45	0

6	Apr_4_2017	44.91	41.28	41.04	41.25	41.33	41.1	40.14(-3.65%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-15	-30	-23	8	7.25	44%	-0.07	-74.2	1.93%	0	-1	43	0
7	Apr_3_2017	44.94	41.46	41.02	41.58	41.53	41.57	41.66(0.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	10	0	4	29	5.76	47%	0	-65.9	1.89%	0	0.2	60	0
8	Mar_31_2017	44.94	41.59	40.94	41.45	41.52	41.55	41.52(-0.56%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	12	10	9	20	5.43	47%	0	-59.2	1.89%	0	-0	49	0
9	Mar_30_2017	44.94	41.79	40.87	41.33	41.24	41.48	41.75(1.38%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	5	30	7	-0	3.68	47%	0	-56.2	1.9%	0	-0	41	0
10	Mar_29_2017	44.94	41.93	40.87	41.11	41.12	41.49	41.18(-1.5%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	17	60	26	-10	5.33	47%	0	-54.1	1.9%	0	-0.4	42	0

11	Mar_28_2017	44.94	42.16	40.82	40.8	40.82	41	41.81(2.06%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	10	30	27	-43	6.19	46%	0.04	-54.7	1.89%	0	-0.2	37	0
12	Mar_27_2017	44.92	42.33	40.67	40.37	40.27	40.75	40.97(0.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-21	80	4	-96	6.05	44%	0.04	-58.8	1.88%	0	-0.6	32	0
13	Mar_24_2017	44.9	42.55	40.72	40.37	40.23	40.65	40.96(0.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-11	60	22	-110	6.6	44%	0.04	-59.4	1.88%	0	-0.7	30	0
14	Mar_23_2017	44.88	42.77	40.91	40.36	40.28	39.79	40.64(2.63%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-41	-90	-7	-142	9.52	44%	0.04	-60.9	1.89%	0	-1	24	0
15	Mar_22_2017	44.86	43	41.09	40.5	40.47	39.81	39.6(-0.17%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-75	-120	-43	-170	9.94	41%	0.02	-62.7	1.86%	0	-1.6	26	0

16	Mar_21_2017	44.85	43.3	41.52	40.84	40.98	40.78	39.67(-3.07%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-51	-20	-14	-160	7.94	41%	0	-62.3	1.86%	0	-1.7	23	0
17	Mar_20_2017	44.85	43.63	41.96	41	41	41.13	40.93(-0.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-43	20	-3	-164	6.23	44%	0.04	-66.6	1.83%	0	-1.4	30	0
18	Mar_17_2017	44.83	43.89	42.3	41.13	40.91	41.18	40.95(-0.97%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-48	30	-8	-167	10.19	46%	0.04	-66.2	1.85%	0	-1.5	31	0
19	Mar_16_2017	44.81	44.15	42.78	41.56	41.21	40.87	41.35(0.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-42	-80	-6	-148	7.06	46%	0.07	-62.6	1.86%	0	-1.5	32	0
20	Mar_15_2017	44.78	44.42	43.13	41.79	41.59	40.63	41.31(2.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-77	-180	-49	-159	13.99	46%	0.07	-55.5	1.87%	0	-1.8	33	0

21	Mar_14_2017	44.75	44.65	43.62	42.34	42.26	41.55	40.45(-2.74%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-79	-120	-58	-140	10.21	43%	0.02	-47.9	1.85%	0	-2.6	27	0
22	Mar_13_2017	44.74	44.97	44.15	43.05	43.08	42.54	41.58(-3.49%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-53	-90	-34	-108	8.88	46%	0.07	-37.2	1.82%	0	-2.5	28	0
23	Mar_10_2017	44.71	45.19	44.55	43.63	43.52	42.97	43.09(1.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-53	-100	-40	-92	6.84	45%	0.09	-22.6	1.83%	0	-1.9	33	0
24	Mar_9_2017	44.67	45.32	44.8	44.2	44.04	43.62	42.53(-3.47%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-44	-80	-34	-72	9.33	48%	0.07	1.9	1.83%	0	-2.9	28	0
25	Mar_8_2017	44.64	45.42	45.09	44.67	44.64	44.07	44.06(0.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-35	-90	-26	-60	5.52	51%		25.7	1.84%	0	-1.8	31	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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