Trading Signals: AAL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Feb. 15, 2017

Trading Signals: AAL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(American Airlines Group Inc)
AAL latest price $46.6589 (2.08%) ($46.0602 - $47.1595) on Wed. Feb. 15, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.87% (three month average)
RSI   39
Latest Price   $46.6589(2.08%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AAL advances 1.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AAL advances 1.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AAL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
JETS(83%)    PEJ(63%)    IWN(55%)    XAR(55%)    XLF(55%)
Factors Impacting AAL price   AAL will decline at least -0.935% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-16%)    UUP(-12%)    VIXM(-11%)    IGOV(-9%)    SHY(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.935% (StdDev 1.87%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $45.99(1.45%)
10 Day Moving Average   $44.98(3.73%)
20 Day Moving Average   $45.31(2.98%)
To recent high   -4%
To recent low   8.3%
Market Cap   $23.729b

American Airlines Group, Inc. is a holding company, which engages in the operation of a network carrier through its principal wholly-owned mainline operating subsidiary, American. The firm offers air transportation for passengers and cargo. It operates through the following geographical segments: Department of Transportation Domestic; Department of Transportation Latin America; Department of Transportation Atlantic; and Department of Transportation Pacific. The company was founded on December 9, 2013 and is headquartered in Fort Worth, TX.

$. AAL price fluctuates within 3.31% (three month std-dev: 1.87%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -0.21%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -0.91%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0.25%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170315

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_15_2017	43.36	45.31	44.98	45.99	46.12	46.33	46.66(2.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	33	40	25	55	8.39	65%	0.28	-9.4	1.87%	0	0.9	39	0
2	Feb_14_2017	43.24	45.31	44.62	45.48	45.68	46.11	45.71(-1.77%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	17	80	20	9	6.27	63%	0.28	-21.4	1.89%	0	0.3	44	0
3	Feb_13_2017	43.12	45.3	44.38	45.18	45.2	45.91	46.53(2.07%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	21	110	34	-18	6.16	63%	0.28	-27.6	1.88%	0	0.8	48	0
4	Feb_10_2017	43	45.29	44.38	44.75	44.79	45.25	45.59(0.32%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	16	70	37	-48	4.04	62%	0.28	-31.5	1.87%	0	0.2	48	0
5	Feb_9_2017	42.88	45.36	44.1	44.29	44.43	44.48	45.44(2.98%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-4	20	22	-80	7.09	62%	0.28	-32.9	1.87%	0	0.1	43	0

6	Feb_8_2017	42.76	45.45	44.35	43.82	44.03	44.33	44.13(-0.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-17	60	8	-93	4.33	59%	0.23	-34.3	1.84%	0	-0.8	41	0
7	Feb_7_2017	42.66	45.62	44.61	43.62	43.76	44.37	44.23(-0.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-4	110	26	-93	6.12	63%	0.23	-31.9	1.84%	0	-0.8	40	0
8	Feb_6_2017	42.56	45.72	44.83	43.44	43.5	43.73	44.36(2.49%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-9	40	20	-95	6.5	63%	0.24	-34.7	1.92%	0	-0.8	45	0
9	Feb_3_2017	42.46	45.77	44.99	43.36	43.33	43.15	43.28(0.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-44	-30	-19	-120	6.36	61%	0.19	-40	1.9%	0	-1.6	37	0
10	Feb_2_2017	42.38	45.88	45.36	43.9	43.54	43.26	43.1(-0.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-66	-70	-49	-115	7.61	61%	0.17	-38.2	1.9%	0	-1.9	35	0

11	Feb_1_2017	42.31	46.03	45.7	45	44.64	43.5	43.14(-0.45%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-53	-200	-43	-81	7.96	59%	0.17	-26.8	1.9%	0	-2.1	33	0
12	Jan_31_2017	42.24	46.16	46.08	45.75	45.76	43.81	43.33(-1.45%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2	-78	-300	-79	-73	11.72	59%	0.14	-21.2	1.92%	0	-2.4	35	0
13	Jan_30_2017	42.18	46.3	46.36	46.4	46.62	45.78	43.97(-4.37%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.4	-63	-110	-68	-47	16.79	59%	0.17	-16.2	1.91%	0	-2.3	44	0
14	Jan_27_2017	42.11	46.42	46.65	46.8	47.16	47.71	45.98(-5.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.9	6	100	6	6	19.41	64%	0.19	-17.2	1.82%	0	-0.5	55	0
15	Jan_26_2017	42.03	46.46	46.77	47	46.92	47.46	48.56(3.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	43	80	42	45	10.33	72%	0.26	-19	1.68%	0	2.4	68	0

16	Jan_25_2017	41.92	46.39	46.64	46.55	46.6	46.62	46.92(0.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	15	10	11	27	5.14	69%	0.26	-40.1	1.64%	0	0.7	57	0
17	Jan_24_2017	41.81	46.41	46.69	46.49	46.5	46.38	46.56(1.28%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	7	-20	-3	35	4.93	69%	0.12	-35.5	1.64%	0	0.2	58	0
18	Jan_23_2017	41.76	46.46	46.65	46.34	46.51	46.59	45.97(-2.21%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	5	20	-4	31	4.28	69%	0.26	-38.2	1.64%	0	-0.6	53	0
19	Jan_20_2017	41.65	46.58	46.6	46.48	46.46	46.62	47.01(1.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	12	20	4	34	5.61	73%	0.29	-24.2	1.63%	0	0.5	54	0
20	Jan_19_2017	41.53	46.63	46.41	46.5	46.51	46.44	46.28(-0.8%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	0	-10	-6	19	3.73	76%	0.27	-16	1.62%	0	-0.4	47	0

21	Jan_18_2017	41.42	46.63	46.36	46.77	46.68	46.3	46.65(1.9%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-12	-60	-20	13	5.18	77%	0.27	-2.4	1.66%	0	-0	43	0
22	Jan_17_2017	41.31	46.69	46.36	46.93	47.07	46.58	45.78(-1.89%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-12	-60	-18	6	5.35	76%	0.41	-6.3	1.66%	0	-0.9	39	0
23	Jan_13_2017	41.14	46.77	46.24	47	47.21	47.05	46.66(-0.94%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-1	-10	-2	1	3.54	82%	0.27	-3.7	1.64%	0	-0.1	42	0
24	Jan_12_2017	41.03	46.78	46.19	46.71	46.87	47.56	47.1(-1.11%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	16	110	26	-14	5.45	78%	0.27	-14.2	1.73%	0	0.3	39	0
25	Jan_11_2017	40.92	46.77	46.14	46.28	46.35	47.36	47.63(0.33%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1.3	34	160	55	-30	6.93	78%		-20.2	1.75%	0	0.8	44	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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