Trading Signals: AAL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ AAL: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Sep. 27, 2016

Trading Signals: AAL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(American Airlines Group Inc)
AAL latest price $35.1656 (3.06%) ($34.0911 - $35.2877) on Tue. Sep. 27, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.53% (three month average)
RSI   31
Latest Price   $35.1656(3.06%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AAL advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AAL declines -4.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Growth stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AAL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
JETS(83%)    PEJ(63%)    IWN(55%)    XAR(54%)    XLF(54%)
Factors Impacting AAL price   AAL will decline at least -1.265% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-16%)    VIXM(-12%)    UUP(-11%)    IGOV(-9%)    SHY(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.265% (StdDev 2.53%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2.9%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $27.44(-21.97%)
Resistance Level   $35.64
5 Day Moving Average   $34.46(2.05%)
10 Day Moving Average   $34.69(1.37%)
20 Day Moving Average   $35.64(-1.33%)
To recent high   -8.5%
To recent low   42.9%
Market Cap   $17.884b

American Airlines Group, Inc. is a holding company, which engages in the operation of a network carrier through its principal wholly-owned mainline operating subsidiary, American. The firm offers air transportation for passengers and cargo. It operates through the following geographical segments: Department of Transportation Domestic; Department of Transportation Latin America; Department of Transportation Atlantic; and Department of Transportation Pacific. The company was founded on December 9, 2013 and is headquartered in Fort Worth, TX.

$. AAL price fluctuates within 3.59% (three month std-dev: 2.53%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20161027

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_27_2016	32.82	35.64	34.69	34.46	34.5	34.5	35.17(3.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-18	0	7	-94	5.07	79%	0.09	-25.1	2.53%	0	-0.4	31	0
2	Sep_26_2016	32.79	35.65	34.8	34.3	34.3	34.43	34.12(-1.74%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-28	30	-4	-99	7.35	78%	0.06	-28.4	2.66%	0	-1.2	40	0
3	Sep_23_2016	32.77	35.73	35.12	34.4	34.38	34.5	34.73(0.85%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-15	20	5	-74	4.6	66%	0.09	-28.5	3%	0	-0.8	46	0
4	Sep_22_2016	32.74	35.79	35.38	34.38	34.45	34.17	34.43(1.67%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-23	-50	-7	-70	7.44	66%	0.06	-29.3	3%	0	-1.1	47	0
5	Sep_21_2016	32.72	35.87	35.77	34.61	34.6	34.26	33.87(-1.37%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-27	-70	-18	-54	10.41	66%	0.03	-25.4	2.99%	0	-1.7	43	0

6	Sep_20_2016	32.71	35.96	36.17	34.95	35	34.73	34.34(-0.82%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-20	-50	-15	-35	6.67	66%	0	-20.5	2.99%	0	-1.5	41	0
7	Sep_19_2016	32.71	36.02	36.37	35.38	35.3	34.94	34.62(-0.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-21	-80	-21	-21	5.42	66%	0.03	-9.2	2.99%	0	-1.4	49	0
8	Sep_16_2016	32.7	36.08	36.51	35.95	35.82	35.26	34.67(-2.53%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-17	-120	-22	-3	10.72	62%	0	13.2	2.99%	0	-1.4	49	0
9	Sep_15_2016	32.7	36.15	36.61	36.53	36.24	35.66	35.57(0.05%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-19	-140	-28	10	7.81	62%	0	40.5	3.02%	0	-0.6	50	0
10	Sep_14_2016	32.7	36.16	36.63	37.11	36.84	36.37	35.55(-2.62%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.7	-8	-110	-21	30	8.09	58%	0	70.9	3.02%	0	-0.7	50	0

11	Sep_13_2016	32.7	36.18	36.71	37.57	37.39	36.82	36.5(-2.53%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.2	7	-120	-8	53	9.33	55%	0	98	3.06%	0	0.4	58	0
12	Sep_12_2016	32.7	36.11	36.61	37.49	37.52	37.31	37.45(-0.39%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	12	-40	-2	55	11.96	55%	0.03	101.2	3.09%	0	1.4	67	0
13	Sep_9_2016	32.69	35.95	36.4	37.13	37.29	37.96	37.6(-2.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	26	140	17	51	8.62	57%	-0.06	89.4	3.09%	0	1.7	63	0
14	Sep_8_2016	32.71	35.78	36.22	36.7	36.69	37.74	38.44(1.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	38	200	35	46	7.1	57%	-0.03	84.9	3.09%	0	2.7	67	0
15	Sep_7_2016	32.72	35.52	35.93	36.1	36.05	36.62	37.85(4.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2	26	110	26	26	13.77	58%	-0.09	78.6	3.09%	0	2.6	65	0

16	Sep_6_2016	32.75	35.31	35.68	35.77	35.61	35.65	36.1(1.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	7	-10	7	7	5.5	56%	-0.3	85.3	3.06%	0	1	51	0
17	Sep_2_2016	32.85	35.19	35.59	35.61	35.51	35.48	35.68(0.8%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	0	-10	0	-0	5.43	54%	-0.15	64.4	3.06%	0	0.6	58	0
18	Sep_1_2016	32.9	35.09	35.58	35.55	35.48	35.56	35.4(-0.17%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-1	10	-2	4	6.94	54%	-0.09	52.1	3.06%	0	0.3	64	0
19	Aug_31_2016	32.93	34.97	35.62	35.65	35.51	35.54	35.46(-2.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	5	-10	1	17	13.11	54%	-0.09	39.4	3.06%	0	0.4	65	0
20	Aug_30_2016	32.96	34.84	35.65	35.72	35.54	35.41	36.19(2.43%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	9	-40	1	32	14.51	54%	-0.03	28.6	3.05%	0	1.2	77	0

21	Aug_29_2016	32.97	34.67	35.62	35.59	35.59	35.47	35.33(-0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	7	-20	-3	38	4.76	54%	-0.06	15.2	3.06%	0	0.6	67	0
22	Aug_26_2016	32.99	34.63	35.6	35.56	35.64	35.67	35.39(-1.33%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	11	10	-1	46	6.26	53%	-0.06	13.7	3.06%	0	0.7	69	0
23	Aug_25_2016	33.01	34.58	35.48	35.61	35.57	35.71	35.87(0.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	15	20	2	53	5.45	53%	-0.06	11.8	3.07%	0	1.2	73	0
24	Aug_24_2016	33.03	34.55	35.32	35.6	35.54	35.61	35.8(0.69%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	18	10	3	61	5.95	53%	-0.06	17.6	3.07%	0	1.2	78	0
25	Aug_23_2016	33.05	34.51	35.09	35.59	35.52	35.44	35.56(1.11%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	15	-20	-2	64	5.4	53%		18.7	3.07%	0	1	77	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.